Jim Flaherty's Budget Cuts: Are They Too Much, Too Soon?

Flaherty Harper Budget Cuts

First Posted: 08/09/11 10:47 AM ET Updated: 10/09/11 06:12 AM ET

With debt crises in the United States and Europe threatening to send a still-shaky world economy teetering over the edge, Canada’s finances have rarely looked so good.

Despite racking up a hefty federal budget deficit of $36.2 billion last year, or about 3 per cent of GDP, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty's plan to get back to balance by 2015 — which includes an estimated $4 billion in annual spending cuts — has made Canada the poster child for fiscal responsibility.

But as global economic uncertainty once again reaches a fever pitch, how much austerity is too much?

According to Andrew Jackson, chief economist for the Canadian Labour Congress, the belt-tightening underway in Canada is more extreme than in most other industrialized nations.

"The spending cuts are a bit deeper in the U.K. and Spain, but certainly we're at the tough end of the spectrum, even though our fiscal situation...is much healthier," says Jackson. "In my mind, it sort of begs the question: What is the need to reduce the deficit even more rapidly than elsewhere?"

Pointing to a recent IMF report, which shows that the "fiscal adjustment" underway in Canada is occurring more quickly than in the majority of advanced economies, Jackson raises doubts about the benefits of pursuing cuts that will affect everything from public sector jobs to government programs, particularly at a time of widespread economic unrest.

Though Flaherty has yet to detail precisely where the axe will fall, he told CBC News Network in June that Ottawa would review its $80 billion in annual program spending in a bid to trim an estimated $4 billion, or five per cent.

Treasury Board President Tony Clement, who will lead the government's cost-cutting program, has promised the cuts won't endanger the health and safety of Canadians. He vowed in a recent interview with Postmedia News that core services won't be affected and that the downsizing of the public service will be "primarily" accomplished through attrition.

"If the overall aim is to shrink deficits and debts as a share of the economy, if we're shrinking the economy at the same time, it hardly makes it easier, so it's a really contradictory picture," Jackson says. "Spending cuts could well make the real economic situation even worse."

But as McGill University economist Chris Ragan points, government restraint is not the factor contributing to Canada's rapid fiscal adjustment.

"Our deficit may be closing, but part of that may be that the recovery is faster," says Ragan, who holds the C.D. Howe Institute David Dodge Chair in Monetary Policy. "If you look at government cuts, it doesn’t appear to me that it is significantly faster, if faster at all, than anybody else."

Though Ragan acknowledges that government cuts, no matter how small, are never painless, he says that "there's a very good case to be made for what Canada is doing."

"Canada does have some fiscal challenges in its future...which is largely about the aging population and rising health care and age-related spending," he says. "That is a big challenge, and I think you could make a very compelling argument for why we should put that debt-to-GDP ratio back on a downward sloping path."

Yet in the wake of the crisis of confidence that shook markets Monday, Jackson wasn't alone in questioning whether whether government cuts should -- or would -- proceed as planned.

As TD Bank economist Sonya Gulati told The Wall Street Journal, the current unrest might prompt Flaherty to revise his deficit-slashing strategy when he delivers an update on Canada's fiscal outlook in the fall.

"The speed at which the deficit is brought down is key. If you want to bring down the deficit at a time when you are experiencing a fragile economy, you don't want to cut too fast," Gulati said. "I can't say for sure the government will change its timetable. But it is well positioned to do so if it needed."

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With debt crises in the United States and Europe threatening to send a still-shaky world economy teetering over the edge, Canada’s finances have rarely looked so good. Despite racking up a hefty...
With debt crises in the United States and Europe threatening to send a still-shaky world economy teetering over the edge, Canada’s finances have rarely looked so good. Despite racking up a hefty...
 
 
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10:36 AM on 08/12/2011
Clueless is as clueless does.
10:19 AM on 08/12/2011
This is why I was horrified when I learned of the Harper majority and expressed fear for the future. This is pure dogma and will destroy many people and ruin lives including my own, probably. It's bad enough that the Great Canadian Slump has damaged me personally, I guess I have to pay even more for stupid right wing sadism.
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PeachHipGirl
05:06 PM on 08/10/2011
The Conservatives have billions for prisons we don't need, and billions more for Stevie Spiteful's future wars (fought by our children!) but they must cut billions from spending?

Conservatives - ruining Canada for years to come.
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GreenCanadian
is mixing the new record
04:33 PM on 08/10/2011
If the Cons could practice what they preach it would be easier to stomach, but there's no austerity from them. Clements riding got how much? Jets that will cost how much? Oil company subsidies that will cost how much?

"If we were going to have a recession we'd have had it by now"
-Stephen Harper Sept. 2008.
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turkeylurky
Just keepin it real........
04:07 PM on 08/10/2011
Even if and when all these cuts are made, spending will still exceed income.
I think the "Til Debt do us Part" lady should take over for a few year.
She'd stop all spending, balance the budget (with sufficient money set aside for debt repayment), cut the credit cards, put minimal money on jars and have us live within our means.
Unfortunately neither the Conservatives, Liberals or Socialists have the guts to do what is necessary to get this country to do what it takes to balance the books because we got way too many people who have their hands out for a hand-out.
We're all going to Greece. Some of us are going to get there a bit later than other countries.
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Jesse Wright
07:26 PM on 08/10/2011
Did you not read the report??
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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PortlandZoo
Wait... what?
03:52 PM on 08/10/2011
anything Flaherty does is either too much or too little - the man is incompetent - record deficit and debt again, yet he inherited a surplus from Martin's Liberals. Add that to what he did to Canada's largest province, Ontario, under a disastrous con government headed by a guy who's name (Harris/Voldemort) is now a swear word.
02:41 PM on 08/10/2011
Just cutting jobs in the name of productivity is what has led to this mess in the first place. Now government thinks that is the path to nirvana.

Job cutting is a brainless exercise, helping people make the proper changes to adapt to new circumstance is more challenging and should the preferred approach. In the case of the public sector, attrition should be the only path to job cutting. No one in the private sector is going to hire a "bureaucrat" in a competitive job market, other than the higher-ups who have the "contacts"

And in the private sector they are constantly harping on the fact they can't find qualified people and yet they do not lift a finger in re-training their employees and prefer just to dump them when their expertise is no longer needed. Very expedient, very lazy.
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turkeylurky
Just keepin it real........
04:11 PM on 08/10/2011
Cutting a lot of the non-essential civil service jobs would be a good start.
While we're at it, cut public salaries to private sector levels and reduce the golden inflation protected defined benefit pension plans. No one in the private sector has them, why should public "servants"??
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GreenCanadian
is mixing the new record
04:35 PM on 08/10/2011
If people in the public sector are willing to work for less than they are worth it's no one's fault but their own.

It's an interesting way of looking at things you have, we're all in this together to work for as little as possible.
02:39 PM on 08/10/2011
Last I checked, the Legislating Body, counted as a "Government Department" so maybe before cutting funding for Marine Rescue Centres, Cutting Jobs for 700+ Canadian Families etc.; They could fulfil their election promises and throne speech mandate, by trimming the fat from their own superfluous waistlines, rather than starting with families, and essential services.
"Belt Tightening" might not be such a face slapping insult if we were not seeing our PM jumping on the government jet to fly his daughter to hockey games, or to international destinations just to throw bathroom temper tantrums.
If we could have a 5% reduction in Government hypocrisy... it would also be nice!
02:56 AM on 08/10/2011
The US deficit is more than 40 times higher than ours, but they only have 10 times more people. Something tells me we are doing things right here. Balancing the budget is a good idea.
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ProgressiveCDN
A Progressive Moderate
01:00 PM on 08/10/2011
Yes, balancing the budget is a great idea. Let's do it on the backs of our billionaires though, like we used to!! Instead, Harper gives them millions in tax subsidies and wastes our money on useless fighter jets & bigger jails... Also, don't compare us to the states, their economy is a behemoth, not to be compared to ours. No to mention, their politics is backwards and preventing them from common-sense ways to resolve their problems...

I say Progressiv­es Unite! The NDP and the Liberals need to stop this nonsense, seriously. Both parties have good common sense policies for the average Canadian, and Canadians know this. For the good of Canadian Progress!!

Read More Here: http://lib­erallibra.­wordpress.­com/2011/0­8/03/liber­als-the-nd­p/
12:10 AM on 08/10/2011
Spend your way out of a recession. LOL
10:19 AM on 08/12/2011
That happens to be the only thing that works.
08:00 PM on 08/09/2011
Absolutely!! We have to teach the Americans how to do it or they'll drag us down with them.
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piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
06:50 PM on 08/09/2011
Jim looks bored.
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piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
06:49 PM on 08/09/2011
The environment feeds us and he talks about cutting over 700 jobs in that department but he doesn't talk about Revenue Canada which certainly is bloated and needs to be culled. He doesn't get my vote but only 27% of Canadians did so Canadians either don't care or are missing some gray matter.
12:13 AM on 08/10/2011
I think it's more like 42%, but since democracy isn't your cup of tea, why don't you move? Oh!!, BTW, almost all of the Environment jobs are by attrition. But you knew that didn't you. Or did you?
05:50 AM on 08/10/2011
Attrition is a good thing then: please explain?
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ProgressiveCDN
A Progressive Moderate
01:09 PM on 08/10/2011
Turn out was only 61% of registered voters. There are plenty who have not ever registered and even more who don't care to register... Canada's political capital has taken a hit during this last decade.. Much to the benefit of the Conservatives
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piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
06:46 PM on 08/09/2011
I'm quite sure our pockets will be a little leaner when this is done. Flaherty has a history of talking issues like the CPP which doesn't address Canadian retirees. He talks about too much debt. He talks about over used credit. He doen't talk about rich banks and weak returns. He doesn't talk about augmenting or supplementing retiree incomes. He goes around the country talking platitudes. Shortly I am sure he will have a plan to fleece our pockets again all in the name of debt.
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JackHoffman
Pundit
04:20 PM on 08/09/2011
How did these crooked chumps get voted it? How did the low-forehead, Rob Ford get elected in Toronto? What's going on with Canada?
12:17 AM on 08/10/2011
It's called democracy. It actually works unless your left wing. Then everyone is a crook and the system is corrupt.
05:58 AM on 08/10/2011
It's called a quirky system that does not respect the first tenet of democracy.

Putting partisanship aside for a moment, is it a good thing that a party can get a majority in the House of Commons without having 50% + 1 of voters having cast a vote for it?
12:40 PM on 08/10/2011
do you know....this name calling stuff hyperpartisan stuff is one the reasons America is where she is today..

why spread it further...