Extreme Canada Weather May Be Caused By Hot Summer Nights, Global Warming: David Phillips

Bluesfest

First Posted: 07/18/11 07:53 PM ET Updated: 09/17/11 06:12 AM ET

THE CANADIAN PRESS -- OTTAWA - The freak windstorm that toppled the main stage at the Ottawa Bluesfest may be a sign of weather to come, warns a top climatologist.

Provincial investigators combed the gnarled wreckage at the grounds of the festival on Monday for clues to explain how a violent summer gale destroyed the stage during a Cheap Trick concert the night before.

But one of Canada's foremost weather experts has his own theory: climate change.

Environment Canada senior climatologist Dave Phillips said it's not the days that are getting hotter -- it's the nights.

According to Phillips, there are more and more nights when the mercury stays above 20 Celsius. That means there is less time for the air to cool down at night, causing a build-up of hot air. When a cold front comes in, like it did on Sunday night in the Ottawa region, it's the perfect storm fuel.

"You do get the element of severe weather under something like this, when it's so hot and humid," Phillips said.

A century ago, Toronto would get three or four nights a year above 20 C. Now it's more like 20 nights a year, he explained.
"It's the fuel that drives storms."

He said Canadians can expect more of the extreme weather that howled through the concert grounds, sending thousands of people scurrying for cover as scaffolding buckled into a heap.

The storm also killed two people in boating accidents in west Quebec.

"This is really just a dress rehearsal of what we will see more likely in the future," Phillips said.

At least three concert-goers were hurt -- including the band's truck driver -- but the head of the festival says all have now been released from hospital.

Concertgoer Pamela Cogan, a respiratory therapist, was at the foot of the stage and jumped the barricades after the collapse to see if anyone required assistance. She said it was a "miracle" that nobody died.

"It was like a scene out of 'Armageddon.' Right before the collapse, it was sunny and lovely, and then moments later, dark clouds appeared, and the atmosphere changed. A gust of wind blew confetti from the ground up, the drapes blew inwards, the stage collapsed, and someone yelled, 'Get off,'" Cogan said.

She said she was shocked when the only injured person she could find was the truck driver behind the stage.

"It's a miracle, even the way the stage fell back and not forward onto the people at the show. There were fans sitting on the stage right behind the rigging. I have no idea how everyone made it out alive," said the 47-year-old veteran Bluesfest attendee, who watched the show with her son and his friends.

Cheap Trick manager Dave Frey, who was on stage seconds before the collapse, told Rolling Stone magazine that the driver's leg was broken and the band lost all of its equipment.

The veteran rock band -- best known for hits including "Surrender" and "I Want You to Want Me" -- said they were merely shaken, not hurt.

"Everyone is okay and we are so lucky to be alive and hope that all the fans are OK too," the band said in a message posted on their Facebook page.

Video of the Bluesfest site posted on YouTube showed the stage, which stood several storeys tall, being propelled backward before crumpling and damaging a tractor-trailer truck parked behind it.

A team from Ontario's Ministry of Labour was on site Monday looking for anything that might explain how the stage came tumbling down. The ministry will produce a report on the incident.

There are still more questions than answers. Namely, should organizers have called off the show when the weather turned nasty?

The executive director of Bluesfest says that's what they did.

"We were monitoring the weather and what was a watch turned into a more severe situation," Mark Monahan said at a morning news conference.

"And when that happened we called it immediately."

Environment Canada issued a severe thunderstorm warning about an hour before the stage collapsed. But Monahan said the festival can't stop every time the weather deteriorates.

"We deal with weather every day and we don't automatically call a show because we have weather we see coming in, because if we did that we wouldn't be able to run a festival."

He said the Sunday storm came in fast and left fast.

"It was a very unusual situation," Monahan said. "The fact that it brought that stage down and nothing else came down in the park was just a freak situation."

Monahan said he's now looking at closer liaison with the weather office.

He added the stage was a rental from Montreal firm Groupe Berger and was inspected regularly during the festival. The festival has rented the stage for the last five years. The company didn't return a request for comment.

The storm caused power outages on both sides of the Ottawa River. Hydro Quebec says about 61,000 households were left without power, mostly in the Outaouais and Laurentides, which still had outages in some areas Monday.

Quebec provincial police say two men in their sixties drowned in the area in separate incidents on Sunday night.

A police spokeswoman said a 61-year-old man from Saint Colomban, Que., drowned in the Baskatong Reservoir after the pontoon boat he was on flipped over in strong winds.

In the other incident, a 68-year-old Ottawa man lost his life after his pedal boat turned over on Lac la Blanche, near Papineauville.
In the Ottawa region, police said they received more than 300 emergency calls in a two-hour period on Sunday.

Environment Canada's Phillips said it's nearly impossible to predict these kinds of storms.

"Very difficult to forecast. It's like a pot of pudding on a stove and trying to guess where the firs bubble is going to break," he said.
"There's a lot of dynamics in the air. And, boy, there's not many structures that can withstand those kinds of winds."

Bluesfest is one of North America's largest musical events. The festival first took place in 1994 and has since grown from a one-stage, three-day event to a multi-staged, 12-day music showcase featuring some of the best international talent.

Bluesfest issued a statement saying that "due to extreme weather conditions, we have regrettably had to shut down all stages for the night." A keenly anticipated show by indie rockers Death Cab For Cutie was among those cancelled.

A deadly storm shut down a country music festival in Camrose, Alta., in July 2009. Actor Kevin Costner and his band Modern West were just going on stage at the Big Valley Jamboree when the storm hit.

The stage collapsed killing one woman and injuring 75 people.

-- with files from The Associated Press

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THE CANADIAN PRESS -- OTTAWA - The freak windstorm that toppled the main stage at the Ottawa Bluesfest may be a sign of weather to come, warns a top climatologist. Provincial investigators combed t...
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04:10 PM on 07/19/2011
Wake up. Mother nature is not freaking out.

HAARP!

Last four lines of a poem by: Percy Bysshe Shelley (1792-1822)

'Rise like Lions after slumber
In unvanquishable number -
Shake your chains to earth like dew
Which in sleep had fallen on you -
Ye are many - they are few.'
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
07:29 PM on 07/19/2011
What does the part about the haarp mean?
04:08 PM on 07/19/2011
HAARP

Psychology lesson 1

How do you affect all the people at one time? You frighten them.

When you're in harmony you're NOT in their control.

They can only control you when you're in fear - total fear.

They're pulling all the stops - you can see it happening already. They want a state of chaos - want you focused on survival or the perception of survival and the need to survive financial and physically they want you terror alert.

Observe what's going on - do all you can to stop yourself from becoming emotionally attached to what you see - when you do - you fear.

Think calmly and sort it out. What this means is that in vast numbers you must stop cooperating with your own enslavement. They want to cull the human population and they want to cull it massively and immediately.

Why you ask do they want to do that? It is a fact that they in numbers are a fraction you and I - they can only manipulate humanity in vast numbers if they control how you think and feel. They are changing the laws on you and you are letting them.

Wake up let them know that you are aware of what they are trying to do.

Last four lines of a poem by: Percy Bysshe Shelley (1792-1822)

'Rise like Lions after slumber
In unvanquishable number -
Shake your chains to earth like dew
Which in sleep had fallen on you -
Ye are
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DJGryce
My life under a minute...
10:51 AM on 07/19/2011
I wonder why everyone tell us to GO GREEN, RECYCLE, & HELP THE EARTH!!!
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Susan Schmidt Baker
07:53 AM on 07/19/2011
I know the nights are definitely getting warmer. Used to get up very early to walk the dog before it got hot. Now we work up quite a sweat at 6 in the morning.
07:52 AM on 07/19/2011
Please give me any evidence that Carbon Dioxide is bad for the planet.

Please do.
08:55 AM on 07/19/2011
I'm sure that if I, or someone else were to do so, you'd just pull out another study that refutes it. As I mentioned in my reply to you, for every study that claims one thing, another one claims the opposite.
09:04 AM on 07/19/2011
"I'm sure that if I, or someone else were to do so, you'd just pull out another study that refutes it. As I mentioned in my reply to you, for every study that claims one thing, another one claims the opposite. "

So I guess we don't know and if that's the case we only have history to look at.

History proves factually that the EARTH WAS HOTTER many times before than it is now.

CO2 is good for the planet and the amount is so small it could not have ANY effect on the atmosphere.

The SUN is responsible.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
10:58 AM on 07/19/2011
The evidence is ample. The evidence is in many places. All you have to do is to see. For example, if one were interested in global warming, one would google 'global warming.' There would be numerous replies.

google Fourier 1824
google Tyndall 1859
google Arrhenius 1896

There is so much good science out there that one has to work hard to not notice it.

But just for you Tom, here is a recent technical summary of the interaction between CO2 and infrared.

http://geosci.uchicago.edu/~rtp1/papers/PhysTodayRT2011.pdf
11:34 AM on 07/19/2011
Wow.

I don't believe anything or any theory some clown gives me.

When the whole world agrees on it, then maybe I will.

Until he Global Warming theory is proven true, then I will never believe it.
07:49 AM on 07/19/2011
The Great CO2 Global Warming Hoax

The claim by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that carbon dioxide is causing global warming is bogus science based on models developed around 2000 (the old garbage in-garbage out scenario). See the graph developed from actual data by meteorologist Joseph D'Aleo; even a non-scientist can see there is absolutely no correlation between the concentration of atmospheric CO2 and the earth's temperature.

CO2 is not a pollutant, it is part of the animal-plant life cycle, without it, plant life would not exist on earth. Further, increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere increases plant growth, which is a very good thing. Further, the amount of anthropogenic carbon dioxide in the atmosphere that was emitted by man is around 3% of the total. In 2008, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere was 385 ppmv (parts per million by volume).

Therefore, man's total anthropogenic contribution is only 12 ppmv, a minuscule amount and if man produced no CO2 at all, the amount in the atmosphere would only drop back to the level we had in 2002-2003.

"http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=1552'

THE EARTH HAS BEEN HOTTER BEFORE THAN IT IS NOW.

QUIT LISTENING TO YOUR HARDCORE UNIVERSITY PROF'S WHO MAKE OBSCENE AMOUNTS OF MONEY REGURGITATING GARBAGE AND FALSEHOODS.

Think for yourself please.
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stanschurman
08:13 AM on 07/19/2011
Well there you have it folks. The one article that agrees with Tom's preconceived notions is therefore the definitive one. BTW Tom, whoever said that CO2 was bad for the planet?
08:17 AM on 07/19/2011
"The one article that agrees with Tom's preconceived notions is therefore the definitive one."

What facts are wrong? If the facts are wrong, please let me know the truth.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
01:09 PM on 07/19/2011
There is no hoax

Global warming is real.

You, Tom are the one not thinking around here. It is ironic that you accuse others of REGURGITAT­ING GARBAGE AND FALSEHOODS­. You obviously have no science. Yet you are quite willing to repeat the junscientific junk that you have cut and pasted from a known junk science blog.
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Sam Huston
Fair, Balanced and Informed
05:33 AM on 07/19/2011
This is what happens when a flimsy temporary structure is pitted against extreme weather events which are normal this time of the year, it collapses.

Nothing new here.

What is new, is the phenomena of an increasing number of people lacking common sense who instead of seeking shelter, hang around with their cell phone cameras at the ready hoping to be the next you tube sensation.

Now that Harper has a majority government, it’s time he replaces, Dave Phillips with someone who isn’t a cheer leader for the discredited pseudo scientific Anthropogenic Global Warming theory.

While Phillips didn’t come right out and say Anthropogenic (man made), it’s always implied unless otherwise stated. This excessive fear mongering is not only irresponsible but also exposes his lack of understanding of basic natural sciences, in doing so he has clearly demonstrated that he is unqualified for his position as Environment Canada’s senior climatologist and needs to go.

While Dave Phillips is entitled to his personal opinion, taxpayers should not be paying for the soapbox from which he can spread his belief in the junk science known as AGW theory.
02:40 AM on 07/19/2011
I don't like the title of the story - I feel it's a unnecessary hyperbole.

But, besides the title, the article makes sense, hard to deny the science.

However, there needs to be perspective. History is riddled with extreme weather. So everyone - relax, the sky isnt falling, it's just blowing harder then usual.
08:23 AM on 07/19/2011
"But, besides the title, the article makes sense, hard to deny the science."

What science?

Give me any evidence that CO2 heats up the earth.

But please don't regurgitate any talking points from any hardcore Prof.
08:46 AM on 07/19/2011
Honestly, your like the birthers - No amount of evidence will convince you. So I'm not going to waste him. Moreoever, you are the type of person the gives Conservatives a bad name. Theres no denying anymore, Global Warming is real.
08:57 AM on 07/19/2011
Hypocrite much? You're spouting facts from studies made by 'hardcore profs' and scientists that support your view, and you want others to give you facts without quoting experts? Is that so you can then slam us for not providing the proper facts?
11:36 PM on 07/18/2011
You guys are right, not EVERY wind storm is because of global warming. HOWEVER, there are more storms now with a higher level of energy than there were 100 years ago. This is the problem. This is why climate scientists are looking into it.
The take away message from this article is that warmer nights and warmer weather will cause more storms. It's simple. More heat = more energy. The more energy in the air without the ability to disperse will lead to that energy building up and dispelling in a spectacular display.

If you can't believe that all the carbon -and other- molecules that we've contributed to our atmosphere will retain the heat energy from the sun, because lord knows they do from our engines and machines (it's how they run), and then redistribute that heat back into our atmosphere as weather, than frankly, you're living with your head in the sand.
More heat = more energy, people. This weather is our future, and we need to be prepared. We owe as much to our kids.
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SidelineBoy
11:12 PM on 07/18/2011
I wished I lived a hundred years ago when every time a storm hit we didn't try to explain it. What was a windstorm a hundred years ago is now a man made disaster. I believe in climate change, I believe we play a role, and I believe we need to make changes. But seriously, can we push this agenda harder? If we baselessly conclude that EVERY weather event is caused by man's impact, there will continue to be those on the other side of the issue crying foul.
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Jeremyewilliams
Reality is not the GOPs cup of tea!
09:58 AM on 07/19/2011
What agenda? lmao. It's not the events we are worried about, it's the frequency. Science has no agenda, sir.
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gx5000
Life's too short, be happy..
12:31 PM on 07/19/2011
Jeremyewilliams, there are plenty that will take advantage no matter what.
This is what the deniers always point to.
They think since the snake oil salesmen are not only going to profit, but that they're in on it, thus it's phony.....sigh.
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Daniel Hicks
Science > Your opinion
01:48 PM on 07/19/2011
"I wished I lived a hundred years ago when every time a storm hit we didn't try to explain it."

You don't seem to distinguish between causing an event and altering it. We will never know what would have happened here had we never warmed the planet, and we never can know. What we do know is, now that we have warmed the planet, this kind of thing is happening more and more often. The storms we do get are more numerous and more extreme.

You're right: it is baseless to assume EVERY weather event nowadays is caused by man. It is not baseless to assume we altered it from what it would have otherwise been.
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Warpde
Badges? We don't need no stinking Badges.
10:26 PM on 07/18/2011
Oh my, don't tell the G warming deniers.
You will never hear the end of it.
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Sam Huston
Fair, Balanced and Informed
05:36 AM on 07/19/2011
Ever hear of "Heat Island Effect"?

Google it.
08:23 AM on 07/19/2011
He only "hears" what his HARDCORE Prof's allow him to hear.
07:53 PM on 07/18/2011
And yet, there will be some who will say climate change and global warming are not real. What will it take for some people to acknowledge we're damaging our planet?

By lowering emissions and switching to alternative sources of energy, we're the ones who will benefit in the long run.
08:24 AM on 07/19/2011
CO2 is only 3 percent of Greenhouse Gasses.

Did you know that?
08:52 AM on 07/19/2011
Not once did I mention carbon dioxide in my comment. I wrote 'emissions' meaning I'm including more than just one gas known for it's property of heat retention in our atmosphere.

As for the actual percentage, why not include that regardless of what study a person quotes, the clear trend is that in the past decade or so, the concentrations of carbon dioxide (since you're the one who brought that up) have been increasing at a higher rate? Do we know what's causing the higher rates? Not really. Some scientists say it's from the burning of fossil fuels. Some say it's a combination of factors. Others say it's from the active volcanoes. Add the fact that we keep clear-cutting forests to make more room for our ever-growing population, it means less plants to use CO2 as fuel for photosynthesis.

My point? Depending on what studies one chooses to quote as a source, the argument can go either way. What does it hurt to explore other avenues of energy production when in the long run we're the ones who will benefit? Sooner or later, all the fossil fuels will be consumed, and we can't just wave a magic wand and have more appear out of nowhere. Then again, more than likely that will happen after you and I are long gone...
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stanschurman
07:19 PM on 07/18/2011
God! They're making this stage collapse sound like the Japanese tzunami. I believe in global warming, but in summer windstorms do occur and things do get knocked over. Beyond the stage not being as stable as it might have been, this is just not that significant. Anybody from outside of Canada reading this overblown (get it?) story must wonder how we'd react to a real catastrophe.
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SayBlade
This micro bio intentionally left blank.
10:07 PM on 07/18/2011
I get your point. However, when you are inside the weather disaster it is huge to you especially where people are injured or killed. It's the media that blow things out of proportion.
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11:06 PM on 07/18/2011
no one got killed in the stage collapse
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Sam Huston
Fair, Balanced and Informed
05:42 AM on 07/19/2011
In the old day when common sense prevailed, people used to seek shelter during bad weather, now they hang out with the cellcam to film the carnage and get injured in the process.

The Media is not covering the real story, "people are dumber than they used to be".