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Andreas Souvaliotis

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Is Canada's Head Too Far in the Oil Sands?

Posted: 02/18/2013 11:30 am

I am a capitalist. In recent years I've been called a "green capitalist" and that's an accurate label, but I still absolutely believe that business and profits are core ingredients of our success as a nation and pillars of stability for our society.

I know how to count jobs and tax revenues and I understand exactly how good the oil sands have been for my country -- and specifically for me, as a "shareholder" in Canada. This beautiful windfall helped us weather the deepest global recession in our lifetime better than any other rich nation and helped us pay down a very significant chunk of our national debt over the past 15 years while also allowing us to reduce all sorts of taxes from coast to coast.

Canada has been riding this awesome wave for quite some time now -- and we've actually become really good at it: We learned how to make the most of our new-found prosperity; how to spread it and share it almost evenly across the land; how to retool and adjust our entire economy around our much stronger petro-dollar; and how to move our skilled workers to where all the action is, in order to maximize our productivity and our profits. We showed the world that we're a nation of nimble, sharp, hungry capitalists and we got a lot of respect (and envy) for that!

But while we're so good and efficient at squeezing every available drop of profit out of our opportunities, we seem to have missed the most important lesson they teach in the School of Capitalism: strategic planning. We focused all our energy on feeding and protecting and milking our beautiful cow but forgot to plan for the day when her milk might run out or the day when people may not like that kind of milk anymore. When friends and neighbours asked us questions about the future, we got very defensive and we told them we were confident nothing would ever change -- the world will always need and like our milk.

And suddenly, after so many fat cow years, our customers' tastes started to change -- and, in record fast time, we started look and behave like the world's least sophisticated capitalists.

Suddenly it's panic season in Ottawa and in Edmonton: Will Obama approve the pipeline? Will it take us too long to get the stuff to the Chinese? Will the Europeans label our oil "dirty"? Will the world start taxing carbon?

Our Finance Ministers started revising budgets, we started talking about (god forbid!) sales taxes even in our country's petro-province and, of course, the blame game is now in full swing. If those tree-huggers weren't so emboldened and so well-financed by our nation's enemies, we would have plowed our pipelines right through the Rockies by now and we would have started feeding China's endless thirst for oil, instead of praying for a miracle on Pennsylvania Avenue.

We may have been the envy of the world but we were actually amateurs all through the fat cow years and now we're starting to pay for it. We ignored every hint of a warning and became really good at only believing ourselves.

When the rest of the planet was already contemplating or even calculating carbon taxes, we were still in total denial about the whole climate change thing -- and not only were we wasting time by not planning for a different future, we were also wasting goodwill by not playing nice with all our wealthy partners (aka: customers).

By ignoring or even de-railing all the global conversations on carbon, we were humiliating their scientists, ridiculing their policies and frustrating their leaders -- instead of reminding ourselves, as all good capitalists do, that the customer is always right. We convinced ourselves that we had become an "energy superpower" and that they needed us more than we needed them.

So now what? Do we still have an oil future? How do we navigate through this energy revolution that seems to be blossoming everywhere around us?

Thankfully, for our petro-dollar addicted wallets at least, the world's thirst for oil is still immense -- and it will stay that way for a while. We may not have the best or nicest oil on the planet but we still have something the world needs, so the money will continue to flow our way for quite some time.

I am hopeful, however, that our intense national panic attack of these past few months will finally inspire us to pull our heads out of the oil sands and figure out how we will stay rich after the oil stops flowing.

Hopefully it will inspire us to invest our windfall a bit more wisely and strategically, instead of putting all our chips on that same number all the time. Maybe we will start dreaming and leading the world a little more again, because we used to be so good at it -- and maybe we will also go back to always being respectful and sensitive, the way we used to be known for so many generations, instead of being arrogant one day and then desperately subordinate a day later.

Our cow is still fat and her milk is still good and relatively popular but we've had a real scare and I hope we learned plenty from it. We can still get richer from what we have, but we need to get serious about figuring out our future. And as good capitalists know so well, the best time to retool and invest is when the times are good.

Loading Slideshow...
  • 'Ethical oil'

    The term "ethical oil" has become the centrepiece of a new application for a classic marketing strategy. After being added to the Conservative political lexicon, the slogan is slowly beginning to creep into the public discourse. And like other attempts by industry and advocacy groups to use value judgements to alter public opinion, it has the potential to change the way we think about Canadian oil.

  • Ethical Oil vs Conflict Oil

    Share this video with your friends and family.

  • Ethical Oil

    An ad from <a href="http://www.ethicaloil.org/" target="_hplink">ethicaloil.org</a>, a new site trying to rebrand Alberta's oil sands.

  • Ethical Oil

    An ad from <a href="http://www.ethicaloil.org/" target="_hplink">ethicaloil.org</a>, a new site trying to rebrand Alberta's oil sands.

  • 'Pork. The other white meat'

    In 1987, pork producers in the United States were steadily losing ground to chicken and turkey, which prompted the National Pork Producers Council to take a different tack. To counter the still-widespread belief that pork was a red meat, The New York Times reports that the council set out to appeal to health-conscious consumers by reminding them that pork was in fact <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/1987/01/15/business/advertising-dressing-pork-for-success.html" target="_hplink">considered a white meat</a>. The series of print and TV ads that followed featured pork prepared in ways that had been traditionally been reserved for poultry, such as cordon bleu and cacciatore a l'orange, as well as a new slogan: "Pork. The other white meat." (After nearly 25 years, the council recently changed its well-known catch phrase to "<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/04/pork-be-inspired-slogan-other-white-meat_n_831331.html" target="_hplink">Pork: Be inspired</a>.") (AP File Photo)

  • Pork Commercial

    Pork, the other white meat.

  • 'Fair trade coffee'

    Though tracing the precise history of the fair trade movement is difficult, most observers agree that the concept was popularized by its application to the coffee industry. The <a href="http://www.maxhavelaar.nl/faq/how-did-it-start?destination=english&backtitle=FAQ's" target="_hplink">first official fair trade label</a> was launched by a Dutch NGO, which imported the pioneering fair trade product -- coffee from Mexico -- to the Netherlands in 1988. Billed as an effort to secure better prices for producers, and guarantee certain environmental and labour standards, the demand for fair trade coffee quickly spread. But it's still a niche item that carries a premium: as The Toronto Star pointed out in 2007, only a small percentage of the java bought by coffee-giant Starbucks is <a href="http://www.thestar.com/living/article/250730" target="_hplink">fairly traded</a>. (Photo: Getty Images)

  • Starbucks is the largest purchaser of Fair Trade Coffee

    Full of rich bodied flavor and great respect for the farmers who grew it. Caf

  • 'Clean coal'

    The notion of coal as a clean source of energy was thrust into the spotlight in the United States in 2008, when a $40-million industry-sponsored campaign helped make it a talking point during the presidential race. An attempt to counter the public perception of coal as an acid rain-causing, environmental scourge, Businessweek observed that the <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_26/b4090055452749.htm" target="_hplink">"clean coal" campaign</a> tugged at the heartstrings with emotional TV ads featuring teachers and farmers -- and won the endorsement of both presidential candidates. (AP Photo)

  • Clean Coal Ad

    Political

  • 'Blood diamond'

    The recognition in the late 1990s that diamonds were being used to fuel bloody conflicts in African countries like Angola and Sierra Leone prompted the United Nations Security Council to find some way to track the movement of the precious stones. The resulting identification scheme, dubbed the <a href="http://www.globalwitness.org/campaigns/conflict/conflict-diamonds/kimberley-process" target="_hplink">Kimberley Process</a>, was put in place in 2003 to separate so-called blood or conflict diamonds from those used to fund legitimate governments. Though the process remains imperfect, the terminology was cemented in the minds of the general public, and soon found its way into popular culture: Edward Zwick's 2006 film Blood Diamond grossed more than US$171 million. (AP Photo)

  • Blood Diamond - Trailer

    Trailer for the movie 'Blood Diamond'

  • 'Dolphin-safe tuna'

    Dolphins tend to stick close to the surface, making them easy to spot, and easy prey for fisherman angling to catch tuna, which often swim alongside the large mammals. Despite several attempts by the United States government to limit the killing of dolphins by U.S. fishing boats, by 1990 the practice of purposefully ensnaring <a href="http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/aer793/aer793f.pdf" target="_hplink">dolphins in tuna nets</a> became so widespread -- and so highly publicized -- that it had prompted a public boycott of canned tuna. In response, Congress instituted a consumer labelling program, and canneries that bought from fisherman that steered clear of dolphins started identifying their product as "Dolphin safe." Though the designation initially carried a premium, the program soon spread throughout the industry, making the additional cost worthwhile. (AP Photo)

 
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I am a capitalist. In recent years I've been called a "green capitalist" and that's an accurate label, but I still absolutely believe that business and profits are core ingredients of our success as a...
I am a capitalist. In recent years I've been called a "green capitalist" and that's an accurate label, but I still absolutely believe that business and profits are core ingredients of our success as a...
 
 
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11:53 AM on 02/19/2013
Enbridge just announced plans to convert an existing US natural gas pipeline to carry up to 660,000 barrels per day of Athabasca oil to the gulf coast by 2015. One way or the other the oil will get to markets, with or without Keystone XL
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11:05 AM on 02/19/2013
This is no green capitalist. Just an empty headed poser.
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Wild Thing
Say What?!
01:10 AM on 02/19/2013
"We focused all our energy on feeding and protecting and milking our beautiful cow..."
"...we would have plowed our pipelines right through the Rockies by now..."
"We ignored every hint of a warning and became really good at only believing ourselves..."
"...we were still in total denial about the whole climate change thing..."

What do you mean "WE", Mr. Salivalotis? I think you really mean "YOU", and now that Canada has lost so much respect in the world, YOU are trying to spread the blame around.

Oh, and BTW...

"By ignoring or even de-railing all the global conversations on carbon, we were humiliating their scientists, ridiculing their policies and frustrating their leaders."

Seriously? Maybe a few cons think so, but the disdain that the rest of the world now holds harper and the cons has only deepened. Remember how Canada got the Colossal Fossil award?
Well...when somebody is ringing you on the clue phone, maybe pick up and listen.
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10:44 PM on 02/18/2013
Its obvious what we need to do, and that's build the pipe line out east to the refineries there and bring jobs for the unemployed and money back into Canadian coffers. Canadian oil is sold at $40 less than any other oil producing country in the world!. Use the gas for government and municipal vehicles across Canada. Puts ppl to work and $$ into all municipalities across Canada for better services for everyone.
05:59 PM on 02/18/2013
The "well-financed tree huggers" are a collection of educated and concerned citizens that spend their saturdays trying to inform the rest of us of the risks and implications of a major pipeline built by a company with an atrocious spill record. In BC at least, the industry and government TV ads in favor of these pipeline projects outnumber any anti-pipeline ads by at least 100 to 1. Even if you're joking about "our nations enemies" financing the anti-pipeline crowd, just putting the words in the same sentence on a mainstream media site emboldens their narrative and misleadingly ignores the fact that the for-pipeline crowd is much better-funded by our nation's biggest industry and our own tax dollars. According to recent polls, 66% of British Columbians are opposed to the project and only 38% of Canadians are in favour of it; something's wrong when both levels of government actively promote a project with everyone's money when so many of us are against it.
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
05:54 PM on 02/18/2013
--Our cow is still fat and her milk is still good and relatively popular but we've had a real scare and I hope we learned plenty from it--

Gee, when SUN Media and the Conservative crowd sees this, this fellow's writings will be in high demand!

Yadda, Yadda, Yadda - Canada's "petro-dollar" is great, we survived the recession and John Kerry, a real "climate hawk" State side was found to have $700,000 SUNCOR shares and $40,000 CENOVAS shares in his back pocket when nominated for State -- I guess he survived the recession too!

While this writer and Kerry profited from oil sands investing, neither could "profit" from investing in Norway's oil industry because they long ago nationalized that industry and those PROFITS are going back to their population's FUTURE.

Canada's Federal Deficit is $600 BILLION while Norway's Petroleum investments is standing at $600 BILLION!

Since the writer is good with "numbers", we will let him figure that out on his own.

And that petro-province thing -- former Premier Ed Stemach proposed hikes to these PALTRY royalty taxes (that indirectly increased the writer's profit margin) and the Oil Cartel Law Firms immediately showed him where the exit door was and now this "petro-province" is in the red!

I would mention the profits to be made from The Hydrogen and Hemp Economy's, but I doubt the writer would know of either!
11:07 PM on 02/18/2013
Well you certainly released a little flatulence there, I hope you feel better now.
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
01:00 AM on 02/19/2013
Doesn't SUN Media have a blog that can benefit from your obvious intelligence!
05:21 PM on 02/18/2013
A look at Albertas heritage fund versus Norways fund kinda says it all does it not?
03:52 PM on 02/18/2013
Tar sands, yesterday
Clean energy, tomorrow
Time to start investing in tomorrow, today
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
waynerism
04:51 PM on 02/18/2013
nonsense!
06:30 PM on 02/18/2013
Let me guess, you have an 8 track  in car
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03:39 PM on 02/18/2013
One of the largest reasons for our being broke is due entirely to the subsidies we give natural resource extraction corporations, that make moot any stingy royalties ( ask alta) that we get. How many of these corporations payed corporate income tax instead of the personal tax as they now pay, how much monies in royalties did the various Governments recieve, compared to how much was not payed in taxes and given out as subsidies.
03:28 PM on 02/18/2013
Great take on this. I liked the sentence. "By ignoring or even de-railing all the global conversations on carbon, we were humiliating their scientists, ridiculing their policies and frustrating their leaders -- instead of reminding ourselves, as all good capitalists do, that the customer is always right. "

The worse issue for me is that our own politicians forget that the real "customer" is always right -- OUR CITIZENS.

The resistance in BC is from all local people, from small towns to First Nations, and the overwhelming response I have seen is "This is not worth putting through one of the world's great ecosystems at ANY cost."

Yet our Federal government's Ministers tarred all these people glibly as "terrorists" -- how revolting. And the implication that they were "foreign-funded", that foreign funding somehow taints the BC rwsidents' thinking, was hilariously hyporitical... who are we hoping to export this oil to? Is China part of Canada?
03:20 PM on 02/18/2013
This is mostly nonsense. We have not paid down a penny of our national debt in the last 5 years. We have just been adding to it. Plus our oil is not longer a source of immense wealth, as we are committed to selling it to the United States at 60 per cent of it's world price value, so our future does not look that great at all.
02:52 PM on 02/18/2013
It is very difficult to create job s outside of the natural resource sector as they pay so much more and attract so much more capital. If you had a choice between a job that paid 40K a year of one that paid 80K which would you choose? That is the good problem we have in Canada right now. I cant see a manufacturing base emerge when you can simply go to china and manufacture for pennies on the dollar. What you do see is high tech businesses like RIM emerge.
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MyTake
Release the Hydrogen Economy now!
10:40 PM on 02/18/2013
Well, let's introduce you to two OTHER economy's, other than The Carbon Economy.

The Hemp Economy

This is Henry Ford's car; http://bit.ly/Y5wGWv , made decades ago from hemp fiber which made its body very light and strong which means more miles per gallon of fuel from this reduced weight.

And, Ford was using Hemp bio-fuel until Rockefeller and U.S. Steel showed up on his doorstep to convince him to return to STEEL in those car bodies and use gasoline (produced from Standard Oil refineries) to fuel its combustion motors.

This is a LOTUS car using hemp fiber as well; http://bit.ly/XS7eUp .

There would be lots of employment in the Hemp economy; http://bit.ly/WC6RvW .

Hemp fiber can be manufactured into 28 materials from which you can build your entire house and commercial buildings, manufacture clothing, draw protein from its seed plus many more.

The Canadian prairies is absolutely ideal for hemp production and that land alone dictates Canada being a world leader in the production of hemp.

And, the Hemp economy would leave the trees standing to do their job in nature.

The Hydrogen economy would have massive employment just from the automotive sector alone and replacing all the furnaces in the housing and business sector.

It is time to move away from the oil sector which will, at some point, be exhausted and then you will have to change.
01:07 AM on 02/19/2013
might be a good idea, you will just have to get the ok from the wizard of oz to change the laws of physics.
01:13 PM on 02/18/2013
Relying too much on natural resources (digging stuff out of the ground, cutting down trees etc.) is for me not exactly the sign of a "future-oriented" economy (looks more like a third world country). Corporations just know how to make a quick buck in the financial markets of nano-second-trading. . Money (created by QE lol) is not the only "metric". Most "investments" are inversely proportional to "social and moral values". The next generation of Canadians will have to change the "system" if they want to have meaningful jobs and protect the natural environment. Being short-sighted, selfish and greedy is bad news for the Canadian economy.
01:12 PM on 02/18/2013
Obviously the author hasn't been listening to those voices on the left who have been making exactly this argument for years: diversify; support R&D; support advanced manufacturing; modernize transportation and communications systems. Harper has taken us a long way back to the time when we were hewers of wood and drawers of water.
02:49 PM on 02/18/2013
Harper has increased funding to R&D far more than any previous government.
06:46 AM on 02/19/2013
In what sector? Anything other than oil? I thought so.