Ontario Budget 2012: Dwight Duncan Delivers Province's Austerity Spending Plan

CP  |  By Posted: 03/27/2012 4:06 pm Updated: 03/28/2012 8:17 am

Ontario Budget 2012 Cuts
The 2012 Ontario budget is being delivered by provincial Finance Minister Dwight Duncan. (CP)

TORONTO - Cash-strapped Ontario is putting off business tax cuts, taking aim at pensions, and vowing to legislate pay freezes for public sector workers if need be in an austerity budget designed to lift Canada's former economic powerhouse out of the red ink in five years.

The minority Liberals are walking a political and fiscal tightrope with a massive 304-page budget plan, which must appease credit agencies, the wider business community and at least one of the opposition parties to avoid triggering an election.

"This is a strong plan that gets us back to balance in (five years) and, I'm quite confident, meets the needs of markets and meets the needs of all Ontarians," Finance Minister Dwight Duncan said Tuesday.

PHOTOS: ONTARIO BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS

Saddled with a $15.3-billion deficit this year, the Liberals plan to make cuts and reduce spending to save $17.7 billion over three years while increasing revenue by $4.4 billion — without hiking taxes.

After two years of tough talk, the government is brandishing a big stick, warning it will use legislation to force a pay freeze on teachers, doctors and civil servants if all other attempts at the bargaining table fail. Public sector workers will also have to pay more into their pensions, pool their plans or reduce benefits.

That sets the stage for possible strikes or labour disruptions, but the Liberals say they're also ready to legislate them back to work. Executives at hospitals, universities, colleges, school boards and agencies will also see their salaries frozen for another two years, but the government won't touch the bonuses that push up their pay.

Wages and pensions must be addressed because it's the province's "single greatest cost," Duncan said.

The status quo is no longer an option, as the province pays about $10 billion a year — more than it spends on colleges and universities — to make interest payments on its $237.6-billion debt, which is expected to reach $260 billion next year. That will bring Ontario's net debt-to-GDP ratio to 39.5 per cent from 37.2 per cent this year, second only to Quebec.

Those interest payments could cost hundreds of millions more if the province is hit with a credit downgrade or interest rates go up, prospects Duncan admits keep him up at night.

To tame its debt monster, the Liberals plan to cap average annual growth in program spending to one per cent a year. But much of the $127-billion spending blueprint, which includes $1 billion in reserves, rests on freezing wages and squeezing more value out of the broader public sector, saving nearly $13 billion over three years.

But some economists remain skeptical about the three-year plan.

This budget was supposed to be the "Big One," but it didn't offer a complete answer about how Ontario would re-balance the books, RBC economists wrote in a note to clients.

The measures needed to completely close the deficit gap "are still largely unknown." Serious challenges remain, including the "political reality of managing a minority government," BMO economists wrote in their note.

"Last year, we said the province was on a 'A Slow Boat to Balance.' Today, it's clear that they're still on the same slow boat, but they now have charts and a compass."

Union leaders called the pay freeze plan a "slap across the face" to public-sector workers who are paying the price for a global recession triggered by big business.

"There is no respect in this budget," said Sid Ryan, president of the Ontario Federation of Labour. "This is just an assault — an outright assault — playing pure politics with public sector workers."

The Liberals also risk alienating the very supporters who've kept them in office for eight years if they end up going back to the polls, he added.

"It's clear what they're trying to do is play on public sentiment," said Fred Hahn, Ontario president of the Canadian Union of Public Employees.

"It's like this budget is about the Liberals giving up hope for the future, instead trading on some kind of mean-spirited sense."

Duncan said the government won't impose an immediate wage freeze — as the Opposition Conservatives have demanded — because it would just be overturned in court.

It wasn't enough for the Opposition Tories, who said they won't support a budget that doesn't grasp the severity of Ontario's dire fiscal situation.

"Unsustainable deficits and debt — to which this province remains hostage with today's budget — undermine business confidence," said Tory Leader Tim Hudak. "And that, in turn, undermines job creation."

The Liberals' best hope for survival, the New Democrats, are balking at the threat of a legislated wage freeze. But they will see one of their chief demands met — freezing corporate taxes at 11.5 per cent — until the budget is balanced.

NDP Leader Andrea Horwath wouldn't say whether her party will vote for the budget, leaving the Liberals' fate in limbo just six months after being re-elected.

"For people who are worried about jobs, about wages that aren't keeping up with the cost of living, about a health system that leaves them waiting longer and longer for services that they need, this budget has very little to offer," she said.

While Ontario has recovered from the recession, its economy is only projected to grow 1.7 per cent in 2012, 2.2 per cent in 2013 and 2.4 per cent in 2014.

Faced with a sluggish economy that can no longer fuel government spending and an aging population that's putting more pressure on its services, Duncan is forging ahead with dozens of new measures designed to rein in expenses.

The cuts, set out in a 50-page document that civil servants have dubbed the "Book of Doom," also include:

— reining in increases in health-care spending to 2.1 per cent annually, further than the 2.5 per cent recommended by economist Don Drummond.

— shaving $30 million from the public drug plan by having seniors with incomes over $100,000 and couples with a combined income of $160,000 pay higher deductibles, which would affect about 75,000 people.

— amalgamating school boards in sparsely populated areas and consolidating "underutilized" schools.

— effectively ending the high school "victory lap" by capping credits at 34 — four more than needed to graduate — to save $36 million over three years.

— saving $470 million over three years by capping the 10 per cent rebate on hydro bills to 3,000 kilowatt hours per month, which targets businesses rather than households.

— delaying high-occupancy road lane projects designed to unclog traffic jams near densely-populated cities.

— closing seven tourism centres.

— closing two more jails in Brantford and Chatham — on top of four others — and reducing overtime for jail guards and Ontario Provincial Police.

That's on top of a slew of other measures announced in recent weeks, including freezing welfare and delaying increases to the Ontario Child Benefit, increasing driver licence fees, expanding gambling and selling off government buildings and the Ontario Northland rail service.

Duncan claims the budget will create and protect about 170,000 jobs, but critics warned it will spark major cuts in the province's schools and hospitals.

"Cuts to vital public services built with our tax dollars are being used to pay for a deficit that working people did not create," Sam Hammond, president of the Elementary Teachers' Federation of Ontario, said in a release.

The Liberals are also rejecting nine cost-saving ideas — and putting off dozens more — from economist Don Drummond, who provided a blueprint for austerity that paved the way for Duncan's kinder, gentler approach to deficit slaying.

Drummond warned that unless all of his 362 recommendations are implemented, Ontario will wind up with a $30-billion deficit by 2017-18 and increase its debt to a staggering $411 billion. And if the government rejects one recommendation, it must find another place to cut or increase revenue.

Against Drummond's wishes, the Liberals are keeping costly programs like full-day kindergarten, smaller class sizes in early grades and a new 30 per cent tuition rebate for some college and university students promised during last fall's election.

At the same time, they'll trim in other areas such as discontinuing some grants and bursaries to post-secondary students and cutting capital funding for college and university projects.

But Duncan said the budget is consistent with Drummond's targets for curbing growth in spending and uses his assumptions on revenues.

PHOTOS: ONTARIO BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS


Loading Slideshow...
  • What's In The Ontario Budget 2012

  • Health Care

    The 2012 Ontario budget freezes pay for doctors, and extends a pay freeze for health care executives. The province will begin means-testing seniors' prescription drugs, paid for under the Ontario Drug Benefit Plan, effectively meaning that the 5 per cent wealthiest seniors covered by the plan will have to pay more into the plan. Seniors with incomes over $100,000 and senior couples with combined incomes above $160,000 will be affected. Increases in health care spending will be capped at 2.1 per cent per year.

  • Education

    The budget freezes pay for teachers. A pay freeze for educational executives, already in place, will be extended. School boards in low-population areas will be amalgamated, and "under-utilized" schools will be shut. Student transportation will be cut by $34 million.

  • Senior Citizens

    The province will begin means-testing seniors' prescription drugs, paid for under the Ontario Drug Benefit Plan, effectively meaning that the 5 per cent wealthiest seniors covered by the plan will have to pay more into the plan. Seniors with incomes over $100,000 and senior couples with combined incomes above $160,000 will be affected.

  • Social Assistance

    Welfare rates will be frozen and planned increases to the Ontario Child Benefit will be delayed.

  • Taxes

    There are no tax hikes in the 2012 Ontario budget, but it does freeze the corporate tax rate at 11.5 per cent, foregoing planned reductions in the tax rate to 10 per cent. The freeze is expected to save $1.5 billion over three years.

  • Energy

    Ontario will cap the 10 per cent hydro bill rebate at 3,000 kilowatt-hours, a limit high enough that most homes won't be affected, but businesses could be. Reducing the tax credit will save $470 million over three years.

  • Crime & Security

    On top of the four jails the province already plans to close, the budget adds two more to the closure list -- one in Brantford and one in Chatham. Overtime for jail guards and the Ontario Provincial Police will be reduced.

  • Business Initiatives

    Ontario plans to reduce spending on business support programs by $250 million by merging a number of different programs.

  • Gambling & Lotteries

    The province aims to increase revenue by increasing the number of gambling facilities. [Details to come]

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TORONTO - Cash-strapped Ontario is putting off business tax cuts, taking aim at pensions, and vowing to legislate pay freezes for public sector workers if need be in an austerity budget designed to li...
TORONTO - Cash-strapped Ontario is putting off business tax cuts, taking aim at pensions, and vowing to legislate pay freezes for public sector workers if need be in an austerity budget designed to li...
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
haselcheck
Had enuff...Get active....
09:43 AM on 03/29/2012
Moody's will downgrade soon..This budget is obviously a SCAM.....
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
haselcheck
Had enuff...Get active....
09:41 AM on 03/29/2012
A complete lie and a JOKE...
09:41 AM on 03/28/2012
I prefer the minority situation. The NDP will hold the LIBS to account. Maybe the Tories will learn that they too can affect the budget if they seem willing. If the Tories are serious about making change, why not make change right now. Tell the LIBS they will support the budget if they get this that and the other. Be willing to compromise and they might walk away moving the province in their direction. By simply disagreeing and voting against the budget they have no pull in this province until the next election.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Filthy
02:45 PM on 03/28/2012
Given that both the PCs and the NDP made gains in the last election, they're probably not too worried about giving it another try sooner than later.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Capital Ottawa
04:53 PM on 03/28/2012
Agreed, all parties working on the problem may bring about a budget that is balanced for the majority of Ontarians.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
09:28 AM on 03/28/2012
Here's an opportunity that Ontarioans missedin the last election. Lets see if the NDP can hold this government to a tighter austerity program and bring this province back to sensible management. It was find in the glory days of growth and prosperity to spend money and extend programs but this isn't then. Tighten the belt further McGuinty or have your government face a no confidence vote. Start with your Green Program. Toss it. Continue with the teachers. Get rid of those cashed out sick days. Yes, goverment pensions including yours and elected officials. Cut them back and have them make bigger contributions. Who ever in their right mind would offer full day kindergarten? All that is is glorified day care at higher costs. Keep it as daycare. I can't imagine what they pay a teacher with a masters and ten years experience to look after 15 kids. I am sure it is over 90K$ in District 12. Urgh!!!!!!!!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Filthy
02:43 PM on 03/28/2012
Actually full day kindergarten is cheaper than the percentage of slot machine earnings paid to racetrack owners by OLG - $345 million. And Ontario MLA pensions were reformed about 15 years ago - MLAs get a contribution matched RRSP - you're thinking of the feds who get about 2000 times what they contribute.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
08:15 PM on 03/28/2012
Point on the MLA's is much appreciated. What do you think the OLG should do? the government is closing some casio0ns e.g. Windsor where traffic from Detroit has declined. Are they not opening one in Tronto?
09:26 AM on 03/28/2012
Last time I've checked I didn't see to many union members on the Sunshine List.

No business can generate growth by cutting. I can't see how any government could do this. We need more taxes:
- tax corporate retained profits that are not invested beck in businesses.
- tax personal income 5 times grater than the average.

This budget could work well for the Liberal Party, but it's going to do more harm than good for the province.
09:05 AM on 03/28/2012
Shoot this budget down. Ontario doesn't need the Liberals passing a conservative budget, it has the Conservatives for that. This two face Liberal party is redundant.
07:28 AM on 03/28/2012
I wish he had cut more, in certian areas and had a job creation component in the budget. As a budget I find it is pretty fair considering the position we are in. No need to spend more money on a election at this time, so I hope the opposite does not force one over this budget.
07:11 AM on 03/28/2012
ontario annual deficit 16 billion ----------accumulated debt 240 billion

a 1% rise in interest rates costs 2.4 billion dollars

dear bank of canada -------

lower the damn interest rates ----let the dollar depreciate -----it will create jobs in ontario ------

and you get a double whammy against the debt/deficit
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Filthy
03:34 PM on 03/28/2012
The Bank of Canada overnight rate is 1%. Their goal is to hold inflation between 1 and 2 per cent. Because we have a target for inflation that aims to preserve the domestic value of the Canadian dollar, we cannot also have a target for its external value.
06:42 AM on 03/28/2012
This budget tries to balance without job cuts. Teachers, hospital workers, civil servants will have salaries and pension increases frozen for two years but they will all keep their jobs with no pay cuts. This is an improvement over similar Conservative abd NDP approaches.
05:38 AM on 03/28/2012
Cut the size of government by half and you'll save a bundle.
There are too many 'freeloaders' in government today. It's called money management.
07:13 AM on 03/28/2012
government workers pay taxes ---how do you propose to replace that revenue ---

when the unemployed also collect unemployment benefits

a double loss ----your money management skills need upgrading
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
09:30 AM on 03/28/2012
Yes, definitely a good point and you move the issue to another pile. Close pools and libraries and put the kids on the streets so police can deal with them. Cut social services, increase crime and health.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Runey
religion is why we can't have nice things.
07:49 AM on 03/28/2012
by half? you're clueless
12:28 AM on 03/28/2012
One day I'll have a million fans and I'll be able to post all of my views.Oh yes Huff Po this will happen.
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Voltage
You can't spell Canada without "eh."
07:41 AM on 03/28/2012
Only 999,972 to go.
11:50 PM on 03/27/2012
Hi, quick question. Why do I pay more taxes by ratio then the guys who set my cell phone bill?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Filthy
03:57 PM on 03/28/2012
You shouldn't be. In a progressive taxation model everybody pays the same amount of tax. The percentage of tax increases as you make more, but only for the additional money you earn above the set bracket. For instance you pay no tax on the first $10,822 you earn, nor does someone earning a million a year. On the income over $10,822 you are taxed at a rate of 15% - so is a millionaire. On any income you earn over $42,706 you are taxed at a rate of 22%, as is a millionaire. Anything you earn over $132,406 is taxed at a rate of 29%, as is anything over $132,406 that a millionaire earns. That's progressive taxation.

If you choose to donate to a registered charity or a political party you can recoup a disproportionate measure of that however. A donation to a political party of $100 dollars will net you an income tax return of $75 dollars for instance.

Incorporating or registering as a business offers a lot of write-offs, but if you're honest, then not nearly as many as one might be inclined to imagine. Perhaps he's evading his taxes? Or his corporation is paying for many of the things that we plebs have to pay for with our after-tax income?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
trying2help
mom doc
10:37 PM on 03/27/2012
Has to- can't spend money you don't have- anymore than anyone can put it on a credit card and just hope for the best!
Like they have been doing in the [ast. Time for ALL- govt servants- docs teachers public servants- everyone to get on board. There is no pie in the sky now. How do we all rebuild the economy?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Planarama
Common sense will one day prevail.
10:32 PM on 03/27/2012
History is repeating itself. Once upon a time, the Ontario NDP inherited a bad economy and the deficit went way up.

The NDP were turfed and some governmental psycho got into power and cut spending everywhere and people ended up dead from drinking bad water because there was no money to properly train water quality testers.

Will Ontario learn from the past? Doubt it.