Canada Wages Not Keeping Up With Inflation: Statscan

Canada Inflation Wages Income Cost Of Living

First Posted: 11/24/11 11:21 AM ET Updated: 11/25/11 06:54 AM ET

OTTAWA - As consumers across North America brace for the start of shopping season, forgive the average Canadian worker for feeling a little left behind.

The buying power of a typical Canadian paycheque isn't keeping up with the rising cost of living, Statistics Canada said Thursday in a report that shows inflation-adjusted wages have been dropping since the summer.

In fact, the average Canadian wage declined outright in September — 0.3 per cent to $872.75 — meaning less money for Christmas gifts and day-to-day essentials amid a shaky economy, gloomy job outlook and spending-wary governments.

"The nominal wage gains, being as soft as they are, (have) created a condition where the average Canadian isn't keeping up with the cost of filling their grocery carts, filling their cars and heating their homes," said Derek Holt, a senior economist with Scotiabank.

Recent surveys suggest Canadians are still planning to spend pretty much as they have in the past this Christmas season, although more will seek out bargains at U.S. stores along the border.

But economists say that can't keep up and point out most forecasts project consumers cutting back in the next year.

NDP finance critic Peter Julian called the loss in purchasing power outlined in the Statistics Canada report a "serious problem" and accused the federal government of indifference.

"They just don't seem to care," he said. "What we're seeing is lower paying jobs replacing higher paying jobs, we're seeing more part time jobs, we're seeing more and more levels of indebtedness — that's a toxic mess and should be no surprise to the government."

Julian said new jobs since the recession have paid about $10,000 less than those lost in the 2008-09 slump.

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty was not available to the media to discuss the earnings report. But in responding to questions in the Commons, Flaherty defended his policies, saying 600,000 jobs had been added to the economy since the recession.

At a minimum, Ottawa should cancel January's hike in unemployment insurance premiums to boost job creation, opposition MPs said. Last month, Flaherty went half way, cutting the scheduled hike from 10 cents per $100 of insurable earnings to five.

The September decline in average weekly earnings is not an anomaly.

Wage gains in Canada have been dropping steadily since the spring, when they were as high as 4.1 per cent annualized in April, well above the inflation rate.

They now stand at 1.1 per cent, the lowest pace of growth since November 2009 and about one third the inflation rate.

With income from investments also soft because of the volatility in equity markets, analysts said it is fair to assume Canadians' average standard of living is also falling.

The sharp decline belies what is often presented as a relatively healthy labour market in Canada, which has added about 600,000 jobs since the recession and is regarded as stronger than what has occurred in the U.S. and much of Europe.

The job creation record, however, gives only half the picture.

About one million more Canadians have entered the workforce since the recession, meaning there are close to 400,000 more unemployed, contributing to the still high 7.3 per cent unemployment rate.

CIBC economist Benjamin Tal noted that the recent downward trend in wages also coincides with weak jobs growth over the past four months. His own research suggests many of the jobs recovered since the recession have been of the low-paying variety.

"The composition of jobs is getting worse, namely you have more jobs in low-paying jobs," he explained.

"There's clearly a movement from high-paying professionals, public sector and construction jobs to low-paying service and retail. Even within manufacturing, there's a movement from high-paying manufacturing jobs to lower-paying."

But Holt said the jobs quality gap is likely only part of the explanation and that Canadian wage demands may have been depressed by the deepening global economic troubles.

"With all the shocks happening to the world economy, many people are just happy having a job as opposed to going to their boss and demanding a wage gain," he said.

Aside from how weak income growth affects individual Canadians, the trend is a worrying signal for the economy overall, the analysts said. Consumers represent a major component of the Canadian economy and any slowdown in spending will depress growth.

Tal said Canadians can always dip into savings to compensate, but that is also problematic because household debt is already at record levels relative to disposable income.

"The consumer is starting to slow down and we also see consumer credit is softening," he said. "What we are going to see is that business investment is the only (driver) of the economic expansion."

The Statistics Canada data puts in context a new outlook by the Conference Board and the Business Development Bank of Canada that projects industries dependent on consumer spending will experience sluggish growth and profits over the next five years.

The industries analysed were retail sales, accommodation, food and beverage manufacturing, restaurants and catering, transportation and warehousing, and wholesale trade.

"Several industries profiled in this outlook have recovered from the 2008-09 recession, but the prospects for continued growth are muted because of weak consumer and business confidence, as well as high household debt levels,” explained Michael Burt of the Conference Board's industrial economic trends division.

The Bank of Canada has projected growth in the economy overall will slow to 1.9 per cent next year, after expanding by 2.1 per cent in 2011 and 3.2 per cent in 2010.

By Julian Beltrame, The Canadian Press

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OTTAWA - As consumers across North America brace for the start of shopping season, forgive the average Canadian worker for feeling a little left behind.The buying power of a typical Canadian paycheque...
OTTAWA - As consumers across North America brace for the start of shopping season, forgive the average Canadian worker for feeling a little left behind.The buying power of a typical Canadian paycheque...
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The Canadian
Stop Harper
04:02 PM on 11/28/2011
But the ultra-rich are doing better than ever, and isn't that is what's really important?

I think most people will beg to differ, but then why do so many people get angry when unions continue to try to fight for better wages? They'd rather see the union-workers join them as working poor instead joining them in demanding that our business leaders and government start doing something meaningful to protect wages and jobs in Canada. This should NOT be on the plate of unions alone to deal with.

All I know is that Canada is not poor. There's still immense amounts of money around, and year after year CEOs, executives and the rich continue to rack it in. This is a quote from one of many available articles on this:

http://www.newswire.ca/en/story/731781/rich-canadians-are-getting-richer
The richest group of Canadians increased their share of total national income while poor and middle-income individuals lost ground since 1993, according to The Conference Board of Canada's How Canada Performs analysis of income inequality ..."

So instead of complaining that unions are greedy or that because of the economic times, it's not the right time to ask for more money, go ahead and demand better. The rich never wait until times are 'better', they always have their hand in your pocket. So fight back.
11:36 AM on 11/29/2011
Thank you! I've been saying this for ages! Instead of trying to tear down other people, demand that you too get a liveable wage! Fanned. :)
02:03 PM on 11/25/2011
I'm exhausted by all these token remarks like "oh, spend on what you need" or "be thankful you're not in Africa." People of the first world are doomed to birth-guilt for the entirety of their lives, it's not a practical argument. What you're doing is marginalizing real world issues by making it look as simple as an issue of personal accountability: pull your shirtsleeves up boys, you gots work to do. Well frankly that's asinine. Our future will not be determined by how much grit can be hoisted on the backs of our shoulders, it will be determined by the persistent failure of an antiquated system of governance and economics and for the populace to defend it is the most frightening of all the headlines today.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Glass Cannon
Let every eye negotiate for itself.
01:57 PM on 11/25/2011
The globalization of labour is to blame. My job with a major media company was sent to India because they could do it cheaper. Although I wonder what all those advertisers who pay for space in that media company's products will do without a local customer base that can afford to buy their products?

Nevertheless, as it stands large corporations can shop for labour like any other commodity. And they're working hard to make the labour pool in Europe and North America even more "competitive."

So, don't get your hopes up for the life your parents had. They sold you out for cheap goods and low interest rates and fatter investment portfolios. Or they're in the exact same boat as the rest of us.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kristopher Leang
training to take down the elite
01:55 PM on 11/28/2011
agreed the "b thankful you dont lie in africa line if the modern eqauivilant trying to justify our sevrice sectore slave labor. that as the article says doesnt give canadians enough

yes we should be happy we dont live their, bet its the us's (and england and europes fault) they are in that poor condition. it also ignores all the economic, social, polticial and historical events over the past thousands of years that lead our world to the current situation it finds itself in.

the west jumped for joy when communism fell and they could get all sorts of cheap labor in eastern europe, now its all about china. corporations make record profits while we barely get by. agreed we were sold out and now we are told we are a generation "entitlers." sorry if all the jobs make it impossible to pay tuition now and rent and food, forcing future generations to take out tens of thousands in debt thats when they can get a loan (you are considered "living with your parents" for 4 years so it goes of their income and most middle class families i know dont pay for their kids education.
12:57 PM on 11/25/2011
Well if you have a job be thankful and if you do get a 1% or 2% raise be thankful again.
Be smarter with your money and stop waisting it on junk and the Latest must have item.
Live within your means . You will surprise yourself at learning to stretch and save dollars.

Ask yourself this question : What am I going to do when the Money system is turned over to the
Amero ??? No one at this time can give anyone a real estimated value of the exchange rate
Will the exchange rate be 1 for 1 , 1 for 2 . 1 for 10. No one knows so you had better be quick
to learn how to make your dollars stretch.
And most of all Stop Complaining and count your Blessings and be happy that you do not live
in some other parts of the world.
03:33 PM on 11/25/2011
Did you read the article? Not getting wage increases while inflation soars IS THE PROBLEM.

Why should we be thankful that businesses gives wage increases to only the top tier employees/owners?

The fact that you capitalize random words for no reason, and the whole "No one knows what the exchange rate will be tomorrow" shows that you are uneducated in more ways than on how the economy works.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kristopher Leang
training to take down the elite
02:08 PM on 11/28/2011
you clearly show little insight for multiple reasons
1) you assume that with minimum paying service jobs which make up the single largest gorup now we can "stretch your money". unlike europe which has a far denser population and better publci transpo, many people need a car.. and rent, and food, and insurance and gas..a minimum cheapest single place i can find here is 700 plus tuition (8000 this year) oh wow im already spend all ym wages this year.. so what junk were you talking about and latest "must have item?". also the last time i checked these types of jobs arent getting constant "raises".

2) your asking if we will or not swith ver when she should ask should we or not? do we really want to be that much more tied to the most. i think our future lies in technologically advanced more locall based. the lie that is globalized capitalism and "finance" is a lie and ponzie scheme the current system is built on. its not a conspiracy or wacky theory, study US politics 101 it began in the 80's with supply side economics

as someone who thinks we need to progress and be ahead of things becfore they catch up to us, the idea of being a more isolated economy could really backfire. but clearly globalization isnt working for us, and is not sustainable. afew people have got rich while all the good jobs have been exported overseas..
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Victor Saymong
Canuck up Toronto way
12:36 PM on 11/25/2011
Welcome to Stephen Harper's Canada. They are sooooo good for the economy, eh! Well, the economies of the 1%...
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freedom1947
San Juan River Fishin'
12:18 PM on 11/25/2011
Now is when we need a fence against canada, soon they'll be sneaking across the boarder for what work we do have and we won't be able to tell them apart from white republicans.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rickthaluddite
What noisy cats are we
12:49 PM on 11/25/2011
I have a cousin, here in Canada, who doesn't know the first thing about farming, but because he knows a guy who knows a guy, he worked for a few weeks driving a Combine Harvester from Texas to Saskatchewan. I'm sure there are plenty of unemployed 22 year olds in Texas who would love to see the country while harvesting grain.
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freedom1947
San Juan River Fishin'
02:18 PM on 11/25/2011
Plenty lazy texans in our southwest not will to do the work fence jumpers from the nothern and southern borders are willing to handle. We need new blood in this US of A. Our 1% citizens only want to be politicians so that thefts from the people are acceptable as tea party contributions. But our imigration laws need some changes first.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rickthaluddite
What noisy cats are we
09:05 AM on 11/25/2011
I have the perfect example of this-- I started working at Pizza Pizza franchise in 1989 for $8/hr. In 1995, I was attending university and working part-time on the weekend for $10.75/hr. Just a couple of weeks ago, I took a part-time job (to make ends meet) cooking at a local watering hole for 10.25/hr for 12 hours a week. 50 cents less per hour 16 years later! I can really use the extra $120/week right now, so I should just be happy minimum wage isn't still $8.50. Times are tough all around.
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CarlyQ
Without followers, evil cannot spread.
09:33 AM on 11/25/2011
My wage at a new job started at $14.00/hr in 1990. That was almost double minimum wage.

I'm in a different job now (tech) and pay is $16.00/hr. The other job is STILL at $14.00/hr. Wage stagnation across all industries is real and it must be this way to pay for those outrageous salaries for the sharks at the top.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
PiperSniper
10:55 AM on 11/25/2011
I now make the same as I did in 1999. Much less than 2006 when my personal recession started!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rickthaluddite
What noisy cats are we
11:13 AM on 11/25/2011
Yeah. It's a slave market for workers right now, since everything you buy in the store is Made in China/Mexico/Honduras/India/Pakistan...etc. Even here in Guelph, Ontario (lowest unemployment in the country last month-- 4.2%) thousands of people are working for temp agencies for $10.25-$12/hour. Those are jobs that should be permanent full-time jobs paying $16-$20. Big corporations taking government guaranteed loans to buy more robots and using drones from temp agencies to load and unload parts without providing real jobs. Occupy Wall Street in Canada should be Occupy the Ministers of Labour offices. I'd like to see Lisa Raitt's face if she arrived at her constituency office during the Christmas recess to 80 or 100 people sick of only being to find temp work.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Glass Cannon
Let every eye negotiate for itself.
01:50 PM on 11/25/2011
I also make the same salary now as I did in 1999. My wife makes very close to what she made and hasn't had a raise since 2005. Trust me, a new minivan might as well be a BMW sports sedan at these rates.
08:59 AM on 11/25/2011
The brutal truth is this, here in Ontario you go for a job lets say a Help Desk a few years ago you were offered close to 20,present day that same job is been bidded on by 500 to 1000 people, Then comes someone who says I will do the job at $12.00 the employer with dollar signs says yes .I have been to places like this where the workers hardly speak a word of english hardly know what is right and wrong in this country, but do not realize that undercutting an industry and hurting everyone, The key to a strong economy is small business we must help them with tax breaks not big corporations that is old dinosaur thinking. The cost of living well thanks to Liberals here in Ontario it is high HST No Fault Insurance, Smart Meters all are great legacies of this wonderful incompetent government. No Fault Insurance is the worse thing to happen, it lumps drivers into a pool then determines the rates, wonderful, so I have to pay for the idiots here that cannot drive,. HST on my bills the list is endless I just cannot stand this Liberal government but the morons here in Ontario love to vote for them go figure no wonder we are in mess
03:29 PM on 11/25/2011
Conservatives would get rid of the minimum wage altogether if they had their way. It was under Dalton McGuinty that minimum wage went from $7.75 in 2006 to $10.25 and the highest in the country.

But it still is not enough.
03:50 PM on 11/25/2011
that is not enough the cost of living here in Ontario is just too high the HST was suppose to be neutral but it has just added to the cost of living
No Fault insurance has not help either Ontario drivers are paying more since we are pool in a group dependant on your area. You just cannot win here in Ontario but the Liberals keep on getting voted in on their silly economic policies
I do not know what the answer is we are all frustrated fed up with being taxed being screwed by Government
08:53 AM on 11/25/2011
oh gee and what is driving up the cost of living? Energy prices.

So basically, the average Canadian is worse off because the energy moguls are better off.
Nationalize it all like they did with Hydro Quebec.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
PiperSniper
08:30 AM on 11/25/2011
Really did you pull this story from 1988?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
yishai ettebe
08:17 AM on 11/25/2011
If people stopped buying christmas gifts or any gifts, they would have more money for them. Spend it on what you really need, a roof over your head and food.
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CarlyQ
Without followers, evil cannot spread.
09:35 AM on 11/25/2011
But in a country as wealthy as Canada, should people be grateful to merely pay rent and buy food just so that the "living wage" portion of their wages can go to the sharks at the top?
02:45 PM on 11/25/2011
Exactly!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
First Blast
res ad triarios venit
08:13 AM on 11/25/2011
It is all part of the plan to third worldize Europe and North America (minus Mexico which has always been there).
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
itsmedia
08:04 AM on 11/25/2011
if you’re wondering what the occupy movement is about this would be it .it’s not about "get a job" it’s about get 2 or 3 jobs one to pay the rent or mortgage, one to pay of the student loans and another to pay for the utilities and if you’re lucky you might have some left over for grocery’s .
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CarlyQ
Without followers, evil cannot spread.
09:38 AM on 11/25/2011
The "get a job" remark about OWS is irritating and a sign of ignorance. I don't know about you but the people in my generation worked waaaaaaaaaay harder than the older Boomers and definitely the Golden Generation ever did, and that's just to keep their heads above water.
07:52 AM on 11/25/2011
And they need a survey by Statistic Canada to find that. The paycheck erosion began almost a decade ago for the private sector. I'm not sure for the public sector, but for the ones that I know that are working in this sector this is not the case.