BUSINESS

Consumer confidence index rises to 101.4 in June, solid gain pointing to future growth

06/30/2015 10:17 EDT | Updated 06/30/2016 05:59 EDT
WASHINGTON - Consumer confidence showed a solid gain in June following a modest increase in May, supporting the view that strong job gains are giving a boost to the overall economy.

The Conference Board said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index rose to 101.4 in June, up from a May reading of 94.6. The June level matches the level in March. The index took a tumble in April.

The index is now 17.4 per cent higher than it was a year ago, evidence that the economy is poised to enjoy stronger growth in coming months.

The June gain, which was stronger than economists had expected, was supported by increases in consumer views about current conditions and the labour market. Those expressing the view that jobs were plentiful rose to 21.4 per cent, up from 20.6 per cent in the previous month.

"After a brief setback, consumer confidence appears to be surging anew," said Jim Baird, chief investment officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors. "Continued improvement in job market conditions and income growth should help sustain an optimistic mood and provide fuel for spending growth."

After a dismal start to the year, the economy has been showing signs of a rebound. In June, the labour market created 280,000 new jobs and economists believe job creation will top 200,000 when the July jobs report is released Thursday.

The expectation is that stronger job growth will boost consumer confidence and lift consumer spending, which accounts for 70 per cent of economic activity.

"Overall, consumers are in considerably better spirts," said Lynn Franco, director of economic indicators at the Conference Board.

The economy went into reverse in the first three months of the year with the gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic health, contracting at an annual rate of 0.2 per cent.

Analysts are predicting a better performance in the April-June quarter with forecasts of growth rebounding to 2 per cent or better and accelerating even further to growth of around 3 per cent in the second half of the year.

A separate survey of consumer sentiment compiled by the University of Michigan that was released last week showed a gain to the highest reading since January.