Manitoba Election Results In Fourth NDP Majority

Manitoba Ndp Election Results Majority Selinger

First Posted: 10/04/11 11:03 PM ET Updated: 12/04/11 05:12 AM ET

WINNIPEG - Manitoba's New Democrats rode a resilient economy to win a fourth-straight majority government Tuesday, even though the Progressive Conservatives took a big bite out of their popular vote.

It wasn't enough for Tory Leader Hugh McFadyen, who told supporters he takes personal responsibility for failing to dent the NDP's seat count and will step down once his replacement is chosen.

Premier Greg Selinger's party took 37 of the legislature's 57 seats compared with 19 for the Conservatives and one for the Liberals. Some constituencies, including two with very tight races, had some ballots that Elections Manitoba said wouldn't be counted until Friday, but none of those will impact the NDP's majority.

The makeup of the legislature will be virtually unchanged from the 2007 election when the NDP won 36 seats.

The popular vote was almost a dead heat. The NDP was running at close to 46 per cent, less than two percentage points ahead of the Tories. In 2007, the New Democrats beat the Tories by 10 points.

"Today Manitobans went to the ballot box and they voted for optimism!" Selinger told a crowd of cheering supporters after the results came in.

"Tonight we have made history in Manitoba. Life is never better than when we work together for a purpose greater than ourselves, and that's what we've done tonight."

Manitoba has been largely unaffected by the economic slowdown that has hit other parts of North America. With low unemployment, a strong housing market and the recent return of the National Hockey League to Winnipeg, voters stuck with the party that has held power since 1999.

"I felt on the doorstep ... that there was no great mood for change," Attorney General Andrew Swan said. "People were satisfied with the work that the NDP has done over the past 12 years and they want us to get back in and keep working hard."

The key for the New Democrats was Winnipeg, which has 31 seats and holds the balance of power. The NDP was elected in all but a handful of those seats, which allowed the party to hold off a strong rural showing by the Tories.

The PCs had targeted a number of seats in the capital city with little success. Star candidates such as Olympic speedskater Susan Auch and former city councillor Gord Steeves went down to defeat by healthy margins. NDP cabinet ministers were re-elected, handily in most cases.

McFadyen said he didn't get the job done.

"You have to deliver bottom-line results if you want to carry on as leader of the party," he said. "We didn't get the result we wanted so I am announcing tonight that I will be stepping down as our party leader."

McFadyen added that his party was the victim of a cruel numbers game under the first-past-the post election system.

"Under any other circumstance we would be happy with 45 per cent of the popular vote," he said. "Obviously we didn't get those votes in the right places.

"It's a very disappointing night for all of us."

Liberal Leader Jon Gerrard retained his Winnipeg riding of River Heights, but his party fell to 7.5 per cent voter support from 12 per cent in 2007.

Gerrard wouldn't discuss his future, but did say he would represent his constituents for the next four years. He told his supporters not to lose faith.

"There is a very strong future for Liberals in Manitoba," he said.

"We have a dream someday we will have a Liberal government in this province. Let us, in spite of the results today, not be disheartened."

Selinger retained his Winnipeg seat of St. Boniface and McFadyen was re-elected in the city's Fort Whyte constituency.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper sent his congratulations to Selinger. "I look forward to continuing to work with him on promoting prosperity in the province and country," Harper said in a news release.

The win is a personal victory for the premier, who took over from Gary Doer, the charismatic leader who was the face of the NDP in Manitoba for 20 years. Doer left to become Canada's ambassador to the United States and party support dipped under Selinger. He had served as the province's finance minister for a decade but struggled as leader to connect with voters.

As recently as seven months ago, polls suggested the Tories were well out in front of the New Democrats, but Selinger polished his public-speaking skills and developed a more aggressive tone when debating his opponents.

That tone was evident throughout the hotly contested four-week election campaign. The parties were differentiated more by their attacks ads than by policies.

On billboards, television and in print, the NDP accused McFadyen of having a secret agenda to privatize Crown corporations and cut health care.

One NDP ad included a photo of a scared little girl curled up in her mother's arms with the question: "Can your family risk Hugh McFadyen and the PCs?"

McFadyen, 44, is a former lawyer who has led the Tories through two unsuccessful campaigns. He was painted by the NDP as a neo-conservative threat to government programs based on his time as a policy adviser to the Tory government of the 1990s, which sold off the province's telephone company.

McFadyen spent much of the campaign on the defensive. He took out ads that promised no such cuts would occur.

But the Tories also took their own jabs. They accused the NDP of having a soft-on-crime stance and letting criminals roam free. One candidate's radio ad called the Point Douglas area north of downtown Winnipeg "a war zone."

All three parties promised to hire more doctors and nurses to improve health care and to put more police officers on the streets to fight the province's high crime rate.

The NDP and Liberals promised to balance the budget by 2014, while the Tories said they would take until 2018 to avoid tax increases.

The leaders fought to occupy the political centre in a bid to capture the middle-class suburban seats that usually determine Manitoba elections.

One of the few major policy differences was over a massive hydroelectric transmission line, now in the planning stages, that is to bring power from northern dams to homes and businesses in the south.

Manitoba Hydro wanted to build a direct line through the boreal forest along the east side of Lake Winnipeg. But the NDP ordered the Crown corporation to reroute the line to the western edge of the province, making it hundreds of kilometres longer and hundreds of millions of dollars more expensive.

The Tories campaigned on a promise to revert to the original route, but the NDP said that line would threaten a fragile ecosystem and be blocked by aboriginal groups in court.

Gerrard, 63, has had four kicks at the can and has failed to bring the Liberals out of the political wilderness. He struggled in a campaign that was personally disheartening and, at times, riven with dissent.

One week before the election, one Liberal candidate said he was worried the party might not win any seats and placed part of the blame on Gerrard.

Days later, two former Liberal members of Parliament wrote letters of support for New Democrats in two constituencies. Then someone using a photo of Liberal candidate Paul Hesse opened a Twitter account and started posting messages urging Gerrard to step down. Hesse immediately denounced the move and said he had not authorized it.

The Liberals won two seats in the 2007 election. One became vacant last year when Kevin Lamoureux resigned for a successful run at federal politics. When the election was called, the NDP had 36 seats, the Tories had 18, the Liberals had one and there were two vacancies.

By Steve Lambert, with files from Chinta Puxley and Scott Edmonds, The Canadian Press

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Capital Ottawa
04:28 PM on 10/05/2011
Manitoba is proof that the NDP is capable of governing.
thediamond0000
as above, so below.
12:50 PM on 10/05/2011
Congrats from Alberta!

Never met a bad person from MB yet.
11:55 AM on 10/05/2011
Happy for Manitoba.

I also enjoy seeing the Conservatives get pasted on the map despite the good showing in the popular vote. It's about time they see what it feels like to be screwed over in that department.
11:12 AM on 10/05/2011
yet another sad four years for this province
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CHMB
What's long and brown and sticky? A Stick.
11:34 AM on 10/05/2011
Gee thanks. Clearly you have NO idea what happened under the Fillmon Government. He cut medical school enrollement, and cut nursing positions. Wait times were impossibly long as a result of the Fillmon policies.

Further, the Manitoba economy is doing fantastically right now.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/on-an-even-keel-manitobas-miracle-takes-shape/article2189473/

Do some research before you shoot your mouth off about Manitoba.
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Blodo
Time to build a better world
09:45 AM on 10/05/2011
Well done, Manitoba. In Saskatchewan, we have conservatives (Saskatchewan Party) in power, but they are behaving themselves and acting a lot like fiscally prudent and socially conscious NDPers.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sociocanuck
Red Tory mind / Progressive voting history
04:30 PM on 10/06/2011
That's a conservatism I could support wholeheartedly. It's a shame our 'Liberal' Party (in name only) insists on clinging to the Social Credit tradition, slightly modified to favour corporatism in actions and social conservatism in commentary.

The re-emergence of the British Colmbia Conservative Party will make things interesting around here. It's still anybody's guess whether they or the Liberals will take a more moderate approach or collectively turn to a Republican/Tea Party style rush to out-Conservative one another.
09:04 AM on 10/05/2011
Way to go Manitoba. The other two always think they have it in their pocket. Layton showed them. I wish he were still alive. Vote NDP!!!!!!!!!!!!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CHMB
What's long and brown and sticky? A Stick.
11:37 AM on 10/05/2011
My area is represented by an NDP'er, thank goodness!!
07:25 AM on 10/05/2011
Awesome!! way to go NDP !!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ascoli
05:17 AM on 10/05/2011
Congratulations Manitoba from Quebec
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
mravka
The world has gone completely mad.
12:05 PM on 10/05/2011
x2
03:59 AM on 10/05/2011
Let's hope the NDP does well in Ontario and the Tories remain an impotent minority there.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ProgressiveCDN
A Progressive Moderate
11:40 PM on 10/04/2011
I'm just glad we weren't duped by the "progressive" Conservatives... MB keeps moving in a truly progressive direction.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
01:29 AM on 10/05/2011
Is that why their economy sucks and they are still a have not province?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Steve Lives
The Venus Project ... look it up
02:53 AM on 10/05/2011
So you're saying, if it was a Conservative government, it wouldn't be a have not province?
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02:59 AM on 10/05/2011
So, which have province do you live in?

Source: Statistics Canada

Quebec and Ontario will receive the most from equalization payments in the 2011-2012 year. However, per capita, PEI benefits the most. In the 2011-2012 year, the following provinces will receive equalization payments:

Quebec ($7.815 billion)
Ontario ($2.200 billion)
Manitoba ($1.666 billion)
New Brunswick ($1.483 billion)
Nova Scotia ($1.167 billion)
Prince Edward Island ($329 million)

The following provinces will not qualify for equalization payments in 2011-2012:

Alberta
Saskatchewan
Newfoundland and Labrador
British Columbia
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ProgressiveCDN
A Progressive Moderate
11:34 PM on 10/04/2011
Did Paul Hesse Win??
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CHMB
What's long and brown and sticky? A Stick.
11:43 AM on 10/05/2011
No. Jennifer Howard won in Fort Rouge.

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/breakingnews/Historic-seat-count-for-NDP-131119853.html
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Marie Godbout
11:19 PM on 10/04/2011
Why NDP people all look like British actors of ther 40's... ?
You can be a great leader and put some time on your appearance... Congratulations anyway...
07:17 AM on 10/05/2011
I don't care if my leader looks like a Hobbit straight from the Shire, so long as they get the job done. As voters, we need get over the flash and look to the substance.
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Blodo
Time to build a better world
09:40 AM on 10/05/2011
I couldn't agree more.
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vogonpoet42
Illegitimus Non Carborundum
11:09 AM on 10/05/2011
Brian Topp kinda looks like a Hobbit from the Shire when you stop and think of it. Plus, he did mention something about going for the ring of power.
10:25 PM on 10/04/2011
Thank you from a former Manitoban ( hoping to move back soon ) for having the sense not to vote in the Cons.
07:19 AM on 10/05/2011
After what the Conservatives did to health care and MTS, it's unlikely they will get back in any time soon. Maybe when memories fade, but Manitobians are still holding a grudge.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CHMB
What's long and brown and sticky? A Stick.
11:36 AM on 10/05/2011
Oh the health care nightmare. Medical students and nurses are still enraged about what occured under Fillmon.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
CHMB
What's long and brown and sticky? A Stick.
11:35 AM on 10/05/2011
Move back! It's great here. I'm quite happy.