Canadian Dollar Plummets As Stocks, Commodities Sink Worldwide

Canadian Dollar Loonie Slides

First Posted: 09/22/11 08:16 AM ET Updated: 09/22/11 05:36 PM ET

TORONTO - The loonie tumbled more than two US cents Thursday as a gloomy assessment of the American economy sent commodity prices reeling and currency traders running to the safe haven status of the U.S. dollar.

The Canadian dollar fell 2.08 cents to 97.33 cents US after going as low as 96.51 cents US, its lowest level in about a year. The currency closed below parity with the U.S. dollar on Wednesday for the first time since the end of January.

Traders fled from risk and into U.S. Treasury bonds after the U.S. Federal Reserve said Wednesday that there are "significant downside risks to the economic outlook."

The Fed statement came as the central bank took steps to stimulate the economy that had largely been expected. But investors were troubled because the central bank's statement showed it expected a deep and persistent downturn.

"We had a very negative reaction to the Fed's actions," said Mark Chandler of RBC Dominion Securities.

"I suspect it was simply a fact of the emperor's clothes — that people are worried that the (Fed's) tool chest is quite bare for policy-makers to do much at this stage."

Rising global economic uncertainty has pushed investors to the greenback as it is perceived as a safe option during times of financial turbulence.

Whenever there is a flight to quality towards the U.S. currency — even amid a slumping American economy — the Canadian dollar usually gets caught in the crossfire. Besides a move towards the greenback by international money traders, falling commodity prices have also hit the Canadian currency, which is seen as linked to the price of oil, minerals and other resources.

"Risky assets in general — and people usually keep commodities within that group — are under pressure and as long as that continues it will just exacerbate the weaker move of the Canadian dollar," added Chandler.

Demand concerns and a rising U.S. dollar sent oil prices plunging below US$81 a barrel, extending losses from the previous session as worries about much lower demand sent the November crude contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange falling $5.41 to US$80.51.

A stronger greenback usually helps depress commodity prices, which are denominated in U.S. dollars and a major influence on the Toronto stock market's main index, as it makes oil and metals more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Copper prices also fell sharply with the December contract 28 cents lower to US$3.49 after hitting a 52-week low of US$3.45. Demand has weakened for the widely used industrial metal. Oil prices are also declining as are prices of other commodities used in industry, construction and other sectors around the world.

The slide in commodity prices also followed a comment from the chief executive of global mining giant Rio Tinto that some of its customers are asking the company to delay shipments of iron ore and other metals — the latest sign the global economic slowdown is squeezing the resources sector.

"It is noticeable that markets are somewhat weaker," Rio Tinto CEO Tom Albanese said in an interview with the Financial Times of London published Wednesday.

"In a few cases, customers are asking to reschedule deliveries. This is consistent with customers being cautious about the current state of business."

Despite the flight to safety, gold prices also tumbled with the December contract on the Nymex down $66.40 to US$1,741.70 an ounce.

Chandler also believes that economic conditions will keep the Canadian dollar below parity for a while yet.

"In the near term, there’s more scope for the Canadian dollar to weaken," he said.

"If and when, the world gets a bit better news on growth, then you would see the currency drift back toward parity. But it may be a story that’s really for the early to mid-part of next year."

There was also some disappointing news on the economic front as Canadian retail sales declined 0.6 per cent to $37.5 billion in July.

The negative showing followed three straight monthly increases. Statistics Canada said lower sales were reported in seven of 11 subsectors, with vehicle and parts dealers accounting for most of the decline. Excluding vehicle and parts dealers, retail sales were flat.

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TORONTO - The loonie tumbled more than two US cents Thursday as a gloomy assessment of the American economy sent commodity prices reeling and currency traders running to the safe haven status of the U...
TORONTO - The loonie tumbled more than two US cents Thursday as a gloomy assessment of the American economy sent commodity prices reeling and currency traders running to the safe haven status of the U...
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04:55 AM on 09/23/2011
As the loonie drops, prepare to be doubly screwed. Many businesses have taken advantage of parity by not lowering prices on imported goods that they resell to us. So they have skimmed the cream of a strong Canadian dollar. As it drops they will likely use the excuse to raise prices.
So we paid more than we should have and we will pay yet more than we should.
10:33 PM on 09/22/2011
Harper has his majority now so I'm sure he'll have no problem fixing it.
06:42 PM on 09/22/2011
a few years back the dollar was at 65 cents -----so whats the big deal
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
LauraBethT
06:38 PM on 09/22/2011
Wow fear mongering much? All day the headline as been 'HOLY CRAP CRISIS WHAT DO WE DO?' That's only making it worse. Sigh.
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
06:14 PM on 09/22/2011
Computer Program Trading can clobber and panic and create any type of headline they wish.

And since 45% of stock market activity is done by Computer Program Trading, when ONE large investor PANICS, the news races instantly around the globe.

There is an easy solution to the economic problems of the U.S. and Europe which is to SHUTDOWN THE STOCK MARKETS for a year in order to give those Economies a chance to repair themselves.

If anyone has a truckload of cash and wants to invest in Corporation's A, B or C, let them get on the phone to those Corporation's and tel them that they will lend that Corporation $20 million for a year for a 6% fixed return.

This CASINO CAPITALISM, that has enveloped the World, can destabilize the financial system in a flash suitable aided by the CORPORATE CONTROLLED MEDIA.

In this Corporate Corrupted World, this is called an IMPLOSION and all systems eventually IMPLODE!

The human race SURVIVED 7000 years (since the Sumerian Period) without those EFFIN STOCK MARKETS!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
05:15 PM on 09/22/2011
Now's the time to export. Sell those goods now.
05:04 PM on 09/22/2011
A little context for the headlines from the HUFF POST HEADLINE GUIDE

dollar drop appropriate headline

$0.02 dollar drops like a stone
$0.03 dollar drops drops like a ton of bricks
$0.04 dollar dropped off the turnip truck
$0.05 dollar dropped like a bad habit
$0.06 dollar dropped like a hot potato
$0.07 dollar dropped by the wayside
$0.08 dollar dropped dead
$0.09 dollar drops out of sight
$0.10 dollar dropped off the radar
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
05:56 PM on 09/22/2011
The Corporate Controlled Media has to "scream" these headlines in the hopes of selling their Media Advertizement content to more customers or to try and hold the ones they have.

Thanks for your good logic.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
temenos
castigat ridendo mores
03:13 PM on 09/22/2011
...And the media, including HP, again whip up hysteria with sensationalist headlines thereby adding to the public's diminishing confidence in the economy and further drops in the markets.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
greysells2
grey cells matter
02:38 PM on 09/22/2011
If the US economy is in the tank, can anyone explain to me why the US Dollar is the chosen currency in a "flight to safety"?
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laymancanuck
IGNORANCE has used up its quota of TOLERANCE
03:23 PM on 09/22/2011
It makes no sense to me either. It doesn't seem rational, other then the fact the investment community are all lemmings, herd mentality.
03:50 PM on 09/22/2011
"can anyone explain to me why the US Dollar is the chosen currency in a "flight to safety"? "

There is no gold standard anymore.

Quit studying Marx and start working with our hands and getting dirty.
03:57 PM on 09/22/2011
Right. It's all about the Gold Standard.

Safeguarding the establishment's amassed wealth and limiting credit availability was awesome. I loved the 1800's.

And what do Groucho, Harpo, Zeppo and Chiko have to do with economics anyway?
01:53 PM on 09/22/2011
Hey, don't worry, be happy.

This is precisely how capitalism is supposed to work.
The capital in "capitalism" is supposed to follow the highest potential profits, and is not supposed to have any barriers to its movements. That means it goes anywhere. Currently, it is migrating to China and India. Someday, it will be another region/country with lower wages/business regulation that above countries.

Capital has no memory, no remorse, no empathy for people's lives destroyed by capital's movements. The people who are the "best capitalists" are creatures that emulate those characteristics. We have a word for them : sociopaths.

Your choices: Accept that western economic power has peaked and we are all doomed to a dramatically lower standard of living and quality of life, or take back the capital from the sociopaths, and radically change the system.

Who benefits from free trade? Corporations, and the small percentage of people that run/own them. Who is hurt by free trade? Every single citizen of a resource-rich country that watches their national treasure sold off for the exclusive benefit of that small cabal of said sociopaths.

Canada is awash with natural wealth, but an ever-increasing percent of Canadians are shut out of that wealth as it flows into the hands of foreign capitalists and the small cabal of their Canadian cohorts.

But the average Canadian citizen won't do anything to change this crime. We are too meek to do what is necessary.
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TT Esty1
Failure is a temporary condition.
12:14 PM on 09/22/2011
Well, it sounds like things are returning to normal. Isn't this where we started. Not certain why there is such a fuss about the 'market'. It's a bit like a Casino. People pretend to know what is happening but let's face it, it's a crap shoot. Different people know different things at different times but no one can seem to put it all together because, there is no 'together'. The market is there to make the marketeers money, plain and simple. They could just as well bet on when the butterfly will land on the rose but that type of gambling is regulated.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jake Thomas
elastic
12:14 PM on 09/22/2011
We need a weaker dollar so other countries like the USA or China can get a better price on our raw logs and bitumen.
12:44 PM on 09/22/2011
Or a few other things. Agricultural markets stand to benefit. (And, on an emotional level, it will help boost the morale for the farmers working at least 14 hour days during this harvest season.) Also, please see the following excerpt, then the link provided by RBC:
" The agricultural products sub-index fell 2.6% in July from the three-year
high seen in June. Weakness in the month was concentrated in field crop
prices, with wheat prices posting the sharpest decline as they fell 8.4% as
the expiration of Russia’s grain export ban eased supply constraints. Despite
the monthly decline, agricultural prices continue to be well above their
year-ago levels, with the sub-index 42.5% higher than July of last year."
http://www.rbc.com/economics/market/pdf/cpm.pdf
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
King Stevie Harper
11:47 AM on 09/22/2011
The Canadian dollar is up and down like a toilet seat. hmm wait a minute... supply and demand ... yes that's the ticket. I have to go, Get me Jim Flartypants on the line!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
opprobrious
More speech. Less Flagging.
11:41 AM on 09/22/2011
Sounds like the world is pricing in a Greek default.
04:00 PM on 09/22/2011
However, the price of a greek salad on the Danforth is up 4% in today's trading.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
opprobrious
More speech. Less Flagging.
12:32 AM on 09/23/2011
:)
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
stopgeorge
Paper Ballots WORK. Unverifiable e-voting doesn't
11:28 AM on 09/22/2011
I've heard that the dollar -- around 96 cents -- is perfect. It is certainly better that it is lower for the business that I'm in.