Canada Household Debt: Consumers Kept Piling On Debt In Early 2012, Despite Official Warnings

Posted: 04/12/2012 6:07 am Updated: 04/12/2012 7:40 pm

TORONTO - Canadians are continuing to heap on non-mortgage debt, despite warnings about the perils of cheap borrowing from top officials, according to a consumer credit study released Thursday.

Equifax Canada's quarterly consumer credit trends report found that consumer indebtedness, excluding mortgage debt, grew 3.4 per cent year-over-year in the first-quarter.

New loans opened during the quarter were up by about one per cent.

The biggest increase in outstanding balances was for auto finance loans and leases, which grew by 10 per cent from the first-quarter of 2011.

"Interest rates are still obviously very low so people are still borrowing, but I don't know if it's a good or a bad news story," said Nadim Abdo, vice-president of consulting and analytical services at Equifax Canada.

"It is not surprising to see consumer credit continue to increase given the significantly improved levels of consumer delinquencies and bankruptcies witnessed in the last year, coupled with record-low consumer borrowing rates."

Since the recession, the Bank of Canada has kept interest rates low to stimulate the economy. The central bank's current overnight lending rate — which affects prime rates at banks — is one per cent.

However, the plan to get consumers spending comes with a consequence that could spell economic trouble in times ahead.

With household debt at an all-time high above 150 per cent of income, the Bank of Canada has declared it the number one domestic risk to the economy.

In a recent interview, bank governor Mark Carney lamented the comfort level of Canadians with high debt, attributing it to the illusion of affordability at a time of sky-high home values and floor-low interest rates.

If house prices fall, however, Canadians could find themselves in a situation where their net assets decline as interest rates and hence their mortgage payments rise. Even a return to normalized rates would render 10 per cent of households financially vulnerable.

In signs that consumers may be improving their overall credit situations, credit card debt decreased by 2.1 per cent year-over-year, continuing a downward trend for the past six quarters, while consumer bankruptcies have decreased by 3.1 per cent since the same period last year.

The consumer credit reporting agency said its new credit seeking index shows that demand for new credit by Canadian consumers is about three per cent less than it was just before the financial crisis of 2008.

Equifax Canada calculates the number of consumer credit applications in a given period of time compared to 2007, which is the timeframe considered "normal."

"There's no deleveraging, Canadians are increasing their debt," Abdo said.

"(But) they're not applying for new credit as much as they had in the past because I think whats happening is since were seeing an increase in indebtedness, people are using the lines of credit they had before ... they're being smarter about how they spend their money because they have the facilities to do that."

It's hard to know, he said, whether those people still taking on debt will be able to service it when interest rates rise.

Consumer lending is a cornerstone of Canada's banks, accounting for 27 per cent of their assets and 26 per cent of revenue, PwC said, adding that the largest driver of the personal lending market is real estate lending in the form of mortgages and home equity lines.

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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
piceaglauca
The picture says it all....
09:59 AM on 04/12/2012
The Globe and Mail:

Household debt in Canada reached a record $1.41-trillion in December. If that was spread among all Canadians, each person would carry more than $41,740 in outstanding debt – an amount 2.5 times greater than 1989 after adjusting for inflation and population growth, according to a report by the Certified General Accountants Association of Canada.

And Canadians are okay with taking on still more debt. Nearly 60 per cent of respondents whose debt had increased through the recession – and 92 per cent whose debt decreased or stayed the same – still felt they could either manage it well or take on more debt.
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albertarick
These are questions for wise men with skinny arms
09:51 AM on 04/12/2012
Canadian families income (including earnings, investments, and private pensions) fell 3.2% in 2009. Since then many have been borrowing to make ends meet, hence the increase in average debt. It is not surprising that there has been a recent spike as many have been compelled to lock into currently low rates with the ever increasing threat from the BOC that rates will rise.
A reality check however would lead one to realize that an increase in rates would cause an increase to our already overvalued dollar (from a manufacturing perpective) and wipe out all parts of the economy not related to the resource sector. The resource sector would also suffer detrimental effects because of an increase in the C$ value. As we all know who is currently making the decisions in this country..... Carney can keep making threats, he has to, but rates will stay low until the U.S. increases its rates. The US cannot increase rates until its unemployment is reduced and this will not happen for some time.
09:24 AM on 04/12/2012
These times are most certainly not the ones to be incurring debts - if possible; quite the contrary...get out of debt as much as you possibly can.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
nikki717
War...what is it good for?
08:52 AM on 04/12/2012
Spending or over spending is a big problem in most developed nations. It will continue to be as long as the price of essential goods and services continue to rise in price.
09:26 AM on 04/12/2012
The key question should be: do I REALLY need this or the other? Just because an item is on sale doesn't mean that I really need it. Take a look at all the junk that has been accumulating in your garage!
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albertarick
These are questions for wise men with skinny arms
10:04 AM on 04/12/2012
I agree, that the consumer driven economy, has gotten out of control, and some have not been very responsible with their spending. At present however I believe the issues are becoming more about the lower income individuals or those who have suffered large drops in income having to borrow to provide necessities or maintain financial commitments made when they were making more money.
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CarlyQ
Without followers, evil cannot spread.
08:24 AM on 04/12/2012
What does anyone expect when inflation is as high as it is (taking into account gasoline and food as well) and nobody is getting raises?
Anthropocan
Je est un Autre.
09:26 AM on 04/12/2012
Well that's simply not true. Some people are getting raises. And pretty significant raises too! And that helps the economy. Because clearly those people are investing it....right? They wouldn't just let it stand there as a sign of their uncertainty towards the market, right?

The Right Honourable Stephen Harper: "There's a lot of money sitting on the sidelines..."

Oh.
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albertarick
These are questions for wise men with skinny arms
09:54 AM on 04/12/2012
The individuals in posession of the "money sitting on the sidelines" are not the ones borrowing.