Flaherty On Canada Economy: Recession Not In Forecast

First Posted: 11/01/11 06:01 PM ET Updated: 11/02/11 10:25 PM ET

Jim Flaherty


Canada is not entering a recession, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told MPs Tuesday, despite turbulence in world markets.


Speaking to the House finance committee, Flaherty said the third quarter of 2011 looks good for Canada, and that he expects growth in the fourth quarter too.


Flaherty said Europe is going through a "very difficult time" and may well be in or entering into a recession.


"That is not true in this country," he said. "Canada is doing relatively well and I'll continue to rely on the private sector economists with respect to economic forecasts.


"The economic forecasts that we make are based on the average of 15 private sector economists," he said. "They agreed that the forecasts we are using are a reasonable basis for fiscal planning in Canada. Other people have other views from time to time."


Speaking to reporters after the committee, Flaherty said a decision by Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou to put his country's austerity measures to a referendum concerns him. He said any delay concerns him and pointed out – as he has for months – that the G20 finance ministers have been talking about Greece's money problems since January 2010.


"I encourage all the participants to get on with it, to get to the implementation of the agreements that have been reached. Delay is not helpful and I hope we'll be able to advance that cause at the G20 meetings over the next few days," Flaherty said.


"I would encourage the Europeans to get to conclusions and implementation. This is very important. We already see some reactions in the markets that are not good. And this is the kind of thing that happens when there is extraordinary delay, as there has been."


Flaherty is meeting his G20 counterparts in Cannes, France, this week. He said he doesn't expect consensus about implementing a tax on financial transactions, something he and Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney oppose.


"It's always open to individual countries or countries as a group can impose as a group if they wish," Flaherty said.


Flaherty also pledged that corporate tax cuts, which come into effect Jan. 1, 2012, will go ahead.


The committee is hearing witnesses on a bill to implement the 2011 budget, as well as on what spending should be included in next year's budget.


Earlier in the day, Carney told the committee that Europe is headed for a brief recession and U.S. growth will be weak in the first half of 2012.


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Canada is not entering a recession, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told MPs Tuesday, despite turbulence in world markets. Speaking to the House finance committee, Flaherty said...
Canada is not entering a recession, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told MPs Tuesday, despite turbulence in world markets. Speaking to the House finance committee, Flaherty said...
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sonoffestus
Got smart & got out!
05:40 PM on 11/02/2011
Yup, things are just fine, fine I tell you, fine.................Now who feels better?
02:23 PM on 11/02/2011
I really enjoyed seeing these two headlines side by side on the Canadian business edition of the Huffington Post"

It May Get A Little Rough, But Canada Isn't Heading For Recession: Flaherty
http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2011/11/01/flaherty-canada-economy-recession_n_1070345.html?ref=canada-business
and

Canada's Food Banks See Recession-Level Demand
http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2011/11/01/food-banks-usage-canada_n_1068786.html?ref=canada-business

May be how one sees the world depends upon one's perspective and one's wanting to be re-elected.

(The author of this comment has a web log on economics at https://economics102.wordpress.com/)
10:12 PM on 11/01/2011
I guess Jim Flaherty could be right but it really depends on how you define 'recession'. If that word means anything you want it to mean then obviously you will be correct no matter what you say. However if the word recession is taken to mean a general slowdown in economic activity then I think that Flaherty will certainly be wrong. The disaster in Europe will spread around the world and that will have a major effect on the world economy. Our balance of trade has been declining this year and there is no sign of an upswing. Unless the US starts to make a significant recovery we will not do so. On some interpretations we are now entering another recession.
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Kristopher Leang
training to take down the elite
09:44 PM on 11/01/2011
the last time we "weren't" in a recession according to the conservative government i and thousands of other teens in my small town were unemployed and wondering what was happening. it has never taken me more than 1 or 2 weeks to get a job. i was unemployed and looking hard for 6 straight months. (and i didn't go on ei even though i was a student with no money)

then all of a sudden they announce "umm actually we are in 2008" and im like obviously i already knew this for months. i dont listen to flaherty's big lieing mouth or the other conservatives. i read the news, talk to people, and observe all the problems Canada is suffering in the REAL world.

of course no lobbyists get heard by the conservatives who want to address things like healthcare, the CPP or rising tuition (my university tuition went up 2700$ in 2 years, are we trying to be american people?)
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
08:40 PM on 11/01/2011
Gee, Flaherty says this.

Gee, Carney says that.

Gee, CIBC World Markets says when the Euro blows up, the Canadian Provincial Governments will have to PRIVATIZE all of its services to The Corporate State, which they will be bankrolling behind the scenes, or RAISE TAXES as a result.

I have a better solution.

The Government should nationalize the Canadian Banks, send Carney back to Goldman Sachs where he came from, take back control of The Central Bank and start issuing CREDIT at low interest instead of DEBT at high interest as the Big Banks do now.

Then the financial system would be just fine.
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Kristopher Leang
training to take down the elite
09:47 PM on 11/01/2011
i have to disagree on Carney what ive seen he has stood up and called out wallsreet, not read any government scripts but given his informed opinion based on facts.

Unfortunately Carney wont propose things like taxing the rich, because well its not his job.

i do have to agree though our government needs to nationalize the Canadian Banks the elites have clearly shown to be inept at controlling things without bringing us to disaster.
08:15 PM on 11/01/2011
When the titanic sinks, those nearby are unavoidably affected.
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Russg
08:02 PM on 11/01/2011
The more he insists that there won't be a recession, the more afraid I become.
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Steve Lives
The Venus Project ... look it up
07:57 PM on 11/01/2011
Oh boy, more monetary propaganda! And from the head cheese no less. And he is right about everything, right? Please, spare me from this idiocy. The monetary system is failing, for so many reasons, and these are the guys trying to keep it propped up. So of course they are going to keep telling you all is fine, spend, spend, spend. But I have eyes, and a working brain. Keep fiddling, I like fire.
07:41 PM on 11/01/2011
Says the guy who missed the 2008 recession call.
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ljkcan
I don't let geographical borders limit my thinking
06:10 PM on 11/01/2011
I invite him to walk in the local mall where we own a business. People are not spending they are afraid which in turn makes us and employees anxious.