Canada Mortgage Debt: BMO Survey Suggests Half Of Homeowners Fear 2 Per Cent Rate Hike

Canada Mortgage Debt Rate Hike

First Posted: 03/28/2012 11:05 am Updated: 03/29/2012 2:54 pm

TORONTO - A Bank of Montreal study finds more than 40 per cent of Canadians surveyed are unsure about their ability to afford their homes in the case of a two per cent interest rate hike.

The survey, compiled for BMO by Leger Marketing, found 43 per cent believe an interest hike would either hamper their ability to pay or leave them on unsure footing.

But the report also found 57 per cent of respondents believe they could still afford their home if interest rates spiked two per cent.

The survey results come as some of Canada's biggest banks begin raising variable mortgage rates, even though the Bank of Canada's overnight interest rate remains unchanged.

That could signal the era of cheap borrowing that has encouraged many Canadians to take on houses they may not have been able to otherwise afford.

BMO anticipates that the Bank of Canada will begin increasing interest rates from the current one per cent next year.

THE 10 LEAST AFFORDABLE CITIES FOR HOUSING The number shown is the housing affordability ratio -- a measure that shows how much a median home costs relative to median incomes in a given city. Historically, a typical ratio has been around three.
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  • 10: New York City - 6.2

    The number shown is the housing affordability ratio -- a measure that shows how much a median home costs relative to median incomes in a given city. Historically, a typical ratio has been around three. Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • 9: Auckland, New Zealand - 6.4

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • Adelaide, Australia - 6.7

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • San Francisco - 6.7

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • London - 6.9

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • San Jose, California - 6.9

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • Melbourne, Australia - 8.4

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • Sydney - 9.2

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • Vancouver - 10.6

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

  • Hong Kong - 12.6

    Source: Demographia, <a href="http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf" target="_hplink"><em>8th Annual International Housing Affordability Survey</em></a>

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
yishai ettebe
12:38 AM on 03/29/2012
They should have locked in at a low rate.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
08:51 PM on 03/28/2012
Maybe it's time to give fixed income people a break on their inerest.
07:52 PM on 03/28/2012
WelI am 60 and worked thru the 70s,80s,90s,2000s in fact still working. In the 70's the mortgage rate was about 10-12%, in the 80's it was as high as 20-21% but levelled back down to about 12% by late 80's, I remember in 1990 interest was 14% again. Only in the 2000's has the rate became historically low. What has everyone done? Paid more at lower interest but the payments are just as high at the "False Low Interest rate." I have to believe the average thru my lifetime was 10%+, do I believe it will stay this low? No.
Lets say it returns to the average 10% which it could over 2 or 3 years and there will be a lot wishing they never paid such high house prices. A quick example a $300,000 mortgage means $1000 has to be paid back each month on a 25 year plus interest. 3% on 300,000 is 9,000 or near 800 month interest for a total payment of $1,800.00. At 10% the interest is 30,000 or 2500 interest per month plus the 1,000 on principal for a total payment of $3,500 month. Now your house payment doubled can you pay it? That is how the bubble bursts. Grant Devine was elected into Saskatchewan because they paid the mortgage rates down to 13.25% I believe that was in 1983.
08:37 PM on 03/28/2012
Thanks for the history. I bought my first house in 1988 at 11%. My personal policy is that I don't borrow as much as the bank would lend. I decide how much I can afford, not the bank or the credit card companies or the payday loan guys or anyone else who wants to put a lean on my property. I guess the low interest rates have accomplished what they were intended to. People spent money to keep the economy robust. Now we have to pay it all back. Meanwhile the government has been over spending and now they must make all kinds of cuts. I don't believe that interest rates will go up for at least four to five years as it is going to take that long for the economy to stabilize and the government to balance the books.
Personal finance is all about running your own show. It's not a spectator sport.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
08:56 PM on 03/28/2012
Simply said interest rates were high and house values low, now house prices are high and interests are low. Six of one and half a dozen of the other. You need to also look at salaries which haven't been a constant. In the 60's a $5000 salary became a $30 000 salary in the 70s and in the 80s became a 45-50 thousand dollar salary and in the 90 to 2000 (12 has grown to high $80k. So, people can pay more down and bigger monthly payments lessening their interest if they chose to do so whereas forty years ago most money went to mortagages leaving little extra.
03:48 PM on 03/28/2012
Banks grant these mortgages to people on their own acceptable total debt service limits. If overextended customers exist it is because the banks have allowed it. Don't put all the blame on the people who want to own a home, they go in, fill out an application form and it is either approved or not. The whole process is entirely in the hands of the lender.
06:43 PM on 03/28/2012
Not always true. You may be entirely capable of servicing your mortgage at the time of taking it out. If you then in the next couple years add financed vehicles, furniture, credit cards etc. Your screwed, and its not the banks fault. Its both the banks fault and the homeowners, There is more than enough blame to go around.
07:05 PM on 03/28/2012
Adding more financing such as a car requires another credit application. Furniture and credit cards yes, that can add to it...BUT....that is why banks have a TDS ratio that allows for other debt and even costs of hydro etc on top of a mortgage. Sorry but I still think the onus is on the banks. Money shouldn't be so cheap and easy to borrow, they need to tighten up.
08:41 PM on 03/28/2012
Ultimately the amount you borrow is up to you. Some people don't mind the risks and others will borrow the max and enjoy the ride as long as they can.
02:10 PM on 03/28/2012
This has nothing to do with banks… most of credit cards have extremely high interest rate, however people still mismanage their money and keep buying without thinking of how to pay back these debts…
It is not a greedy banks, but stupid people.
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WorkInCanada
Life is hard; it's harder if you're stupid. John W
03:54 PM on 03/28/2012
huh? Whether or not someone can afford their mortgage has everything to do with what the Bank of Canada sets as it's prime rate....then the chartered banks follow suite and add a point or two to BofC's prime rate.

10 years ago, when a $150K house had a 5% interest rate, that was about $625 / month just for interest payments. That exact same house now worth $300K and the new owner has an even lower rate of 4% interest, that's $1000 per month. Increase that by 2% and it's now $1500 per month.

Not sure if you're on the right article or not. This has nothing to do with credit cards and everything to do with how expensive new mortgages are for everyday people.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dread
12:35 PM on 03/28/2012
This has been front page news for 3 years and we still see families with a 65K to 85K yearly income buying $350,000.00 homes. When it hits the fan they will be blaming the banks and the government for allowing them to do it.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
09:00 PM on 03/28/2012
They lose very little if they walk away and is still cheaper than an apartment. As for the bubble, I hope to buy two or three of these lost houses at rock bottom prices to add to what I own.