U.S. Presidential Race: Barack Obama Could Always Come North If Things Don't Work Out In 2012, Poll Suggests

Obama

First Posted: 10/18/11 05:00 AM ET Updated: 10/19/11 04:31 PM ET

OTTAWA - If things don't work out in next year's U.S. elections, Barack Obama could always come north.

Fifty-one per cent of Canadians surveyed in a poll by The Canadian Press Harris-Decima said they thought Obama is doing at least a good job.

Another 30 per cent rated his performance as fair, while 10 per cent said he's doing poorly.

Support is down 10 points from a year ago, when 61 per cent of Canadians surveyed said Obama was doing at least a good job.

But it's better than he's doing at home, where Gallup's daily presidential tracking poll has Obama's job approval at 40 per cent of Americans against 52 per cent who disapproved of his performance.

Harris-Decima interviewed just over 1,000 Canadians Oct. 6-9, and the numbers are considered accurate to within plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, 19 times in 20.

The Conservatives under Prime Minister Stephen Harper garnered just under 40 per cent of the vote in winning a majority government last May 2. Polls suggest the Tories have lost some of that support.

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Yay or Nay: Obama as prime minister of Canada

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Obama won the presidency in 2008 on a campaign of hope and optimism. He has since been besieged by crippling economic woes and problems mustering congressional support for some of his key initiatives.

The Democrat has lost some lustre in the eyes of a disillusioned American electorate but not so much in Canada, where he has had a built-in advantage among the populace.

"Right out of the gate, there was something about the president that Canadians could really be attracted to on a more widespread basis than Americans were," noted Harris-Decima's Doug Anderson.

"It was really an appeal that was across our own partisan lines ... and that's still the case. There's something about the message that he's delivering or what he represents."

Anderson acknowledged Canadians are more politically left-of-centre than Americans to begin with.

"That's sort of an historic truism. Even if values may be shifting a little bit towards the right in Canada over the last decade or two, they're not what they are in the States. So the metre has to be recalibrated for Canada when you're looking at anybody."

Obama succeeded Republican George W. Bush, whose popularity in Canada was well below that of his predecessors. Anderson says Canadians put a lot of hope in Obama, just like many Americans.

Residents of Atlantic Canada and Quebec were most likely to say Obama is still doing well, while Western Canadians were least likely to agree. Regional breakdowns have higher margins of error.

One in 10 of those surveyed nationally said their opinion of Obama is getting better over time, while 63 per cent said their opinion remains unchanged.

Nineteen per cent said their opinion of the president is getting worse, up from 12 per cent a year ago.

Most said the president has done a good job keeping his campaign promises — 56 per cent, versus 21 who said he isn't. That support has declined from 65 per cent last year and 70 per cent two years ago.

Residents of Quebec and those over the age of 50 were most likely to say Obama is doing a good job of keeping his campaign promises.

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OTTAWA - If things don't work out in next year's U.S. elections, Barack Obama could always come north.Fifty-one per cent of Canadians surveyed in a poll by The Canadian Press Harris-Decima said they t...
OTTAWA - If things don't work out in next year's U.S. elections, Barack Obama could always come north.Fifty-one per cent of Canadians surveyed in a poll by The Canadian Press Harris-Decima said they t...
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07:58 PM on 10/18/2011
Only 51%? I thought it would be higher.

Anyhow, it's imperative that he serve another term in the USA first. The alternative is too stark to consider.

He can come up after 2016. He's still a young man for a political leader.
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Sean Connolly
07:41 PM on 10/18/2011
President and General Secretary of the Communist Party!
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
05:55 PM on 10/18/2011
Obama will pull out 'for health reasons'.
One term president.
Epic fail.
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07:59 PM on 10/18/2011
The only "epic fail" is your vision.
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03:44 PM on 10/18/2011
Hey Obama, I hear the NDP are looking for a new leader... You should send your resume ;)
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greysells2
grey cells matter
05:23 PM on 10/18/2011
Obama's left of center, progressive credentials are not sufficiently in order.
03:38 PM on 10/18/2011
The biggest change brought about by the Obama administration is the doubling down on the destruction of civil liberties and the disregard for the rule of law, both domestically and internationally.

This President has codified almost all of Bush's extra-legal excesses, preventive detention, assassination without due process, rampant warrantless wiretapping, etc, making them effectively permanent.
03:29 PM on 10/18/2011
Sure, what's one more war criminal?
03:06 PM on 10/18/2011
I would say that Canadians think Obama is doing a good job because they don't know any better. It is my opinion that Obama is just an elegant speech giver and a frontman for the interests of the 1%. All you have to do is take a close look at what he's done since his election. More War. Expanded Authoritarian powers. More drone attacks. Assassinations. More Lies. More pro-business, anti-people legislation. More capitulation to Israel. More more more... he's just as bad as Bush was, except when it comes to delivering a speech.

So Obama come to Canada? Thanks but no thanks. Harper is bad enough.
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Kristopher Leang
training to take down the elite
11:02 AM on 10/18/2011
ironically against individual candidates, obama seems to always lose, but when put up against the "hypothetical: obama vs the republican party in general polls put him ahead.. hah
BritishColumbian
American/Canadian liberal
12:23 PM on 10/18/2011
Not really accurate. Go to "real clear politics" and navigate to polls....they report daily polls and running averages
10:16 AM on 10/18/2011
His sophisticated understanding of the complex nature of the world and his respectful acknowledgement that the USA is not the ONLY country in the world is a huge factor in his Canadian support and that of most of the world's other 190 plus countries. Ask those GOP contenders what they know about the "Rest of the World"... Herman Cain doesn't care...how terrifying.

His more peaceful approach to issues rather than his in-your-face John-Wayne-the-cowboy-style demonstrates that he believes people are capable of the sitting-down-and-talking kind of resolving of issues.

The refusal of the NRA to visit the White House, the months spent trying to prove he isn't a born in the country American, the bastardization of his original health care plan (I listened to every word of that first speech) by vested interests, are only 3 examples showing that those who've opposed him since he first drew breath as president don't want that kind of problem solving to take place. It's been glaringly obvious since day one.

And just where ARE those jobs the GOP promised the American people last fall?
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Opygollopy
The more I talk to people, the more I love my dogs
11:55 AM on 10/18/2011
Well said. F & F
12:01 PM on 10/18/2011
bang on observations......
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Miller Time
09:42 AM on 10/18/2011
No he won't! He can perhaps go to the Russia or some other Communist dictatorship, but he certainly ain't welcome here. His sister lives in Burlington. Don't want him anywhere close to us.
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Blodo
Time to build a better world
10:04 AM on 10/18/2011
"Communist dictatorship???"

Um, yeah. Right.

He would certainly be welcome to move in next door to me.
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Miller Time
04:52 PM on 10/18/2011
OK Mr. Putin.
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Kristopher Leang
training to take down the elite
11:03 AM on 10/18/2011
haha another cold war propaganda ignorant mind. go back to your republican state, read the bible again, abuse your wife then go to a republican dressed as a kkk like you would probably already do.
09:33 AM on 10/18/2011
Canadians support Obama because they see the reality of what he's actually accomplished, rather than the twisted, censored version that gets spoon-fed to the US citizens by the right wing media prevalent in the US.
mom72
right is almost always wrong.
09:22 AM on 10/18/2011
In Canada, we seem to have much more tolerance and a better grasp of reality then our southern neighbors. Obama never claimed to be perfect and he never claimed to be able to fix the countries problems in a few short years, and he also never claimed to be able to do it alone without the help of congress. Americans want their politicians to be celebrities and when they fall short they turn on them. Obama has had to make some tough choices and he has had to face the worst obstruction EVER. The state of that country isn't because of Obama it's because of the Republicans refusal to work with a black man in the White house, even if that black man seems to be the most common sensed, bi-partisan, intelligent guy they've ever had there. In Canada, I think we would at appreciate him for what he has to offer and not hate him for things he hasn't even done.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Miller Time
09:44 AM on 10/18/2011
He had complete control of congress for more than a year and managed to achieve nothing. He is a lame-duck President and the worst in my lifetime.

He proposed changes to his health care bill, but if Republicans support his changes, he is threatening to veto the Bill. Just how stupid is that?
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Opygollopy
The more I talk to people, the more I love my dogs
11:58 AM on 10/18/2011
Thats where you are wrong, Congress had control of congress. The President and his Administration is a separate entity as is the Senate.

He achieved quite alot in comparison to GWB. all of it good.
12:06 PM on 10/18/2011
he never had complete control of Congress...he had Blue Dog Democrats and it amazes me still that many seem to think a President can do whatever they want.

Post 9/11 was an extraordinary time and that's what gave George W the ability, for a time , to railroad agendas through.
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spinnerator
10:03 AM on 10/18/2011
Perhaps not, but he certainly insinuated that he was far more left of centre than he turned out to be. He courted the extreme left with those insinutations and failed to even try to deliver. Now fools them for thinking he would, but they're the ones who are undermining him. The Republicans are just acting like Republicans.
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Kristopher Leang
training to take down the elite
11:04 AM on 10/18/2011
the big problem was obama promised big change, and now that hes given a little change hes saying "woahh why you guys mad, see i changed abit,. what gave you the impression it would be big change??"
BritishColumbian
American/Canadian liberal
12:33 PM on 10/18/2011
The reality of the American system is that real change is nearly impossible which is why they are in the mess they are in. Filibusters, holds on legislation, vote of 60 needed in the Senate to advance a bill, perpetual elections...look at the debt ceiling mess. The Republicans said outright after the election that their main goal was to defeat President Obama.

Plus if you look at his campaign, he was not as left of centre as the media and the Rebs. made him out to be