It pains me to be a killjoy, but I cannot join the gush of enthusiasm that Facebook constitutes any reassurance about the innate and imperishable American genius for wealth creation.
Mark Zuckerberg deserves great credit, of course, for a genius idea and the tenacity and ingenuity to make a great fortune at a very young age. The accessibility of the summits of American wealth creation for a young and inventive person are things to celebrate. The vagaries of his personality -- summarized in The Social Network in which his Ivy League girlfriend said that having a relationship with him was like being on a Stairmaster -- are irrelevant and mere tittle-tattle.
But this isn't really wealth creation, other than for Zuckerberg and his immediate associates. Again, this is no rap on him -- he didn't hold himself out as the pathfinder to American economic recovery. Unfortunately, there is no shortage of beleaguered and deluded Americans who see this rapid transition from collegiate vision, initiative and sharp business practice into great wealth as indicative of America's ineluctable will and vocation for economic prosperity.
I'm not on Facebook and I accept the circumscription of my qualifications to be too declarative about its use and content, but as far as I can see, it is essentially the recording and transmission of utterly mindless reflections, mainly between boring and under-occupied people.
We already knew from the pestilential ubiquity of cellphones that even a casual stroll on almost any urban sidewalk becomes an itinerant and discordant cacophony of vapid half-conversations. The unlimited and universal access to instant communication highlighted the absurdity and dispensability of most social contact.
The venerable, such as me, remember lamentations over teenagers tying up the family telephone, or even the party line, with adolescent chatter. Now, everyone inflicts upon all acquaintances, as urgent bulletins, every trip to the mall or fleeting sensation of road rage or some other irritation. The most mundane and inconsequential fill 95 per cent of the vacuum that has been created by instant communication. It is of a piece with the thousand-channel television service and, all too soon, with Internet picture definition as clear as television, the infinite variety available on the screen. In the one as in the other, the editorial function has been drowned like the crew and steerage class passengers of the Titanic. Everyone says everything to everyone and the average intellectual level of discourse descends to subterranean depths of fatuity.
These are the sociological consequences. It is apparently true that social media has helped destabilize some despotic regimes, but they have also empowered criminals. In the London riots last year, vandals warned each other of police presence, so those who broke into shoe and clothing stores were able to try on what they fancied to be sure it fit before they stole it. But I am unable to discern any net benefit from this vertiginously increased exchange of spontaneous cyber-verbosity.
Economically, almost no jobs are created in the principal user countries, apart from a few salespeople. It is not like the great advances of industrial history: the light bulb, the telephone, the Bessamer steel-refining process, the suspension bridge, steam locomotive, the automobile, even radio, television and motion pictures, baneful though they have been in some ways. All spawned colossal industries and ancillary industries that generated new skills and the creation of large numbers of jobs, and economic growth by marrying a need to a product or service and increasing the multiplier effect of invested units of currency that ramified into higher levels of education, and social services eventually. There is no such discernible benefit here, and, indeed, the illusion of such benefit is a negative.
The entire Western economy is in a distressed condition, except for the resource economies that prosper from the higher recent growth rates of populous countries newly converted to the virtues of economic growth, especially China, India and Indonesia, with almost 40 per cent of the world's population. The chief beneficiaries are resource-rich Australia and Canada, but almost all the rest of the West is stagnating under the weight of collapsed birthrates and out-priced manufacturing, and over-addiction to the temptation of the service industry economy, and the dead hand of the public sector in particular.
Facebook, though both the company and its founder are guiltless in this, has inspired the unwitting with the idea that this form of undoubted ingenuity and enterprise will contribute to economic recovery and a new era of American and Western prosperity that will keep millions of insecure job-holders in occupations that are essentially unproductive, and that the reckoning with the present crisis will be less serious than is feared.
There are far too many people doing unproductive white collar work, starting with lawyers. (That occupation, fortunately, is finally paying for its milking of society, as senior partners take steady cuts in pay to honour extravagant promises to younger recruits from law schools. Thomas E. Dewey's old law firm is just the tip of the iceberg.) There is an insufficient number of people working in any gainful occupation to sustain the levels of benefit most western countries have attained in the relentless political endeavour to bribe democratic populations with their own money. More people will have to work in ways that actually add value in the extraction and transformation of resources and products, instead of just pushing papers and giving opinions; more people will have to contribute to the economy rather than clog the benefit rolls. Facebook is, in this context, an innocent distraction.
Finally, the IPO was an outrage. No company can sustain a market multiple of 100 times gross income for long. Morgan Stanley were both insane and unethical in trying to hit the highest possible opening number. And the spectacle of J.P. Morgan Chase chairman Jamie Dimon interrupting his emergency sessions over mysterious trading losses of over $2 billion to don a hoodie to meet Mark Zuckerberg could become an epochal moment in the history of American economic crises, like Herbert Hoover's "The economy is fundamentally sound" and George W. Bush's "The sucker could go down." (He was referring to the U.S. economy, not the electorate that had twice elected him to his great office.)
As I wrote at the outset, I hate to be a killjoy, but Facebook, in economic terms, is a mirage, other than for Zuckerberg and anyone else who has founders' stock. It illustrates the need for salvation, not the road to follow to achieve it.
Ted Kaufman: Facebook Fiasco Damages U.S. Markets
And earth to Conrad: facebook will cancel your profile if you post smutty photos.
And yes there is lots of inanity on facebook. But many of us use it to find and share
media stories of political and social importance.
Facebook is what would be called a news aggregator. By liking various pages and news outlets, one receives updates and stories as wall posts. I don't need to go to dozens of news sites, they come to my wall. Very efficient!
* 25% of Day One trades were shorting the stock, those institutional investors made a lot of money with the losses
* Facebook employees had to freeze their trading of shares during the pre-IPO period, where the last trades on the secondary market were at $44 - So, every Facebook employee has now "lost" 30% and if the share price drops into the 20's, they stand to lose 50% of their perceived value (that will take it's toll on the company's talent pool, at some point)
* Every single investor should have sat back when the 100x revenue valuation came in and said 'no f'in way." The IPO netted the company a whack of cash, and the bankers a whack of fees. Everyone else, except those who shorted the stock, lost
* The IPO was the worst performing IPO for it's first week in more than 10-years. Basically, it broke the system. It will be a long time before we see anyone going along with another social media IPO. Facebook's IPO has damaged the entire tech-finance model
* Pre-IPO, we were all sold the story that there was a Boy Genius who was entitled to his quest for World Domination. Now, we see him for what he is. Immature, greedy, selfish and without a Plan; other than to acquire other companies (no internal innovation has happened in years).
That said, I agree with part of the words you say otherwise, my own opinions on the value of Facebook are somewhere between yours and those "teenagers" you decry.
I also agree that social media can be a double-edged sword, but I would say many useful things are like this. Language is not good or bad, but it can be used for either purpose.
["...as the product of American industry are increasingly displaced by others both in America and in foreign markets...Maintaining prosperity requires ever-rising budgetary and balance of payments deficits, which makes it steadily less attractive as a method of economic management.
If continued long enough it would involve transforming a nation of creative producers into a community of 'rentiers' increasingly living on others, seeking gratification in ever more useless consumption with all the debilitating effects of the bread and circuses of Imperial Rome."]
-Nicolas Kaldor 1971.
The low hanging fruits have been picked...what's left is going to require an inordinate amount of research and work...and still not reward as much.
["There are far too many people doing unproductive white collar work, starting with lawyers."]
Here Conrad:
A little food-for-thought present for your having been a good boy in jail and getting out early ;-)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5tfYL_mqrNI#
You're welcome.
A statement that could be made in any age, and I'm sure the vast majority believed it then even as the process was accelerating.
Whether it is true or not now is in question. I agree advancement will slow eventually. But such things don't occur in easy to follow patterns.
The assessment of human value through arbitrary association with a notional and intrinsically worthless item?
"initiative and sharp business practice"
Luck and ruthlessness?
"as far as I can see"
it. In that unique personalized internal rendition, that is reality's reflection.
"the recording and transmission of utterly mindless reflections, mainly between boring and under-occupied people."
Who would be better employed, chivvying their leaders back to the task with which they have been entrusted.
"vapid half-conversations"
conducted ‘twixt acquaintances. That serves for sweet distraction, ‘til minds might make themselves heard.
"95 per cent of the vacuum"
Pray share the missing quotient.
"the editorial function"
Reality, third hand?
"discourse descends"
But only should it set out from a high.
"empowered criminals"
AKA politicians?
"I am unable to discern any net benefit"
evidently. And what use might a baby ever be?
"starting with lawyers"
leave us replace the flawed with the functional. MRI interrogation, should save a fortune.
"Facebook, in economic terms, is a mirage"
As too, is the grater part of human perception. Though fortunately, a damn sight simpler to fix.
It shows how ridiculous the idea of "economy" has become; it's not centered around wasting time.
The virtual equivalent of Security throwing you out of the General Store ...
The presence of family on Facebook (and a few acquaintances) keeps me from getting rid of my Facebook account (the only way to do that is by becoming inactive for months)