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Christopher Sands

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When it Comes to Finances, Canada is No Role Model

Posted: 06/01/2012 12:14 pm

If Justin Bieber came by my office and gave me singing lessons and fashion advice, I still would not be able to replicate his teen idol success: I'm too old, and honestly, I don't have enough hair left to adopt his look. He and Jaden Smith can sing "Never Say Never" forever, but I'll still stick with never.

That is also how I feel about the recent series of events and articles from Washington think tanks claiming that the United States can fix its fiscal and economic problems by imitating Canada.

The latest arrived this week from Chris Edwards, the director of tax policy analysis at the CATO Institute. Edwards argues the United States can cut government, since Canada did. He cites the Chrétien government's spending cuts in the 1990s, tax reforms by Liberal and Conservative governments in the 2000s, and the salutary effects of federalism that encourage provinces to compete to offer more attractive tax rates to businesses as sources of Canadian advantage.

Yet Chrétien cut federal spending because Canada is a small economy that markets punish for high debt-to-GDP ratios of the sort that plagued Ottawa in the early 1990s. He did so largely on the backs of the provinces, by unilaterally cutting revenue transfers for health, education, and transportation. And he was able to do this because he had a majority government in a parliamentary system, and could pass his budgets with limited debate and no opposition support.

In 2011, Fred Barnes offered a more practical perspective in an article for National Affairs titled "Lessons from Canada." Barnes noted that entitlement spending was one cause of Canada's fiscal crisis, and Chrétien's centrist Liberal Party had the courage to cut social program spending. This mattered, because the Liberal Party had historically been the architect of Canadian social programs, and voters accepted the cuts as a legitimate necessity when Liberals proposed them. For Barnes, the chief lesson to be taken from Canada's experience is that U.S. Democrats must lead, or at least join Republicans, in efforts to reform entitlement programs in order for such cuts to be acceptable to voters and therefore durable.

But was it Liberal courage or economic crisis that led Chrétien to act? Unlike Canada, the United States is the world's largest economy and its dollar is the leading reserve currency, and this allows the country latitude from the markets that other countries simply don't get. Of course, Washington politicians have exploited and abused this latitude to such an extent they've nearly wrecked the global economy in the process. Until there is a credible alternative, global markets may downgrade U.S. credit and scold American leaders, but U.S. Democrats will not feel the same kind of pressure that Canada did in the mid-1990s when its debt-to-GDP ratio was more than 65 per cent -- even though the United States passed 100 per cent this year.

In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, the strength of Canadian banks has been touted as an example for the United States to follow. However, former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, Malcolm Knight, noted in a lecture at Johns Hopkins University in May that Canadian banks face serious challenges in the months ahead.

The point is not that Canada isn't doing well, and hasn't taken action to address its economic challenges in ways that are admirable. All that is true.

But when analysts suggest that the United States could solve its current problems by trying to imitate Canada's economic policies? I'll stick with never.

 
 
 

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Dinsdale Pirahna
"lookin' out the 'ole in the wall"
05:37 PM on 07/24/2012
"...In 2011, Fred Barnes offered a more practical perspective in an article for National Affairs titled "Lessons from Canada." Barnes noted that entitlement spending was one cause of Canada's fiscal crisis..."

Another major one was the CONservative government corporate welfare (entitlement) agenda.
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Cynthia Dudley
01:49 PM on 06/04/2012
I would argue that Americans need to accept that bank regulations need to be put into place- the simplest is by not allowing disparate types of banks to all gather under the same management team. Different types of banks should be administered at the highest level as the type of bank that they are and not have to support all the variants that are out there.

That being said- Canada is a small population, resource economy with a solid base in other areas to ride the waves of the global economy. The US is a large population, consumer economy that tends to get hit by the global economy because it rides the waves of popular economic theory. The US needs to get back to a diversified economy, cut its military budget and stop playing with its tax rates until it fixes its debt and tax structure problems.
06:08 PM on 06/02/2012
I am going to refrain from commenting on the matter at-hand. I will simply note some surprise with the affiliation of the author. The Hudson Institute is a right-wing think tank, containing many individuals who were responsible for the regressive agenda that resulted in the ongoing U.S. economic crisis, as well as the drive toward an overwhelming militaristic agenda.
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TT Esty1
Failure is a temporary condition.
03:05 AM on 06/02/2012
Certainly there is a difference in the DNA between Canada and the US. For example, Canada is governed by an oligarchy both inside and outside the parliament while the US oligarchy is outside and extends permission to govern as necessary. Thus, Canada does have more options in passing legislation that benefits the country as a whole but may inconvenience some.

The banks, as an example, are restricted to doing 'banking' and must own their debts. Stock Market gambling requires the setting up of external Trusts.

The one area that both countries could improve and better protect their citizenry is by reducing and exposing lobbying efforts by disallowing a lobbiest industry. In the US, the lobbiest and their sponsors invalidate the vote with money. A similar paradigm is creaping into Canadian politics. Recently, for example, it was noted that Mulcair re-mortgaged his house. I feel much more comfortable with that than with someone who comes out wealthier for having served as an elected member.
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07:22 PM on 06/01/2012
We in Canada are witnessing in Ottawa now the kind of stuff Reagan did back in the '80's. The Harper Cons are cutting public servants from the payroll, especially those capable of even questioning the Con agenda. We're talking censoring the census-takers, firing scientists, shutting down environmental protection (and human/democratic rights) organizations,

Reagan fired the air traffic comptrollers. Then the auditors. Harper has a different hit list but he's doin' it. And there ain't nobody that can stop him.

Because, here in Canada, we have a "strong, stable, Conservative majority government." We voted for it.
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skbull44
Check out Olduvai the novel
02:27 PM on 06/01/2012
Anyone, especially Canadians, who thinks that 'this time is different' for Canadian banks should see the following articles:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/next-domino-fall-canada
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/why-uk-trail-mf-global-collapse-may-have-apocalyptic-consequences-eurozone-canadian-banks-jeffe

Economic historians have labelled the belief that the perils impaling other districts (now and in the past) will not impact us because we are smarter as THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT. Sad truth is, it never is different...
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1846
Deir Yassin Survivor
02:09 PM on 06/01/2012
The state of Canadian economics is not perfect but ahead of most countries in the world.
Small changes and a staedy policy is what is required.

Canada endured the 2008 American financial crisis well and that is not a small thing, it means hard learned policies were in place to prevent a melt down so count your blessings and work on balancing the budget.