Loonie Hits $1.02 US

CBC  |  Posted: 04/27/2012 5:18 pm Updated: 04/28/2012 12:24 pm


The Canadian dollar climbed above the $1.02 US level for the first time in seven months on Friday as the currency continued to rally following the Bank of Canada's recent shift to a more hawkish tone and U.S. GDP figures disappointed the markets.


The loonie traded as high as $1.0204 before easing back to close at $1.0194, a gain of 3/10ths of a cent from Thursday's close.


Data from the Bank of Canada show that the last time the loonie topped $1.02 was September 16, 2011.


Currency analysts say the loonie has broken its three-month trading range.


"Momentum is behind this move, which implies that we will still see a new high in [the Canadian dollar] in the near-term," said Scotiabank currency strategist Camilla Sutton in emailed comments to CBCNews.ca.


"The strength has been on a combination of events, the most significant was the recent shift to a hawkish bias by the Bank of Canada, making our central bank the only one of the G10 with a hawkish stance," she wrote.


Rate hike hints


Last week, the Bank of Canada mused in comments that accompanied its scheduled interest rate announcement that higher interest rates "may become appropriate" because the economy was improving and inflation was ahead of its expectations.


At the same time, Sutton also notes that U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has "maintained his dovish tone."


The U.S. dollar retreated against a broad basket of currencies on Friday after GDP figures showed U.S. economic growth slowed in the first quarter to an annualized rate of 2.2 per cent. Analysts had expected growth of 2.7 per cent.


Gains in many commodity prices can also help to drive the Canadian dollar higher as many traders view the Canadian dollar as a commodity currency. Crude oil futures were up 35 cents to $104.90 US a barrel. Gold, silver, copper and natural gas futures also moved higher.


The highest the loonie has ever reached vis-a-vis the U.S. greenback was $1.1030 US during intraday trading on Nov. 7, 2007.


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03:31 PM on 04/28/2012
"Data from the Bank of Canada show that the last time the loonie topped $1.02 was September 16, 2011."

I could be wrong, but I have this clear memory of a Canadian dollar at $1.04 US when I was a kid. This would have been in the late 1950's.
02:19 PM on 04/28/2012
Things are going to get interesting in the coming years. One of the things that made the dollar so strong was international confidence in our economy relative to many parts of the world: we became a safe haven for scared speculators. As the world recovers, should we fail to maintain this advantage, demand will decrease, bringing value down with it. As well, and perhaps more important a factor, China is set to double the amount it will let its currency inflate on an annual basis. How this will affect us is tied tightly with how it affects the US $. Should our intention be to keep a high value, then best we can hope for is a slower European recovery, coupled with an American ability to hold off the effect of the higher-inflated yuen. Meanwhile, we would need to keep pace with our southern neighbours while maintaining existing relationships and building new ones with both China and emerging economies such as Brazil (a little high in their curve for that title any more?). Nothing to it, huh? (Mind you, I'm not really an economist; I just play one on TV.)
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Steve Lives
The Venus Project ... look it up
02:12 AM on 04/28/2012
Big whoop....
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Opus Fideo
Atheist. Social Democrat. Canadian.
07:42 PM on 04/27/2012
Doesn't matter, we're still paying 20-50% more for everything.
10:51 AM on 04/28/2012
come on down hear, buy your across border. The US
12:52 PM on 04/28/2012
Yoda? Is that you?