Alberta Election 2012: History Will Be Made Monday Night No Matter Who Wins

Posted: 04/22/2012 4:30 am Updated: 04/22/2012 11:01 am

EDMONTON - One way or another, Alison Redford makes history on Monday night.

Win the Alberta election and she is the first elected female premier in the province, heading up a party that has run things for four decades and will soon shatter the record for longest-serving government in Canadian history.

Lose and she's Harry Strom, the forgotten scapegoated premier of the Alberta Social Credit government when it fell to the Tories in 1971.

Redford, speaking at a weekend party rally, said she is pushing ahead and doesn't feel the weight of history.

"I'm pretty excited about Monday," she said.

"This is a campaign about Alberta's future.

"We've talked about that in the last six months, about putting in place a plan that Albertans can be optimistic and confident in.

"That's where I've focused my energies."

Redford's Progressive Conservatives have been in unfamiliar territory since the election campaign began a month ago, running behind another party on the right side of the political spectrum.

The Wildrose party, under leader Danielle Smith, have fashioned an electable alternative by capitalizing on discontent over deficit budgets, long health-care wait times, onerous land-use rules, and perceived political greed on salary and perks. Some polls have had them ahead by more than 15 points, though that lead appears to have slipped somewhat recently.

If the Wildrose wins, it will defeat a colossus whose history can only be told in large numbers and superlatives.

The PCs have held power in Alberta for 14,847 days — 40 years and almost eight months. That's 1.3 trillion seconds for those so chronologically inclined.

Should they win a 12th consecutive majority government, they will be on track to make history. When the next election rolls around, they will have been in power close to 45 years, ahead of the 1882-1925 Nova Scotia Liberals (43 years) and the 1943-1985 Ontario PCs (42 years).

They are already the king of the Alberta dynasties.

Before the Tories, the 36-year-old Social Credit Party ended the 14-year run of the United Farmers of Alberta, who in turn ended the 16-year run of the Alberta Liberals.

The PC victories have varied between large and sweeping majorities.

On average they've taken eight out of every 10 seats in their 11 wins. Only once did they fail to win two-thirds of all seats — in 1993.

They came close to political perfection under former premier Peter Lougheed in 1982, winning 72 of a possible 75 seats.

But political observers say the 40-year milestone has now become a bit of a millstone.

In recent weeks, PC candidates have heard criticism on doorsteps from some who feel the lines between government and the governing party have become dangerously blurred.

Election officials have been investigating illegal donations to the Progressive Conservatives from public institutions through the purchase of tickets to networking events such as leaders dinners and Tory golf tournaments. Some of those institutions have admitted the error and paid back the money, but said they weren't aware that redirecting public funds to the party in power might be improper.

There has been consternation in the halls of government in recent weeks. Civil servants, working in a building that has seen government change hands once in the last 76 years, have been scrambling to get up to speed on protocols for a switch in power.

The Wildrose has promised to chop in half the government's $14-million Public Affairs Bureau. Critics such as Wildrose candidate Rob Anderson, a former Tory, say the supposed arms-length communication bureau has become a de facto bullhorn for the PC party, with workers even sitting in on caucus sessions and offering political advice on news releases.

"It's been monolithic control of the machinery of government by one political party for over 40 years," said political scientist Chaldeans Mensah, with Grant MacEwan University.

"That creates its own political culture, it creates a network of connections, it creates a political ethos in terms of how things are done."

Few in government can even remember 1971.

The U.S. was still knee-deep in the blood of Vietnam. Charles Manson and three accomplices were sentenced for the Sharon Tate murders. In Canada, Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau married Margaret Sinclair. The Beatles were moving on. John Lennon moved permanently to New York and Paul McCartney was forming his new group Wings.

Danielle Smith, born in Calgary, was five months old.

Lougheed, like Smith today, had a small caucus built on homegrown candidates and defectors.

He criss-crossed the province on a campaign for change simply titled "Now."

He was young, 36, and telegenic and the PCs used the new medium of TV to get their message out.

Strom, a southern Alberta rancher approaching 60, looked worn and wan by comparison. And he was weak on TV.

With poll numbers flattening, Social Credit looked for a boost by basking in the glow of their history.

They trotted out popular former premier Ernest Manning to rally the troops. Forty years later, the Tories would do the same thing, getting a personal endorsement for Redford from Lougheed.

The Social Credit tried labelling the Tories as dangerous. A vote for Lougheed, Strom told a late-stage rally, "would be the first step in the takeover of Alberta by the socialists."

Forty years later, Redford's team would try a similar tack, suggesting in recent days that a Wildrose government would mean institutionalized intolerance and a renewed attack on the hard won rights of minorities and women.

On election night in 1971, the end came swiftly — 49 seats for the Tories to 25 for Social Credit. Strom made a quick concession speech, was given a golden horse statue and packed off on a plane back to Medicine Hat.

He left the statue behind.

Asked later to explain the defeat, he said he couldn't. But defeated Social Credit candidate Don Hamilton urged people to not over-think it.

"The people wanted change," he said.

Loading Slideshow...
  • Highlights Of The Alberta Election

    Here's a look back at some of the most memorable moments from the campaign.

  • Wildrose Anti-Gay Blog Revealed

    A blog post saying that gays were destined to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/15/wildrose-anti-gay-blog-alberta_n_1427008.html" target="_hplink">burn in a "lake of fire" for eternity was brought to light on April 16.</a> Allan Hunsperger, a pastor who's running as a Wildrose candidate in Edmonton South, also referenced Lady Gaga's 'Born This Way': "You see, you can live the way you were born, and if you die the way you were born then you will suffer the rest of eternity in the lake of fire, hell, a place of eternal suffering." Wildrose leader Danielle Smith said she was aware of Hunsperger's religious views.

  • Smith Booed, Mocked

    Wildrose leader Danielle Smith found herself <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/20/danielle-smith-booed-climate-change-alberta-election-debate_n_1439858.html" target="_hplink">on the receiving end of booing and mockery at a debate on April 19 for questioning climate change .</a> "There is still a debate in the scientific community," said Smith before being drowned out by a chorus of boos and catcalls. PC leader Alison Redford said Smith leading the province would be an embarrassment.

  • Candidate Makes 'White Advantage' Comment

    Wildrose candidate Ron Leech <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/17/ron-leech-wildrose-candidate_n_1432653.html" target="_hplink">made some controversial remarks about race on a South Asian radio show.</a> "I think as a Caucasian I have an advantage. When different community leaders such as a Sikh leader or a Muslim leader speaks, they really speak to their own people in many ways. As a Caucasian, I believe that I can speak to all the community," said Leech. He apologized for his remarks on April 24, saying that his comments did not come out the way he intended.

  • Redford Under Seige

    During the April 12 debate, the candidates for the Wildrose, Liberal and NDP took the opportunity to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/12/alberta-election-debate_n_1419850.html" target="_hplink">gang up on Progressive Conservative leader Alison Redford</a>. It was an unsurprising tactic given that the Tories have held power in Alberta for 11 consecutive majority governments, although polls reveal the Wildrose may have a fighting chance.

  • Bus Cleavage

    When the Wildrose first rolled out their campaign bus, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/03/23/alberta-wildrose-campaign_n_1375998.html" target="_hplink">there was something distinctly odd about the wheel placement </a>in relation to Smith's image. Late night host Jay Leno even poked fun at the busty bus before a new, less suggestive design rolled out.

  • Closing The Gap

    An April 10 poll showed that Danielle Smith's Wildrose party was <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/11/alberta-election-2012-poll_n_1417267.html" target="_hplink">neck and neck with the Progressive Conservatives</a>. The Leger Marketing poll showed the Wildrose has the support of 36 per cent of Albertans, compared to 34 per cent for the governing Tories.

  • 22 Minutes Pokes Fun At Candidates

    This Hour Has 22 Minutes gave their own take on the Alberta election by poking fun at the similarities between Alison Redford and Danielle Smith. <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/03/alberta-election-2012-22-minutes_n_1400747.html" target="_hplink">CLICK TO WATCH</a>

  • PC Staffer Gets Personal

    Progressive Conservative staffer<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/03/31/pc-staffer-resigns-danielle-smith-wildrose-tweet_n_1393807.html" target="_hplink"> Amanda Wilkie "resigned" on March 31 after tweeting</a> "If @ElectDanielle likes young and growing families so much, why doesn't she have children of her own? #wrp family pack = insincere." Backlash came swiftly from the PC, the Wildrose and Twitter users alike. Alison Redford herself issues an apology, but not before Smith revealed that she didn't have children due to fertility issues.

  • Awkward!

    In a moment of levity, but mostly embarrassment for Danielle Smith, the Wildrose leader's <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/03/31/danielle-smith-dogs-wildrose-alberta_n_1394069.html" target="_hplink">dogs got frisky during a photo op in Calgary</a>.

  • The Other Guys

    In a province where conservative values dominate politics, Brian Mason's NDP and Raj Sherman's Liberals are left to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/06/alberta-election-liberals-ndp-edmonton_n_1408884.html" target="_hplink">duke it out in left-leaning pockets such as Edmonton</a>.

  • Controversial Issues

    On April 10, for the second time, Wildrose leader Danielle Smith was called out for her<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/10/danielle-smith-pro-choice-gay-marriage_n_1416319.html" target="_hplink"> supposed opposing stance on abortion and gay marriage</a>. Smith however snuffed out the controversy: "When our members elected me they knew they were electing a candidate that was pro-choice and pro-gay marriage." The issues came up earlier in the election when <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/07/alberta-election-abortion-social-issues_n_1409963.html" target="_hplink">Smith was less forthcoming</a> on the subjects.

  • Tory Candidate Assaulted

    Alberta's education minister Thomas Lukaszuk claimed he was <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/07/thomas-lukaszuk-assault_n_1410308.html" target="_hplink">assaulted while canvassing in an Edmonton neighbourhood</a>. He said he knocked on the door of a residence with a Wildrose support sign and, once recognized, was punched by the resident within. The resident, Al Michalchuk, says he merely nudged Lukaszuk when he refused to leave.

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Filed by Lauren Strapagiel  |