Great Lakes Show Massive Ice Loss, Study Says

Great Lakes Ice Cover

First Posted: 03/13/2012 10:18 am Updated: 03/14/2012 3:35 pm


Most of the water in the Great Lakes hasn't frozen over this year — largely because of a warmer-than-usual winter — and a new study shows the lakes have been losing ice cover for 40 years.


Lake Superior is the coldest of the Great Lakes. Yet only a thin layer of ice surrounds a cargo ship in the Thunder Bay, Ont., harbour. Past the breakwall, there's no ice at all.


Thunder Bay Port Authority CEO Tim Heney, a 20 year-veteran in his industry, said the lack of ice is remarkable.


“It's the first time I ever remember the water being open right into Thunder Bay,” Heney said. “I've never seen this before."


According to a new study published in the Journal of Climate, the Great Lakes have lost more than two-thirds of their ice cover over the last four decades. Lake Erie and Lake St. Clair lost the least (50 per cent), while Lake Ontario has lost the most ice (88 per cent). That's more than even the study's lead author, ice climatologist Jia Wang, expected.


"It's really, really huge,” he said.


Adam Cornwell, an assistant professor of geography at Lakehead University, said Wang's findings are consistent with other climate research — all of which sends a powerful message.


"What's happening on the Great Lakes is an immediate reminder that our climate is changing and the expectations that we've had in the past aren't going to hold true for the future,” Cornwell said.


“And one of those expectations is a season of ice cover on the Great Lakes."


The study noted that ice cover varies from year to year, depending on whether cold or warm systems are passing through. But it attributes the overall ice decrease to global warming — a factor that can affect fish and marine plants.


The impact isn't just environmental, according to the study. Ships could be forced to navigate lower water levels as less ice results in more evaporation.


“We could be changing to a regime even just over the next 30 years where ice-free seasons happen more often than not,” Cornwell said.


Also on HuffPost:

POSSIBLE IMPACTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ON CANADA:

Loading Slideshow...
  • Endangered Species

    Climate change could lead to habitat destruction for some species, such as <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2011/12/15/dangerous-polar-bears_n_1150226.html" target="_hplink">polar bears</a>. (Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images)

  • Arctic Ice

    <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2011/09/30/canada-arctic-ice-shelf-global-warming-melt_n_988447.html" target="_hplink">Melting polar ice</a> could lead to the arctic being open for shipping and resource exploration. (Slim Allgui/AFP/Getty Images)

  • Weird Weather

    Climate change could lead to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2011/11/18/extreme-weather-climate-change_n_1102137.html" target="_hplink">more weird weather</a> such as freak storms and more.

  • Boreal Forest

    Canada's boreal forests could be <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/01/12/climate-change-canada-nasa-hot-spot_n_1201757.html" target="_hplink">adversely affected by climate change.</a>

  • Invasive Species

    Warmer weather could allow invasive species to come into Canada. Some of them, <a href="http://www.farmzone.com/news/storm_watch_stories3&stormfile=climate_change_and_malaria_070611" target="_hplink">like mosquitos, could carry diseases.</a>

  • Heat Wave

    Climate change could lead to <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/43301367/ns/us_news-environment/t/hotter-summers-few-decades-study-warns/#.Tw87UKVSR-U" target="_hplink">hotter summers. </a>

  • Bumper Crops Or Drought?

    Warmer weather could <a href="http://www.sunnewsnetwork.ca/sunnews/sciencetech/archives/2011/05/20110506-112807.html" target="_hplink">lead to bumper crops</a> but it could also lead to <a href="http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/TopStories/20110118/climate-change-crop-shortages-110118/" target="_hplink">drought and crop failure.</a>

  • Canada On Climate Change

    Canada's stance on climate change and the oil sands has <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2011/11/29/canada-climate-change-policy-desmond-tutu_n_1119608.html" target="_hplink">upset protesters at home and abroad.</a> (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

  • The Oil Sands

    <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2011/07/19/canada-energy-policy-kananaskis_n_904012.html" target="_hplink">Alberta's oil sands are a boon to Canada's economy</a> but there are fears that it could add dramatically to climate change. (Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images)



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Most of the water in the Great Lakes hasn't frozen over this year — largely because of a warmer-than-usual winter — and a new study shows the lakes have been losing ice cover for 40 y...
Most of the water in the Great Lakes hasn't frozen over this year — largely because of a warmer-than-usual winter — and a new study shows the lakes have been losing ice cover for 40 y...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
PTerrys
03:28 AM on 03/15/2012
Can someone tell me what the benefit of denying is?
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GreatLakesGuy
Divided we fall...
01:35 PM on 03/14/2012
this thread is dead, fred... nuttin's showing up....
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
ModerndayJohnnyappleseed
12:30 PM on 03/14/2012
Amazing how fast the climate change deniers come out in force everytime any news is out.
BTW i have a great link for them that coves their hundreds of lies http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php . By the way EVEN if the scientists are all wrong (97% of them) Getting America and the world off the addiction to oil is good thing. And yes we should all chip in via taxes to make it happen. (Germany in WW2 got off of real oil in 2 years due to the bombings)
12:16 PM on 03/14/2012
the lack of ice is a factor that can affect fish and marine plants,
and the quality of the water itself! Snow fall and ice melt is how
the Great Lakes replenishes it's water column. This year there were
very few days that ice and snow accumulated on the surface of the
Great Lakes....if this becomes a trend, it will effect the quality
of the water in the lakes, which is drinking water for over 30 million
people both American and Canadian......
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
whitewater
12:12 PM on 03/14/2012
OMG! We're losing the glaciers on the Great Lakes!!!
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
P51MUSTANG
HumeSkeptic might disagree, but...
12:08 PM on 03/14/2012
There are none so blind as have eyes but refuse to see.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dadoorsron
12:05 PM on 03/14/2012
Since the photo for this article is from Chicago I'll post this Nugget. Chicago just set records from for warmest winter and coolest summer. Now, The summer of 11 saw very few 90 degree days. If I remember correctly it was something like 8 90 degree days. That was the lowest number in 50 years. The Chicago winter was the 10th warmest on record. Yep, 9 warmer winters in 128 years of keeping records for the city. 28th lowest snowfall in the history of the City. 27 other winters saw less snow. If Chicago had the 10th warmest winter on recorded why would a story of little to no ice in the great lakes be surprising? Chicago area last winter had above average snow and cold. Global warming is happening but, weather can vary from year to year and you can't Take one season and start predicting doom for the region.
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GreatLakesGuy
Divided we fall...
11:59 AM on 03/14/2012
where are all the new comments? Something's whacked on this thread....
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tnlcallen
11:44 AM on 03/14/2012
If you are going to be a climate change proponent, and criticize those who are skeptics, the least you can do is understand the science behind the theory of man made global warming. The warm winter is not an indication that climate change is real (any more than a cool summer is an indication that it is a hoax). When the scientists talk about climate change, they are talking about small changes in average temperature over decades. In our lifetimes average temperatures have only risen a half a degree Celsius. That has a major effect on things like ice coverage, but it would largely go unnoticed to us with regard to temperatures.
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IsotelusMaximus
Appalachian American
11:41 AM on 03/14/2012
I'm not sure what credentials geographers have to qualify their expertise on AGW. He can look at satellite images just like the rest of us can but he knows maps, nothing about real science. As I person with a background in the hard sciences like me and since my homestead is less than a mile from a Great Lake, I'm sure I am more qualified to talk about about lake ice than some geographer.

I'm surprised that the geographer forgot to mention the extensive lake ice that was prevalent on all the great lakes last winter...?
11:40 AM on 03/14/2012
What global warming?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tnlcallen
11:27 AM on 03/14/2012
I'd be interested to see the raw data on the ice loss. Has it been a gradual loss, or are they just comparing this year with 40 years ago. It is very easy to prove a point with misleading statistics.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
devildog21
"War is a Racket" -Smedley D. Butler MajGen USMC
11:03 AM on 03/14/2012
“It's the first time I ever remember the water being open right into Thunder Bay,” Heney said. “I've never seen this before."

Get used to it. It will be the norm going forward.
10:51 AM on 03/14/2012
"...and a new study shows the lakes have been losing ice cover for 40 years."

This is more liberal propaganda on so called "global warming"!! The Great Lakes region has increased in population, AND hard liquor consumption over the last forty years, and ALL of the ice has been used to make drinks!! It'sSO easily explained without all that liberal science stuff!! And I read this on a Ricky Santorum political flyer so I know it's true!!!
10:35 AM on 03/14/2012
They have been losing ice since the end of the last ice age....