Nik Nanos digs beneath the numbers with CBC News Network's Power & Politics host Evan Solomon to get to the political, economic and social forces that shape our lives.

This week: Nearly half of NDP supporters in Quebec say they would consider voting for the Liberal party in the next federal election.

The number: 46 The percentage of committed NDP supporters in Quebec who would consider voting for the Liberals.

If the Liberals tap into NDP support in Quebec and make the province their regional base, the party could make a major comeback, according to Nik Nanos of Nanos Research. The Liberals currently lack concentrated regional support, Nanos added.

"In order to be a contender on the national scene, you need a regional base," Nanos said.
New Nanos online representative surveys reveal that the number of NDP and Liberal supporters in Quebec is at a dead heat.

Who would Quebec voters consider voting for?
- NDP 56.7%
- Liberal 55.7%
- Conservative 37.0%
- Green 26.8%
- BQ 17.2%
Nanos also found almost one in two NDP voters in Quebec would consider casting their ballot for a Liberal.

Who would NDP supporters in Quebec consider voting for?
- Liberal 46%
- Green 36%
- Conservative 20%
- BQ16%

Nanos Research surveyed 1,000 Canadians, with a subsample of 250 Quebecers, on Jan 18 and 19, 2013. There is no margin of error for the online survey.

Liberal leadership candidates gathered in Vancouver on Sunday for the first of five leadership debates.

Candidates discussed policy ideas ranging from the environment to First Nations to electoral reform. But Nanos thinks choosing a charismatic leader as important as policy details.

"If they (Liberals) want to try to bolster their support in the province of Quebec and try to challenge the New Democrats, they're not only going to need policy, but they're also going to need personality."

Nanos points to Justin Trudeau, Martin Cauchon, Marc Garneau and Martha Hall Findlay as leadership hopefuls who may be able to "connect and motivate and inspire" voters in Quebec and across Canada.

The second Liberal leadership debate takes place in Winnipeg on Saturday, Feb. 2. A new leader will be chosen on April 14 in Ottawa.

"Expect a lot more French in the debates, even if they're not in Quebec. And expect a lot of focus of the Liberal campaign on the province of Quebec and also the NDP and Thomas Mulcair," Nanos said.

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  • Federal Liberal Leadership candidate Justin Trudeau takes part in the Federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January, 20, 2013.

  • From left to right, Federal Liberal leadership candidates Justin Trudeau, Martin Cauchon, Karen McCrimmon, Joyce Murray, Martha Hall Findlay, George Takach, Deborah Coyne, David Bertschi and Marc Garneau pose for photographs after the party's first leadership debate in Vancouver, B.C., on Sunday January 20, 2013.

  • Liberal Leadership candidate Martha Hall Findlay claps following the federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January, 20, 2013.

  • Federal Liberal Leadership candidate Marc Garneau waves to the crowd prior to the start of the Federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January, 20, 2013.

  • Federal Liberal Leadership candidate Justin Trudeau, left, speaks as fellow candidate Joyce Murray looks on during the Federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January 20, 2013.

  • Liberal leadership candidate Marc Garneau looks away following a debate with fellow candidate Justin Trudeau during the Federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January 20, 2013.

  • Federal Liberal Leadership candidate Martin Cauchon takes part in the Federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January 20, 2013.

  • Federal Liberal Leadership candidates listen as fellow candidate Justin Trudeau does his introduction during the Federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January 20, 2013.

  • Federal Liberal Leadership candidates Justin Trudeau, left to right, Martin Cauchon, Karen McCrimmon, Joyce Murray, Martha Hall Findlay, George Takach, Deborah Coyne, David Bertschi and Marc Garneau gather for a group photo following the Federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January, 20, 2013.

  • Federal Liberal Leadership candidate Marc Garneau responds to a question as the other candidates look on during the Federal Liberal debate in Vancouver, B.C., Sunday, January 20, 2013.

  • Buttons promoting Liberal leadership candidate Justin Trudeau are seen on a table for guests prior to the party's first leadership debate in Vancouver, B.C. on Sunday January 20, 2013.

  • A sign directs guests to the federal Liberal party's first leadership debate in Vancouver, B.C. on Sunday January 20, 2013.

  • @AlthiaRaj: @martincauchon is in the house

  • @AlthiaRaj: @justintrudeau takes the stage