Alberta Wildrose: Election 2012 Coming Up Roses After 40 Years Of Tory Rule?

CP  |  By Posted: 04/23/2012 4:00 am Updated: 04/23/2012 11:57 pm

EDMONTON - Alberta’s Progressive Conservatives survived the biggest scare of their four decades in power on Monday by handily holding off a right-wing rival in the provincial election.

Premier Alison Redford's party appeared to benefit from Liberal supporters who switched to the Tories. In the final week there were suggestions homophobic and racist comments made by two Wildrose party candidates would translate into an intolerant government restricting the rights of women and minorities.

Redford's team won a 12th consecutive majority government, dating back to 1971. The victory flew in the face of polls that had Redford's party trailing the Wildrose for much of the campaign.

Tory campaign strategist Stephen Carter said the outcome proved the old political adage.

"Polls are for dogs," he said.

Raj Sherman's Liberal party, which had been the official Opposition heading into the campaign, saw its vote collapse into single digits, giving Tories back the votes lost to Danielle Smith's Wildrose.

That happened after supporters took to the airwaves and social media late in the campaign to urge moderates to switch their votes to the PCs to block a Wildrose win.

A website was even created featuring testimonials from young Albertans. One said he would rather have rodents eat his face than vote PC, but was voting Tory anyway to block the Wildrose.

Sherman told supporters that he respects the vote's outcome and congratulated Smith, Redford, and NDP Leader Brian Mason.

"Tonight the people of Alberta have made a decision," Sherman said in his speech to supporters.

"The people are wise."

Redford did not make an open plea for a strategic vote on the hustings, but said she could work with the Liberals or NDP in the legislature.

Mason was thrilled at the outcome for his party, but also graciously congratulated Redford on her victory.

"I never thought that was going to happen, but you can't count the PCs out," he said.

With the win, the Tory dynasty will soon surpass the Nova Scotia Liberals of 1882-1925 (43 years) and the 1943-1985 Ontario PCs (42 years).

The party's previous 11 majorities have been measured in large or larger majorities. The last time they were threatened was by a resurgent Liberal party in 1993. But under new leader Ralph Klein, the Tories took 51 of 83 seats to 32 for the Liberals and the dynasty rolled on.

Redford was re-elected in her Calgary-Elbow seat, while NDP Leader Brian Mason was back in Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood.

Smith won her first seat, in Highwood south of Calgary.

Tory cabinet ministers Doug Horner, Thomas Lukaszuk, Diana McQueen, Jeff Johnson, Dave Hancock and Verlyn Olson were all re-elected, as was Wildrose house leader Rob Anderson.

Redford will need a new energy minister, however. Ted Morton went down to defeat in Chestermere-Rocky View.

Political scientist Harold Jansen said the Tories peaked at the right time.

Jansen said the Wildrose, after making announcement after announcement in the early days of the campaign, found itself without anything to offer in the final stretch, and ended up on the defensive while the Tories gained ground.

He agreed that the Liberal collapse benefited the PCs. In the last days, Jansen said, many of the Tory campaign announcements made the party sound almost like the Liberals.

"If you closed your eyes and changed the voice, it started to sound like the Liberals," said Jansen with the University of Lethbridge.

"I think we've seen a restructuring of the party system where the PCs have claimed the centre."

But Redford, who took over as premier six months ago from Ed Stelmach, has some fences to mend.

She ran on her record of spending increases and no taxes, promising millions of dollars to build more schools and family health-care clinics. She also promised to put up an extra $3 billion over the next two decades to further develop oilsands products and protect the environment while not raising royalties.

The Tories were taken to task for granting themselves the richest salaries for provincial politicians in the country – about $163,000 on average. But it didn’t end there. Over the last decade, the party quietly and broadly changed the eligibility rules allowing more than 20 retiring politicians to walk away this year with six-figure golden handshakes.

To top it off, the Canadian Taxpayers Federation reported last month that members of the government’s largest legislature committee, mostly Tories, had been receiving $1,000 a month but had not met in over three years.

Redford stopped the bleeding early in the campaign, promising to end the six-figure handouts and ordering her members who sat on the no-meet committee to pay it all back.

With a week to go, polls suggested the Wildrose was headed for a majority. But then Smith's party got hung up in the razor wire of social issues and she had to fight off critics who suggested her party had a hidden agenda.

The criticism firmed up around the issue of conscience rights — allowing civil servants to opt out of doing jobs they morally object to, such as marrying gay couples or prescribing birth control.

When there was a suggestion that her party could use a citizens-initiated referendum to end public funding for abortion, Smith disclosed that she was, in fact, pro-choice and pro-gay marriage.

As the campaign entered its final week, Wildrose candidates entered the spotlight. A year-old blog surfaced from Edmonton candidate Allan Hunsperger suggesting gay people would "suffer the rest of eternity in the lake of fire" if they didn't change their lifestyles. He pulled the comments down and Smith stood by him.

Wildrose Calgary candidate Ron Leech was forced to apologize for suggesting in a radio interview that he had an advantage in his constituency because he is white and could speak for everyone. Again, Smith stood by her candidate.

Smith herself was shouted down at a leaders forum last week when she questioned the science of climate change.

Environmentalists feared that a Smith government that still didn't believe in climate change would not push hard to clean up toxic emissions from the oilsands.

The Liberals took to calling the election a choice between Tory "bullies" and Wildrose "bigots."

Loading Slideshow...
  • Highlights Of The Alberta Election

    Here's a look back at some of the most memorable moments from the campaign.

  • Wildrose Anti-Gay Blog Revealed

    A blog post saying that gays were destined to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/15/wildrose-anti-gay-blog-alberta_n_1427008.html" target="_hplink">burn in a "lake of fire" for eternity was brought to light on April 16.</a> Allan Hunsperger, a pastor who's running as a Wildrose candidate in Edmonton South, also referenced Lady Gaga's 'Born This Way': "You see, you can live the way you were born, and if you die the way you were born then you will suffer the rest of eternity in the lake of fire, hell, a place of eternal suffering." Wildrose leader Danielle Smith said she was aware of Hunsperger's religious views.

  • Smith Booed, Mocked

    Wildrose leader Danielle Smith found herself <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/20/danielle-smith-booed-climate-change-alberta-election-debate_n_1439858.html" target="_hplink">on the receiving end of booing and mockery at a debate on April 19 for questioning climate change .</a> "There is still a debate in the scientific community," said Smith before being drowned out by a chorus of boos and catcalls. PC leader Alison Redford said Smith leading the province would be an embarrassment.

  • Candidate Makes 'White Advantage' Comment

    Wildrose candidate Ron Leech <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/17/ron-leech-wildrose-candidate_n_1432653.html" target="_hplink">made some controversial remarks about race on a South Asian radio show.</a> "I think as a Caucasian I have an advantage. When different community leaders such as a Sikh leader or a Muslim leader speaks, they really speak to their own people in many ways. As a Caucasian, I believe that I can speak to all the community," said Leech. He apologized for his remarks on April 24, saying that his comments did not come out the way he intended.

  • Redford Under Seige

    During the April 12 debate, the candidates for the Wildrose, Liberal and NDP took the opportunity to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/12/alberta-election-debate_n_1419850.html" target="_hplink">gang up on Progressive Conservative leader Alison Redford</a>. It was an unsurprising tactic given that the Tories have held power in Alberta for 11 consecutive majority governments, although polls reveal the Wildrose may have a fighting chance.

  • Bus Cleavage

    When the Wildrose first rolled out their campaign bus, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/03/23/alberta-wildrose-campaign_n_1375998.html" target="_hplink">there was something distinctly odd about the wheel placement </a>in relation to Smith's image. Late night host Jay Leno even poked fun at the busty bus before a new, less suggestive design rolled out.

  • Closing The Gap

    An April 10 poll showed that Danielle Smith's Wildrose party was <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/11/alberta-election-2012-poll_n_1417267.html" target="_hplink">neck and neck with the Progressive Conservatives</a>. The Leger Marketing poll showed the Wildrose has the support of 36 per cent of Albertans, compared to 34 per cent for the governing Tories.

  • 22 Minutes Pokes Fun At Candidates

    This Hour Has 22 Minutes gave their own take on the Alberta election by poking fun at the similarities between Alison Redford and Danielle Smith. <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/03/alberta-election-2012-22-minutes_n_1400747.html" target="_hplink">CLICK TO WATCH</a>

  • PC Staffer Gets Personal

    Progressive Conservative staffer<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/03/31/pc-staffer-resigns-danielle-smith-wildrose-tweet_n_1393807.html" target="_hplink"> Amanda Wilkie "resigned" on March 31 after tweeting</a> "If @ElectDanielle likes young and growing families so much, why doesn't she have children of her own? #wrp family pack = insincere." Backlash came swiftly from the PC, the Wildrose and Twitter users alike. Alison Redford herself issues an apology, but not before Smith revealed that she didn't have children due to fertility issues.

  • Awkward!

    In a moment of levity, but mostly embarrassment for Danielle Smith, the Wildrose leader's <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/03/31/danielle-smith-dogs-wildrose-alberta_n_1394069.html" target="_hplink">dogs got frisky during a photo op in Calgary</a>.

  • The Other Guys

    In a province where conservative values dominate politics, Brian Mason's NDP and Raj Sherman's Liberals are left to <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/06/alberta-election-liberals-ndp-edmonton_n_1408884.html" target="_hplink">duke it out in left-leaning pockets such as Edmonton</a>.

  • Controversial Issues

    On April 10, for the second time, Wildrose leader Danielle Smith was called out for her<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/10/danielle-smith-pro-choice-gay-marriage_n_1416319.html" target="_hplink"> supposed opposing stance on abortion and gay marriage</a>. Smith however snuffed out the controversy: "When our members elected me they knew they were electing a candidate that was pro-choice and pro-gay marriage." The issues came up earlier in the election when <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/07/alberta-election-abortion-social-issues_n_1409963.html" target="_hplink">Smith was less forthcoming</a> on the subjects.

  • Tory Candidate Assaulted

    Alberta's education minister Thomas Lukaszuk claimed he was <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/04/07/thomas-lukaszuk-assault_n_1410308.html" target="_hplink">assaulted while canvassing in an Edmonton neighbourhood</a>. He said he knocked on the door of a residence with a Wildrose support sign and, once recognized, was punched by the resident within. The resident, Al Michalchuk, says he merely nudged Lukaszuk when he refused to leave.

FOLLOW CANADA POLITICS

EDMONTON - Alberta’s Progressive Conservatives defied the pollsters Monday, winning a 12th consecutive majority government that will see them enter the record books as the unconquerable colossus of ...
EDMONTON - Alberta’s Progressive Conservatives defied the pollsters Monday, winning a 12th consecutive majority government that will see them enter the record books as the unconquerable colossus of ...
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This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
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08:50 PM on 04/23/2012
If Wildrose wins say goodbye to AISH and PDD. They don't care about the little people.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
x27
Living is easy with eyes closed
06:44 PM on 04/23/2012
What are Danielle Smith's qualifications to be Premier? She was on a school board.The oil interests put her where she is
09:35 PM on 04/23/2012
Yes, she was on a school board. A school board that was so dysfunctional that the Minister of Education had to step in and disband it. She has no qualifications to run a province and unfortunately many of her party's candidates have the same resume. I have a bad feeling today will be a bad day for Alberta....
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
x27
Living is easy with eyes closed
10:46 PM on 04/23/2012
looking good for the pc's early
05:59 PM on 04/23/2012
I find it amusing how bloggers from across the country go apoplectic at the thought of such a politically incorrect behavior from Alberta voters. They such gentle, non critical, little socialists. Be careful now, you could blow a gasket !!!
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bubbles3660
Semper in excremento sum solum profunditas variat.
03:03 PM on 04/23/2012
Alberta is about to have its own Rob Ford moment.
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emphatico
....is politically radioactive.
02:26 PM on 04/23/2012
The corporate world has figured out how to win in a r,edneck country by exploiting what I call "the re,dneck syndrome". Just find a pretty woman and thrust her to them and they will gather around p,an,ting with their to,ngues out, with the ground under them becoming very st,icky -- losing the ability to consider that they are voting against their interests.

Smith is gonna give them $300 every year, but she's gonna gradually cut the public health and education systems....and somehow, that sounds like a great idea to these farmers.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Glass Cannon
Let every eye negotiate for itself.
02:13 PM on 04/23/2012
The oil and energy companies (and their cronies) decided they wanted a more malleable and agreeable cabinet so they poured money and positive media on the Wildrose Party. And picked their very own Sarah Palin for even more media flava.

But the best part is now they get to dictate their wishes to both the government and the opposition.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Doogs62
To see by faith is to shut the eye of reason
12:33 PM on 04/23/2012
It just goes to show....Roses really do thrive on a foundation of Bull****
annyp
A Canuck, eh!
12:31 PM on 04/23/2012
Sounds like the Tea Party in the US agenda. Getting into people's personal lives.
11:45 AM on 04/23/2012
Dollars to doughnuts either Smith or Redford are better leaders than McGuinty
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Glass Cannon
Let every eye negotiate for itself.
02:14 PM on 04/23/2012
Maybe Redford. Though I didn't vote for either of their parties.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Drak
11:02 AM on 04/23/2012
Alberta certainly is one wacky place. With choices like these I"m glad I no longer live there.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tooldude
11:11 AM on 04/23/2012
And yet we seem to be doing ok without you here in Alberta.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sgillhoolley
Occupy the discussion.
11:40 AM on 04/23/2012
But are you????
11:43 AM on 04/23/2012
Dont worry, Alberta doesnt miss you
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Drak
12:43 PM on 04/23/2012
Awe, so sad.
10:38 AM on 04/23/2012
Can someone explain to me why the richest province in Canada, is so adamant about religiousness and yet does not have an iota of Christian charity for those that are suffering ?
Can, people who started with so little,on a barren prairie landmass, be so right-wing, now that they are in a situation of plenty, do not tax as other provinces, to bank the most, while the 'iron' is hot, so that when the oil runs out, their kids will want for nothing !!!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tooldude
11:13 AM on 04/23/2012
No charity? Alberta is leading the country in transfer payments to allow Quebec students to have lower tuition payments than Albertas own students.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sgillhoolley
Occupy the discussion.
11:40 AM on 04/23/2012
While claiming it is Alberta's oil, not Canada's.
georgee2
My Canada Includes Everyone
03:03 PM on 04/23/2012
So, you are paying higher tuition fees and you have all that oil. Sounds like you have drank the conservative cool aid.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Glass Cannon
Let every eye negotiate for itself.
02:23 PM on 04/23/2012
I think the religiousness is the American influence in our politics. There are folks here who want to be like Americans, and one big part of that character is fundamental Christian religion. Another is something they call "personal responsibility" which translates to "I got mine, I don't care much about you or yours."

Although, like in the US, people don't stop to consider that they may one day also need social services that they want to cut now. Or just neighborly help. For instance, if Ralph Klein had his was way with health care back when he was Premier, he would not be able to get the medical care he currently has now that he suffers from Alzheimer's. Or maybe he would, but his family finances would be wiped out.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Steve Lives
The Venus Project ... look it up
10:19 AM on 04/23/2012
Alberta will get what it deserves. Mark my words, WR will devastate this province. I can't believe people would even consider them an option. Do you really want a bunch of anti science, bible thumping idjits to make the rules for you to live under? Really?? Probably half these id10ts are praying for Armageddon so their Jebus will return, so they think, and will ignore reality to bring it about. Ya, that's a bit extreme, but then again, so are they.
10:54 AM on 04/23/2012
Most people are apathtic.

This is the perfect example of why corporate money should be banned from politics.
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11:03 AM on 04/23/2012
Steve: You, extreme? Oh no, you are the epitome of calm, reasoned common sense. I can't believe that you don't run office - a landslide for sure.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Steve Lives
The Venus Project ... look it up
11:49 AM on 04/23/2012
That would be interesting. Think I can run on a campaign to eliminate my job once I got it? Or how about eliminating the need for money? Or providing everything a every person needs to live a very high standard of living for free? If everyone could be educated on how the system they lived in works, it would be a landslide. Unfortunately, I can't afford politics. No corporations would support me, because I would eliminate the need for them as well. And if I got this off the ground, I would probably be assassinated because people with lots of money would suddenly be like everyone else, and we can't have that, can we?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Hounds
Republicans are job-creating fact-checkers!
09:42 AM on 04/23/2012
Conservatives can't scrub their histories fast enough...
09:35 AM on 04/23/2012
smith -----"A Wildrose government will not tolerate discrimination against any individual on the basis of ethnicity, religion, beliefs, background, disability or sexual orientation ... period."

ms smith-------you need to have a long talk with tom flanagan ------you know --the guy who is the brains behind your campaign--------he is on record as being aginst equal rights for gays -----as well as the assassination of those whose actions he does not agree with -----ie julian assange

your rhetoric is horse puckey --but it will surley fool the uninformed
09:29 AM on 04/23/2012
roses never last very long