Ontario Election: Poll Suggests McGuinty Has A Solid Lead In Home Stretch

Dalton Mcguinty

First Posted: 10/04/11 08:50 PM ET Updated: 12/04/11 05:12 AM ET

TORONTO - A new poll suggests the Ontario Liberals have taken a solid lead into the home stretch of the election campaign.

The poll by Ipsos Reid puts the Liberals at 41 per cent support among decided voters and the Progressive Conservatives at 31 per cent support.

It places the New Democrats at 25 per cent support and the Green Party at three per cent.

The poll marks a major shift from recent surveys that had the Liberals and Conservatives in a dead heat, raising the prospect of Ontario's first minority government in 26 years.

In July, an Ipsos Reid poll showed the Tories with an 11-point lead, but the latest numbers suggest that support has slipped significantly over the last three months.

Ipsos Reid says its poll suggests the Liberals are headed back to government, potentially with a majority.

The poll surveyed 1,020 adults by telephone between Sept. 30 and Oct. 3.

The results are considered accurate within plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, 9 times out of 10.

The poll was conducted for Global News, CFRB NewsTalk 1010 and the Ottawa Citizen.

SEE WHO ONTARIO'S NEWSPAPERS ENDORSED BELOW:

The Globe And Mail - McGuinty
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The Globe's endorsement frames McGuinty as the moderate and experienced choice in tough economic times. While it praises Hudak's "basically sound political and economic principles," it faults him for spending the campaign criticizing McGuinty rather than outlining his vision for Ontario's future. The editorial completely discounts the NDP, arguing their "dangerously flawed" ideas could seriously damage Ontario's economy if the party is given a chance to influence policy either in government or within a minority. (CP)
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