Jim Flaherty, Finance Minister, To Reduce EI Premium Hike As Ottawa Misses Budget Target

Jim Flaherty

First Posted: 11/08/11 11:04 AM ET Updated: 11/08/11 03:22 PM ET

CALGARY - Finance Minister Jim Flaherty conceded Tuesday he won't be able to balance the budget in four years as promised after all, while at the same time taking measures to lighten the load on workers and businesses by slashing planned payroll takes hikes in half.

Warning the recovery is fragile and slowing, Flaherty told a business audience in Calgary he is ready to go further if conditions continue to deteriorate.

"We are well aware of the challenges ahead to the global economy and how that may impact Canada," he said.

"Let me be clear. We will not be bound by ideology when it comes to making decisions to keep our economy strong and protect Canadians, their financial security and jobs."

During their winning election campaign this spring, the Harper Conservatives trumpeted their achievements on the economic front by boasting they would do one better than their budget in eliminated the deficit by 2014-15.

But Flaherty heard from economists last month that the budget assumptions of economic growth were no longer applicable, which would mean Ottawa revenues from tax receipts would be lower than anticipated.

As well, the economists warned the minister that the risks of an even worse outcome were rising.

Plugging in the new numbers means Ottawa's deficit will balloon from the previously thought $19.4 billion next year to $27.4 billion, and for 2013-14, from $9.4 billion to $17 billion.

Ottawa was counting on savings from departmental cutbacks to put them into the black in 2014-15, but now the expectation is for a $3.5 billion deficit, once $4 billion in savings are included. Without counting the savings, the deficit would have been $7.5 billion.

In total, the government is adding about $29 billion in red ink from the current year to the end of the planning horizon in 2015-16.

According to the government's new fiscal track, the government will record a tiny $600 million surplus in 2015-16, but that is only if all the savings from cutbacks are realized.

The changes to employment insurance premiums were leaked to some news media late Monday night and are minor in nature.

Ottawa will cut in half payroll taxes scheduled to go into effect Jan. 1 that would have raised premiums on workers by 10 cents per $100 of insurable earnings, and 14 cents for firms.

The changes will mean workers earning the maximum $43,000 of insurable earnings can expect to see their take home pay shrink by about $23 a year, while firms will be paying an additional $31 a year per employee.

As well, the government will also extend for another 16 weeks, until next October, the work-sharing program that gives employees the option of working fewer hours — to permit a co-worker to keep their job —and receive EI benefits for the subtracted hours.

The government said the hit to its revenues will be $600 million next year, adding that it plans to return to the normal 10-cent premium increase in 2013.

"We will continue to make protecting Canadian jobs and the economy our top priority," Flaherty said.

Still the changes are unlikely to satisfy critics who believe Ottawa needs to do more to stimulate a fragile economy projected to record at best modest growth for the next year and a half.

"With stubbornly high unemployment, it is dumb and dangerous to increase the price of hiring by hiking taxes on jobs," said Liberal finance critic Scott Brison.

The Canadian Federation of Independent Business, which had lobbied for the cancellation of the payroll tax hikes, took comfort that a half loaf was better than none.

"But the bad news is unless your employer comes up with a raise for you, your take home pay is going to go down," said Dan Kelly, the CFIB's head of legislative affairs.

Flaherty told the business audience that while it is important to show flexibility, the government can't afford to break the bank either. He noted that other countries, particularly in Europe, are not grappling with the nightmare of too much debt.

"Countries, like individuals, do not stumble into prosperity," he said. "They set out a plan and stick to it, so that they are fully capable of seizing opportunity when misfortune hits, instead of being overwhelmed by it."

As such, Flaherty said he is sticking to the broad strokes of his June budget, which phased out stimulus spending in infrastructure and announced plans to keep government spending growth to about two per cent.

The minister said he is also committed to cutting the corporate tax rate by 1.5 points to 15 per cent on Jan. 1, saying low taxes are one of the reasons the country is getting plaudits as a good place to invest.

In an unrelated, announcement, the minister said the government had renewed its agreement with the Bank of Canada keeping the central bank's marching orders of targeting inflation at two per cent annually in place for another five years
.
— With files from Julian Beltrame in Ottawa.

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CALGARY - Finance Minister Jim Flaherty conceded Tuesday he won't be able to balance the budget in four years as promised after all, while at the same time taking measures to lighten the load on worke...
CALGARY - Finance Minister Jim Flaherty conceded Tuesday he won't be able to balance the budget in four years as promised after all, while at the same time taking measures to lighten the load on worke...
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08:44 PM on 11/09/2011
Perhaps if the government made it a priority to create jobs, rather than appease the corporate sector with tax breaks and building prisons, we might be able to balance the budget.
07:31 AM on 11/09/2011
I can't say this article came as a shock to me. I've never known anyone who could actually explain to me why they thought Flaherty would be able to balance a budget.

The Liberals have a $100k sponsorship scandal and they're akin to $atan, the RepubliConservatives drown the country in deficit and rebuild a falling national debt and they're still polling in majority territory. Now THAT surprises me.
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piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
08:12 PM on 11/08/2011
Maybe those new jets aren't a wise decision. I hear they don't preform very well in low temperatures and Arctic sovereignty. And those nuclear subs bought from Brtiain. Isn't only one functional? the rest are being repaired. When are we going to quit putting so much money into MP salaries, pensions, and just plain jetting around? These new political ridings? Shouldn't we hold back on that? I don't believe he is honest about financial security. He bailed out on the CPP. Instead he descouraged retirement by penaliziing people leaving before 65. He recognizes people need to work because they don't save but he doesn't put in to place suitable legislation to control credit except mortgages, better a slow bleed rather than a carotid artery.
thediamond0000
as above, so below.
06:09 PM on 11/08/2011
This man is completely unable to do his job. He has never, NEVER made a budget. If he were in the private sector, hed be out on his feet looking for a new job.
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piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
08:48 PM on 11/08/2011
Wasn't he minister of finance for Ontario earlier in his career?
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uneeda
Make Peace in Our Time
04:12 PM on 11/08/2011
same old sound bites....flexible,pragmatic,fiscally responsible etc etc
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ProgressiveCDN
A Progressive Moderate
03:07 PM on 11/08/2011
Does anyone else find it crazy that with all this talk of deficits and the need for balanced budgets there is little debate about the pending BILLION-dollar Crime Bill this government is putting foward!!

NO Questions about the BILLIONS of dollars on an imagined boogy-man! Canada's crime has been steadily DECLINING, and yet these old white men are going to blow our budget on new jails and arresting more youths!... Not only is this a WASTE of money, it will NOT reduce crime!!

WAKE UP Canada!! --
Read More: http://liberallibra.wordpress.com/2011/09/20/harpers-omnibus-crime-bill/
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sonoffestus
Got smart & got out!
02:58 PM on 11/08/2011
Conservatives bleeding and misleading nations...............They do it well................SOF.
02:28 PM on 11/08/2011
Incompetent.
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john frodo
armchair expert
01:30 PM on 11/08/2011
No its more dodge the truth by Fakery, the GST cut doomed a balance budget long ago.
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ProgressiveCDN
A Progressive Moderate
03:07 PM on 11/08/2011
Yup. Conservative tax-cuts and their infinite wisdom
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lulex
Made in Canada
01:24 PM on 11/08/2011
The failure was predictable and the more this government ignores the public demands, the more they're going to drag this nation under. The Harper government is stupidly dependent on the tar sands which is a finite resource and we've given away far too much money in bailouts and massive subsidies that violate the principals of true capitalism, giving billions to companies who really don't deserve the lifeline. If they actually cared about Canadians, they'd help first nation communities access clean drinking water. They would move us away from fossil fuels and invest in localized economies and energy grids that are far more resilient to the future uncertainties related to peak oil. This party is run by Croonies who's time has past. Can't wait to see Harper out of office. Can't happen soon enough in my view.
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Jay from Ottawa
sovereignty sale, 1.3T OBO
01:15 PM on 11/08/2011
"Government sources say Ottawa will forgo about $600 million in scheduled payroll tax increases"

This man is a idiot ! We're barely able to keep our unemployment levels down but this guy wants to find revenues by ... increasing payroll taxes !?! That's right there is the only real incentive to CREATE JOBS !

You want to find government revenue AND create jobs while also giving Canadian middle class more disposable income to feed our economy ?

Lower payroll taxes even more (making it really cheap to hire Canadians in Canada), balance it by increase corporate taxes (Americas corporate tax rate is 35% but you don't see them flocking to Canada to take advantage of our lower corporate tax rate) and there you have it, more Canadians are working, more Canadians have income to spend, more money around to feed our service based economy, those businesses make more money, and increase demand will create more jobs.

Increasing payroll taxes and lowering corporate taxes simply promotes outsourcing ... That's what we're trying to AVOID !!

Hold on a second, I have to check my calendar ... nope, it's not april 1st ...
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ProgressiveCDN
A Progressive Moderate
03:16 PM on 11/08/2011
The Corporate Conservative party will have none of that!

Firstly, you are technically right about America's tax rate, but we all know America's tax system is a joke and most corporations are easily able to avoid most if not all of that %35. Unlike in Canada, where we have some exemptions, but not nearly to the same extent... That being said, I agree that we should raise our corporate rate and lower payroll taxes too.

Conservatives don't do economics... This will become more clear as time goes on.
Just look at this wasteful Crim Bill! -- It really says alot about how fiscally responsible these guys are!

Read More: http://liberallibra.wordpress.com/2011/09/20/harpers-omnibus-crime-bill/
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Jay from Ottawa
sovereignty sale, 1.3T OBO
03:33 PM on 11/08/2011
Thanks for the great addition !
07:25 AM on 11/09/2011
Jay [from Ottawa] for Finance Minister!

While we're at it though, lets kill the crime bill, and the new fighter jets, drop the extra ridings (even though I'm hoping none of them go RepubliConservative and that would put us back into a minority government), and keep the infrastructure stimulus going.
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Jay from Ottawa
sovereignty sale, 1.3T OBO
09:49 AM on 11/09/2011
I wonder how much money and pressure is thrown at Flaherty for him to ignore the obvious. My simple conclusion, is that they're actually trying to bankrupt our country, since that would explain everything they've done since they came in power. I doubt they're that stupid, hence my conclusion.
12:52 PM on 11/08/2011
This is typical of Conservative governments through history. They constantly think lower and lower taxes is the answer. But then the second some minor economic hiccup happens (or longer term recession), they are wondering why such massive deficits are occurring. Well, anyone with a brain knows that if your budget relies entirely on hopes and dreams the economy will remain stable, which is never is, then any downturn in economic activity restuls in massive deficits. And since government isn't going to reign in their special, multi million dollar programs and contracts, they just take their own fiscal incompetance out on the people.

Conservatives like to claim to be the "fiscally responsible" ones, but if that is true, is this how they run their house? Their own personal finances? Do they spend every penny they take in and never save for a rainy day? Do they constantly try to reduce the amony coming in, and then the second something unpredictable happens, shrug and just not feed their kids?

It is just SMART FINANCE to alway make sure you are bringing in more than you are spending. Not equal or less. This protects you from unforseen problems and if you have a surplus, you can just pay down the debt more.
01:25 PM on 11/08/2011
So true. They always succumb to counting their chickens before they're hatched. Sometimes even before figuring out they've got to have hens and a rooster to get anything to hatch at all.
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Ted Rosa
02:01 PM on 11/08/2011
This man has no Financial experience(Wikipedia), he's a former ambulance chasing LAWYER. Surely someone in the harper gov't has some big business experience like Paul Martin
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Kristopher Leang
training to take down the elite
12:35 PM on 11/08/2011
we aren't ever going to reach the "result" we are looking for because harper an Flaherty are playing the classic starve the government for revenues game we saw down south. of course spend a tonne of physical military equipment like plane, warships and subs but ignore the average soldier. Flaherty is a chronic failure at his job. the man needs to be fired
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opprobrious
More speech. Less Flagging.
12:32 PM on 11/08/2011
Those tax and spend Conservatives have been foiled again!
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Blodo
Time to build a better world
12:58 PM on 11/08/2011
The tax and spend Conservatives don't worry me as much as the borrow and spend Conservatives. If only they could manage to sit through one finance class in which the lesson is simply that expenditures cannot sustainabily exceed revenues.
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EllaMai
Non-violent complainer. From North of the border.
12:04 PM on 11/08/2011
Suddenly the Conservatives are no longer in charge of the economy because of "global forces" and must stand by impotently.

Those global forces are the same ones that Canada was enjoying a few years ago, which the Conservatives took credit for in order to win an election.

Too bad their supporters will refuse to realize this.
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Russg
12:24 PM on 11/08/2011
Their supporters are far too egotistical and politically polarized to see reality for what it is.
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kmilford
12:32 PM on 11/08/2011
Bingo!