Northern Gateway Pipeline: Energy Industry Could Lose $72 Billion Without Alberta-B.C. Link: Report

Northern Gateway

First Posted: 01/03/12 01:09 PM ET Updated: 01/06/12 01:29 PM ET

EDMONTON - A report commissioned by Alberta says oilsands producers could lose up to $72 billion if a pipeline isn't built to ship heavy crude to the British Columbia coast.

The report by consultants Wood Mackenzie has been submitted by the province to the federal panel reviewing Enbridge's (TSX:ENB) proposed Northern Gateway project.

The report says that without such a pipeline, oilsands companies would not have access to ship their increasing bitumen production to growing Asian markets, especially China.

That means more bitumen would have to be shipped to U.S. refineries at a lower price.

"Given a current lack of access to key demand centres, and the lengthy lead time required to execute a pipeline project and the projected growth in supply, the timing of a West Coast export capacity option is critical," reads the report.

"Our assessment of producers not having access to the Asian markets through a West Coast tidewater option suggests producers are likely to lose about $8/bbl (lost revenue of C$8 billion per year for 2017 to 2025.)"

Public hearings into the $5.5-billion Northern Gateway project are to begin in Kitimat, B.C., next Tuesday.

Enbridge wants to build two 1,170-kilometre-long pipelines from Bruderheim, Alta., to an oil tanker port to be built near Kitimat.

One of the pipelines would be used to ship up to 525,000 barrels of oilsands bitumen a day to the coast for export. The other would be used to ship up to 193,000 barrels of light oily material daily to Alberta. The substance is used to thin heavy oil so it can easily pass through pipelines. The Wood Mackenzie report suggests the industry could face a shortage of this toxic material, known as condensate, as oilsands production ramps up.

More than 4,000 people have signed up to speak at the review panel hearings in two dozen communities in B.C. and Alberta.

Tim Markle, a spokesman for Alberta's Energy Department, said provincial government representatives are to appear before the panel later this year to formally present the report and make other submissions.

Markle said people should not consider Alberta's position as specifically endorsing Northern Gateway. He said the province would support any project that would help increase oilsands exports, including other pipelines or shipping bitumen by rail.

"Access to newer markets, especially to those in the Pacific Rim, are an advantage to Alberta and the producers and basically to all of Canada," Markle said Tuesday.

"We support any type of company or facility that encourages advancing our goal of trying to diversify our markets and increase market access."

Environmentalists hope to make Northern Gateway the next battleground against so-called "dirty'' crude from the oilsands. Last fall, a coalition of environmental groups was involved in a campaign in the U.S. that led to regulatory delays that have put TransCanada's (TSX:TRP) Keystone XL pipeline to U.S. Gulf Coast refineries on hold.

Last month, opponents of Northern Gateway released their own commissioned report that questions the project's economics. The report says there is enough existing pipeline capacity to handle up to twice the existing volume of bitumen exports by 2025. The group ForestEthics has said it plans to submit the report to the federal regulatory panel.

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EDMONTON - A report commissioned by Alberta says oilsands producers could lose up to $72 billion if a pipeline isn't built to ship heavy crude to the British Columbia coast.The report by consultants W...
EDMONTON - A report commissioned by Alberta says oilsands producers could lose up to $72 billion if a pipeline isn't built to ship heavy crude to the British Columbia coast.The report by consultants W...
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Realist2011
beware false profits....
12:16 AM on 01/05/2012
Those are just "vapor" numbers. Until you get responsible, accurate numbers from an independent firm that is paid for, but not hired by TransCanada, you'll never get the truth. Then, once you have the report, you must break it down and find the real "truth" in the report.

73 billion? They should have just gone for half a trillion or something. It's all just nonsense. At least I found out about "condensate". Obviously I need to learn much more about all the toxic crap they'll be adding to the toxic oil in order to ship it to anywhere.

As a Texan, I can only hope and fight for keeping the pipeline from ever being built through the US. We don't need the oil. We don't need the potential environmental damage, and we have quite enough greedy corporate criminals of our own. There's no need to begin importing more from outside the US.
12:01 PM on 01/11/2012
Please read the article again. You are thinking about the Keystone XL project. The article isn't talking about Keystone.

It concerns the northern GATEWAY pipeline, which only runs in CANADA. Canada - it's that big ol' country to the north of y'all.

Why Americans think they should have any say in the internal affairs of Canada beats the heck out of me.
07:44 PM on 01/12/2012
Don't worry, I received the same comment from the same person, and I am 10th generation Canadian. :) Peace.
08:57 PM on 01/04/2012
Good. A loss to the energy industry of $72 billion would be the best possible outcome.
06:38 AM on 01/04/2012
When are govts. and Big Oil going to wake up and realize that the people have had enough, and they are not going to let them get away with ecological genocide any longer, unless of course you live in Alberta, where the oil companies pull the govt's strings., and anything goes.
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
10:42 PM on 01/03/2012
--A report commissioned by Alberta says oilsands producers could lose up to $72 billion if a pipeline isn't built to ship heavy crude to the British Columbia coast--

Gee, that is too bad!

Imagine, the Norway Petroleum Fund, started the same year as The Alberta Heritage Fund, now stands at $500 Billion whereas the Oil Cartel had The Heritage Fund capped at $15 Billion and STOLE the other $485 Billion!

Had the Heritage Fund collected royalties similar to Norway's Petroleum Fund, then ALBERTA COULD HAVE SUBSIDIZED THE OIL CARTEL for that $8/bbl for the next 50 years!

I wonder if the report includes that a mere 16 of the worlds largest Oil Tankers emit as much lung-clogging SULPHUR POLLUTION as all of the 8 million cars in the world!

These tankers are permitted by the UN's International Maritime Organization to burn Bunker Fuel, the dirtiest and cheapest oil, with a 4.5% sulphur content.

I wonder if anyone has brought this to the attention of that UN Climate Change panel yet!

So when these tankers leave Kitimat, those strong west winds will blow the sulphur from those fuel stacks right back into town which should make resident's real happy.

And Communist China just removed all taxes to car companies that manufacture ELECTRIC AND HYDROGEN FUEL CELL ELECTRIC CARS in their Country -- go figure!
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lulex
Made in Canada
09:30 PM on 01/03/2012
The cost of ending fossil fuels to protect humanity from increased climate change risks: Priceless.
05:30 PM on 01/03/2012
About the same amount it costs for environmental clean ups per year. Sounds like the US broke even on this one with their water and land in tact. Clean energy job sector surpassed all fossil fuel jobs combined in the US last year. Getting with the 21st century is proving lucrative in other countries. Now our sons of oil baron "leaders" need to get with the program, or loose all their investments in Keystone that many US State members hold.
The petition "get banks and corps. out of the G20 has 1/2 a million signatures. We are all the change.
"We didn't evolve out of the stone age because we ran out of stones"
12:05 PM on 01/11/2012
Why are you talking about Keystone? The article is out the NORTHERN GATEWAY. It runs in Canada. That's a great big country to the north of you. Check a map.

Tell you what? You stay out of OUR internal affairs, and we'll stay out of yours.
07:21 PM on 01/12/2012
These pipelines will expand the Chinese owned Alberta Tarsands. These corporate interests are poisoning our First Nations and destroying our lands. 4000 lbs of boreal forest floor are "moved" for every barrel of oil and 4000 chemicals are dumped into the Athabaska River each day. Love the chemical snow. Bile-duct cancer is skyrocketing. The US uses 360 000 barrels of oil everyday for war alone. US is Canada's largest "client". Our son of an oil baron "leader" said he will support an attack on Iran. All the same corporations are pulling the strings on both proposed pipelines.
We are all at risk here. Now that the planet is engaged, the spotlight on every self interested corrupt breath is clear. When the reality that every conscientious choice we make as a global community is starving their puppet masters, our public servants will serve their people. Corporate bribes, extortion, propaganda, violence and oppression will only expose it further. Poor poor oil minions are going fall hard. Clean energy and clean food will destroy the tyranny once moral choice at a time.
07:39 PM on 01/12/2012
p.s. I am 10th generation Canadian. "leaders" are all the oily minions who proclaim to represent people.
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CreepyThinMan
More dapper than Don Draper.
03:17 PM on 01/03/2012
Gee, a report commissioned by Alberta says they'll lose money by not building the pipeline? And I wonder who's pockets won't get filled because the pipeline isn't being built?
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
07:12 PM on 01/03/2012
Is this rocket science?
The best way for both countries is the Keystone, second best for Canada is the Gateway but that is very bad for the US.
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CreepyThinMan
More dapper than Don Draper.
12:05 AM on 01/04/2012
Whatever you rightwing tool. Keep spewing your propaganda.
12:07 PM on 01/11/2012
"And I wonder who's pockets won't get filled because the pipeline isn't being built?"

Yours.

Where do you think the money comes from for universal health care, $9 billion dollar annual payment to aboriginals, and all the rest of our social programs? The taxpayer. But considering your thoughtful reply to CanadaStan, I sincerely doubt you have a job and contribute taxes, so no big deal for you, eh?