Alberta Election 2012: Polls Before The Vote

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EDMONTON - A sample of what Alberta election polls showed in the runup to Monday's vote:

April 23 (Actual Results): Progressive Conservatives 43.9, Wildrose 34.3, Liberal 9.9, NDP 9.8, Other 2.

April 22: Wildrose 38, Progressive Conservatives 36, NDP 12, Liberal 10, Alberta Party 2. Forum Research. A total of 1,949 residents were given an interactive voice response telephone survey on April 22. Margin of error plus or minus 3.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 20: Wildrose 41, Progressive Conservatives 31, NDP 13, Liberal 12. Abacus Data. Survey of 1,079 residents April 18-19 over the telephone with respondents punching answers into a keypad rather than speaking to an operator. Margin of error plus or minus 3.3 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 17: Wildrose 42, Progressive Conservatives 36, NDP 10, Liberal 9, Alberta Party 2. Leger Marketing for the Edmonton Journal and the Calgary Herald. Telephone survey of 1,200 eligible voters between April 13-16. Margin of error plus or minus 2.8 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 17: Wildrose 40, Progressive Conservatives 33, NDP 12, Liberal 10, Other 2. Forum Research. A total of 1,703 residents were given an interactive voice response telephone survey on April 16. Margin of error plus or minus 2.37 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 12: Wildrose 46, Progressive Conservatives 29, NDP 12, Liberal 10, Other 2. Abacus Data for Sun News Network. Survey of 900 residents April 9-11 over the telephone with respondents punching answers into a keypad rather than speaking to an operator. Margin of error plus or minus 3.3 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 12: Wildrose 42.8, Progressive Conservatives 34.4, NDP 9.7, Liberal 9.6, Other 3.5. Campaign Research. Survey of 880 residents on April 11 over the telephone with respondents punching their answers into a keypad. Margin of error plus or minus 3.2 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 10: Wildrose 43, Progressive Conservatives 29, NDP 13, Liberals 12, Alberta Party 2. Think HQ Public Affairs poll for CTV. Online survey of 1,223 respondents on April 9-10.

April 10: Wildrose 43, Progressive Conservatives 31, NDP 11, Liberals 10, Alberta Party 2. Forum Research. A total of 1,915 residents were given an interactive voice response telephone survey. Margin of error plus or minus 2.24 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 9: Wildrose 35.5, Progressive Conservatives 34.2, NDP 13.2, Liberals 12.5, Alberta Party 2.7, Evergreen 1.3. Leger Marketing. Online survey of 902 eligible voters across Alberta from April 5-8.

April 6: Wildrose 43, Progressive Conservatives 31, Liberal 12, NDP 11, Other 3. Abacus Data for Sun News Network. Survey of 876 residents April 2-4 over the telephone with respondents punching answers into a keypad rather than speaking to an operator. Margin of error plus or minus 3.4 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 4: Wildrose 41.3, Progressive Conservatives 33.9, NDP 11.7, Liberals 9.5, Alberta Party 1.4. Leger Marketing. Online survey of 986 eligible voters between April 2-4.

April 4: Wildrose 45.5, Progressive Conservatives 28.4, Liberal 11.3, NDP 10.2, Other 4.6. Campaign Research. Survey of 840 residents on April 3 over the telephone with respondents punching answers into a keypad. Margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

April 3: Wildrose 43, Progressive Conservatives 30, NDP 12, Liberal 11, Other 4. Think HQ Public Affairs for CTV. Online survey of 1,050 respondents on April 2-3.

March 31: Wildrose 41, Progressive Conservatives 28, Liberal 16, NDP 12, Other 3. Abacus Data for Sun News Network. Survey of 1,036 residents March 26-28 over the telephone with respondents punching answers into a keypad rather than speaking to an operator. Margin of error plus or minus 3.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

March 28: Progressive Conservatives 37, Wildrose 34, Liberal 12, NDP 11, Alberta Party 2. Leger Marketing for the Edmonton Journal and the Calgary Herald. Telephone poll of 1,215 residents conducted March 22-25. Margin of error plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

March 27: Wildrose 39.6, Progressive Conservatives 30.3, NDP 11.6, Liberal 13.0, Other 5.5. Campaign Research. Survey of 667 residents on March 26 over the telephone with respondents punching answers into a keypad. Margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

March 27: Wildrose 41, Progressive Conservatives 31, Liberal 12, NDP 11, Alberta Party 2. Forum Research. A total of 1,069 residents were given an interactive voice response telephone survey on March 26. Margin of error plus or minus 3.0 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

March 26 (election called): Wildrose 38, Progressive Conservatives 38, NDP 12, Liberals 11, Other 2. Ipsos Reid. Online survey of 890 residents from Ipsos Reid’s national online household panel between March 20-March 25.

March 13: Progressive Conservatives 34, Wildrose 29, Liberal 18, NDP 14, Other 5. Abacus Data for Sun News Network. Survey of 947 residents March 5-7 over the telephone with respondents punching answers into a keypad rather than speaking to an operator. Margin of error plus or minus 3.2 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

Oct. 22, 2011: Progressive Conservatives 44, Wildrose 22, Liberal 16, NDP 13, Alberta Party 2. Angus Reid. Online survey of 802 residents from Oct. 17-19.

NOTE: The list above does not reference margins of error for online polls. Online survey participants are self-selected, meaning that a margin of sampling error cannot be calculated or quoted for online panel research studies, according to the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association.