Canada Unemployment Rate: Job Creation Continues Stall, Despite Dip To 7.4 Per Cent In February

CP    
First Posted: 03/ 9/2012 7:07 am Updated: 03/ 9/2012 4:26 pm

OTTAWA - Unemployed Canadians continued to struggle with a tough job market last month as the slow-moving economy laid an egg in February, unexpectedly shedding 2,800 jobs.

The national unemployment rate dropped to 7.4 per cent, but that was because close to a net 38,000 frustrated job seekers simply gave up the search.

The news was particularly grim for young Canadians. Employment among the 15-24 age cohort fell another 26,800 in February and now is down almost 300,000 jobs since the beginning of the recession in 2008.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper called the Statistics Canada report "disappointing," but stressed some positives, including increased full-time employment, continuing a trend, and a brightening outlook in the United States.

Still, Harper conceded his government has work to do and promised action in the upcoming March 29 budget.

"Obviously we will not keep our eye off the ball and there will be a lot of measures in the budget to create jobs and get us on a long-term sustainable track," he told an event in Toronto.

Liberal critic Scott Brison berated the government's record, particularly on youth employment, saying "an entire generation of Canadians is losing hope."

February's report continues a string of poor results dating to October and wiping out what had been a heady period of growth and falling unemployment rates.

"Essentially the labour market has been flat on its back for the last five months — it's gone nowhere," said Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist with the Bank of Montreal.

Revised figures show the economy has in fact shed 37,000 jobs since October.

Porter said Canadians shouldn't expect much better news going forward for awhile..

"Basically, the easy job gains are gone," he said. "The things that really drove jobs early in the cycle are simply not going to be there, whether it's government hiring or retail related jobs driven by consumer spending."

Despite Harper's reference to "a lot of measures" coming in the budget, the statements from ministers suggest there will be little to generate short-term job growth. In fact, the expectation is that Finance Minister Jim Flaherty will bring in an austerity budget that reduces spending and cuts the public service.

The ball is being left to the private sector to carry, but TD Bank economist Diana Petramala said corporations appear to be spooked over European debt problems.

"The weakness ... largely reflects a small crisis of confidence, with businesses remaining reluctant to add to payrolls as rising financial risks in Europe threatened future demand prospects," she said.

That is in contrast to the United States which, after years of playing second fiddle to Canada in terms of job generation, now appears to be catching up.

The U.S. reported, also on Friday, an additional 227,000 jobs for February to complete three of the best months of hiring in four years. Monthly gains over that period averaged 245,000.

That is slightly above the consensus estimate from economists, while in Canada the result badly missed expectations. Economists had called for an increase of 15,000 jobs.

While the losses were tiny given the close to 19-million-member Canadian labour force, the big story was the exodus of workers from the job market, particularly in Ontario, which saw 40,500 fewer people actively seeking employment.

Labour market contraction at a time of rising population is normally associated with discouraged workers giving up on finding employment.

After strong job growth following the 2008-09 recession, Canada has seen this critical aspect of the economy slow and then essentially stall.

Statistics Canada noted that employment had risen by 121,000 over the past 12 months, almost all in the first six months.

Economists estimate Canada needs to add between 15,000 and 20,000 jobs each month just to keep up with demand from increases in population.

Labour economist Erin Weir of the United Steelworkers noted that along with fewer jobs, the two per cent gain in average hourly wages means even those working are not keeping up with inflation.

He called on governments to shift focus from austerity to job creation.

"The priority should be to create jobs through public investment," he said. "The risk is that budget cutbacks will push Canada back into recession by eliminating public-sector jobs and reducing expenditures that help support private-sector jobs."

The jobs report came the same day that Statistics Canada reported that labour productivity at Canadian businesses grew faster than their U.S. counterparts for the first time in nearly a decade last year.

After posting a better-than-expected 0.7 per cent gain in the fourth quarter of 2011, Canadian business productivity for the full year was up 0.8 per cent, slowing from the 1.5 per cent gain in 2010.

By comparison, the U.S. saw a slight increase of 0.2 per cent in the fourth quarter to finish the year at 0.2 per cent, down from four per cent in 2010.

Porter noted that the productivity report suggested that labour performance may finally be turning the corner after a lacklustre stretch in the middle of the recovery.

"It truly appears like the Canadian and U.S. recoveries are trading places —Canada exiting strong jobs/weak productivity, and the U.S. leaving weak jobs/strong productivity," Porter said.

The biggest Canadian job losses in February came in the retail and wholesale trade industries, which shed about 37,000 workers, followed by 22,000 job declines in both transportation and warehousing, and health-care and social assistance.

Meanwhile, employment in finance, insurance, real estate and leasing rose by 41,000, reversing half the declines in those industries over the past five months. There were also smaller gains in educational services, business, building and other support services, natural resources, construction and manufacturing.

Regionally, six out of 10 provinces experienced job losses in February, although none of the declines was large. The only significant movement in the provincial numbers was Ontario's 40,500 decline in the labour force, which helped drop the provincial unemployment rate half a point to 7.6 per cent.

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OTTAWA - Unemployed Canadians continued to struggle with a tough job market last month as the slow-moving economy laid an egg in February, unexpectedly shedding 2,800 jobs.The national unemployment ra...
OTTAWA - Unemployed Canadians continued to struggle with a tough job market last month as the slow-moving economy laid an egg in February, unexpectedly shedding 2,800 jobs.The national unemployment ra...
OTTAWA - Unemployed Canadians continued to struggle with a tough job market last month as the slow-moving economy laid an egg in February, unexpectedly shedding 2,800 jobs.The national unemployment ra...
OTTAWA - Unemployed Canadians continued to struggle with a tough job market last month as the slow-moving economy laid an egg in February, unexpectedly shedding 2,800 jobs.The national unemployment ra...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
djelimon17
what's this thing for?
07:01 PM on 03/09/2012
The solution is clear - pass legislation so that only people with jobs or a minimum amount of assets can vote.

For cover, call the jobless people lazy leaches who should have no say in how the country is run. That should satisfy the base (assuming they question anything).
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Doogs62
To see by faith is to shut the eye of reason
05:16 PM on 03/09/2012
This is coming right out of the pipe but if they tabled legislation that required a minimum Corporate reinvestment it would stimulate growth. That way the corporations don't see it as a tax increase and it could possibly increase their profits while creating jobs. Oh what am I thinking it would be the same as a tax increase as far as big business is concernedand have to be approved by Harper. It also has the drawback that it sort of makes sense,
03:05 PM on 03/09/2012
Well looks like your plan to lower corporate taxes to make jobs didn't work Mr Harper, can we go back to charging them something like the Americans? 35% seems fair since it is at 12% now , that will give you a lot of money to avoid cuts.

And you can make more jobs fixng roads, your speciality.
Dinsdale Pirahna
"lookin' out the 'ole in the wall"
05:58 AM on 03/10/2012
I was trying to get on Dragon's Den with my idea for an inexpensive gazebo that can be turned into a 2 bunk jail cell in a pinch. But O'Leary beat me to it.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
logicanada
Blogger, radio co-host, writer, editor, voice-over
02:21 PM on 03/09/2012
The answer is so simple; give tax breaks to corporations and they will hire people. Look how well it has worked everywhere else in the world.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
opprobrious
More speech. Less Flagging.
01:24 PM on 03/09/2012
It's important to point out that folks like Kevin O'Leary who call for reduced corporate tax cuts, more free-trade agreements and who want to eliminate capital gains and inheritance taxes, etc. are also the ones recommending to others to make the bulk of their investments in places like Brazil and China. That's what increasing free-trade and reducing the tax burden of the well-to-do does. It increases more investment outside the country and allows the investor to shelter their profits off-shore. Meanwhile, the Tories fall over themselves to encourage the accelerated export of raw materials with no added value. Great plan. We're phuqued.
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Spanky McFarlane
ILLEGITIMUS NON CARBORUNDUM.
11:24 AM on 03/09/2012
Unlike America, Mr. Harper is running a 'job suppression' campaign ...but will soon blame the Liberals for it.
12:54 PM on 03/09/2012
Please explain. Be specific.
03:03 PM on 03/09/2012
He will lie and say the liberals made him do it as usual, please explain, be specific. And then claim the country is now be ruled by elephants, what's the matter Harley not keeping up?
11:02 AM on 03/09/2012
flaherty is re-working his budget to lavish more corporate welfare ------

it will trickle down dont you know
10:57 AM on 03/09/2012
These job losses, are just the tip of the iceberg. Harper is permitting China to buy out the tar sands. They are bring their own people to work their vast tar sands projects.

In BC. Campbell shipped mills to China. along with BC's raw logs. China owns BC mines they are also, bringing their own people for those jobs too. Harper and his favorite henchman Gordon Campbell, worked as fast as they could to totally dismantle BC before Campbell got the boot.

Harper has been banned from, the Trans Pacific Trade Group. The U.N. refused Canada a seat, because of Harper. At every meeting of the Nations, Harper always manages to infuriate everyone else present. Country's are fed up, with Harper's bullying and his hissy fits, when he doesn't get his own way. He is the worst P.M. in Canadian history. Since Harper's, so called majority, Canada has steadily regressed.

Canadians despise dictators, and Harper has stepped way over the line.
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sonoffestus
Got smart & got out!
01:14 PM on 03/10/2012
I agree, but will those of us on the Left do anything about it? The NDP and the Liberals need to set their egos aside merge their parties and set an agenda aimed at improving Canadian citizens' lives, protecting the environment, stop all the saber rattling and end the corporate welfare gravy train. The Tories would be assigned to the dustbin of history, where they belong.
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Poster999
A promise made is a debt unpaid.
10:42 AM on 03/09/2012
Where are those jobs the corporate tax breaks were supposed to create Mr. Harper?
09:54 AM on 03/09/2012
Seems like for the past few months - each month we get a kindly reminder that more and more Canadians are losing jobs. I fail to see how this should be considered news. Perhaps we can be informed instead when some jobs are actually created.

Don't bother asking Harper about the lose of jobs... He'll simply reply "Oh well we gave all kinds of corporate tax breaks - jobs should be coming soon... But just to be sure, we'll give them another tax break".

*sigh*.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Planarama
Common sense will one day prevail.
09:21 AM on 03/09/2012
Canada's Economic Action Plan At Work..."you're screwed"...A Message From The Government of Cannotada.
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freeSpeakr
I stand on the shoulders of giants
09:29 AM on 03/09/2012
well said.
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sonoffestus
Got smart & got out!
01:18 PM on 03/10/2012
Yes, having escape the Conservative destruction of America, I can say without hesitation this reminds me of Bush's "you're on your own society".

At least my wife and I are well aware of what is coming down the road and are prepared. Four more years of this, you better have a plan.....................SOF.
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TonyOnly
Truth matters.
09:09 AM on 03/09/2012
Anybody still think corporate tax cuts create jobs?

Or are they just another conservative lie intended to aid their corporate benefactors off the backs of individual taxpayers?

This conservatism at work, folks. Record deficits, payroll tax increases, increasing unemployment, economic stagnation.
While the 1% get richer and richer.
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freeSpeakr
I stand on the shoulders of giants
09:35 AM on 03/09/2012
I just finished Galbraith's The Economics of Innocent Fraud. It explains a lot.

In short: When you allow >80% of the wealth of a nation to be controlled by
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freeSpeakr
I stand on the shoulders of giants
09:39 AM on 03/09/2012
I must of accidentily truncated that post. Here it is:

In short: When you allow >80% of the wealth of a nation to be controlled by
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Norma Ward
08:50 AM on 03/09/2012
While Canada’s employment statistics show that the unemployment rate has improved since the depths of the Great Recession, this statistic is misleading. In fact, the employment rate, which measures the ratio of total employment to the working age population, dropped from 63.8 percent in early 2008 to 61.7 percent at the end of 2011 as shown here:

http://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2012/02/has-canadas-economic-recovery-been.html

The employment rate has actually increased by only 20 percent of the total decline since the beginning of the recession, largely because Canada’s working age population is growing faster than jobs are being created.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gravescanada
08:12 AM on 03/09/2012
Sooooo...Our economy is faltering?
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freeSpeakr
I stand on the shoulders of giants
08:53 AM on 03/09/2012
It's a stick to frighten the populus and help ensure an adequate supply of appropriately desperate workers are available to work for minimum wage and no benefits.

Testify, Unca George: http://goo.gl/U6kyi