Let's face it: nine people on a stage can't have a "debate." Saturday's federal leadership gathering wasn't one, either. But it was slightly more entertaining than the first two.
Six of these candidates should step aside and call it a day. They have no prospect of winning and they've made whatever point they wanted to make. Their vanity project has run its course and 15 minutes are up.
That includes the self-described "smart", "courageous", "tough" Martha Hall Findlay. She has made the centerpiece of her campaign trashing her former colleagues as being "afraid" and not having "substance". The irony is that the only policy she has unveiled is eliminating supply management. She did muse about raising the GST, but wisely backtracked on that one.
Hall-Findlay has lost more elections than won and this is her second run at the top job. Her record as an opposition MP was undistinguished. She lost a seat she should have won, and it took her six years to pay off her debts from her last place finish in the 2006 leadership contest. Despite this reality, Hall-Findlay continues to suggest that her "substance" and "experience" is what we need. No thanks. Why she thinks she should be leader of the Liberal Party is a mystery.
Martha and others persist in their tiresome calls for "specific policy" and "substance". Yet, they should know that the days of three guys around the Leader in Ottawa writing a platform and releasing it like the Sinai tablets are long, long gone. Canadians are all grown up. It's about time Liberals started treating them like it. Otherwise, we're on our way to extinction as a party.
The other candidates are part sideshow, part curiosity, and unquestionably a distraction. Nice people, perhaps, and maybe even decent MP's one day. But they are far from remotely electable national leaders. Only three can legitimately claim to have earned the right to stay for the next rounds: Trudeau, Garneau, and Murray.
While I may differ with Joyce Murray on some of the content of her program, she has proven herself to be one tough cookie and a very serious candidate. Besides her track record of actually winning contested nominations and close elections, she has positioned herself squarely as an important voice on the "progressive" wing of the party.
Murray has a thoughtful, comprehensive, and cohesive set of ideas. And whether I like it or not, Murray has shown a lot of guts to be the lone voice and intelligent advocate for "cooperation" with other parties.
Marc Garneau was a disappointment in this debate. He appeared to step out of character -- perhaps on the advice of whoever is advising him -- and go for the jugular last week in a vain attempt to stop the Trudeau freight train. He appeared to feel it necessary to prop himself up by diminishing Trudeau. It didn't work. It just made him look small, floundering, and somewhat frantic.
Better for Garneau to focus on his strengths and champion his ideas. Unfortunately, on that front, like Hall-Findlay, although he talks a lot about "substance", a cursory view of Garneau's website shows that he hasn't released a single number to suggest how much any of what he is proposing would cost and how he would pay for it. Not one.
If Garneau is to recover from this, he should return to being the intelligent, content-driven statesman. His stature and gravitas is important to the Liberal Party and he shouldn't jeopardize it by trying to best Martha Hall-Findlay in the cheap shot department.
As for the frontrunner, Justin Trudeau, he continues to impress. He has remained calm and composed all week. He never seems to panic, takes it all in stride, and stays focused on the bigger game. His understanding of the country is far superior than many give him credit for. His hopeful, optimistic, pragmatic Liberalism is entirely consistent with where most of us are.
The political operators that watch and organize these things still don't seem to get the Trudeau phenomenon. It has nothing to do with being famous for being famous, as his critics charge. It doesn't seem to have occurred to some Canadians just might like Trudeau's ideas. Clearly they do otherwise he wouldn't be leading the pack by every metric that matters.
Trudeau attracts massive crowds everywhere he goes. That's no coincidence and no fluke. It happens because they like what he has to say and want to hear more. And people really are, as he said on Saturday, sick and tired of being cynical. They want to believe that we are better than they've been seeing out of Ottawa. Deep down, they know we are. Trudeau is the only candidate that seems to hear what Canadians are saying and is reflecting back to them the kind of leadership they so crave.
Trudeau is bypassing the Liberal Party and reaching for the hearts and minds of a broad-cross section of Canadians. He knows full well that the Liberal Party didn't create Canada; Canada created the Liberal Party. And if Liberals want to be relevant and successful again, we had better create room for Canadians in our party.
In the broad scheme of things, this is as significant, profound, and yes, "substantive" as it gets.
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Jesse Helmer: Martha Hall Findlay and Liberty: Recipe for a Liberal Resurgence
Robert M. Randolph: Redefining Courage
Martha Hall Findlay 48.67%,
Marc Garneau 46.47%,
Joyce Murray 45.59%,
Justin Trudeau. 41.47%,
It appears the Federal Liberals and media coverage of the leadership campaign has been salted.
Garneau 37.20%,
Trudeau 38.40%
Hall Findlay 39.90%
Murray 42.20%
May 46.30%,
Mulcair 56.40%
Harper 75.10%
Pollsters are like weather forecasters they get paid even when they are wrong look what happened to Wildrose recently.
In any case, anyone who can shake these folks and get them so worked up, while being able to garner so much support in the public, is someone I'm watching with great interest.
I mean when was the last time that a prospective leader who hasn't even won yet, managed to be more popular and garner more support for his party than the already existing leaders in the house?
Makes me laugh. I love it. Can't wait to see what happens in 2015, no matter who wins.
My hopes are with Murray. While the odds of her winning are long, it seems, the methodology of how the leadership contest is being conducted means that she's still a contender.
Trudeau, in my view, will ensure that the Liberals will remain in third place. He's too goofy, ill-informed, and unfocused to lead a caucus of men and women more capable than him. And, I don't think he will be able to stand the scrutiny and pressure of a general election. In particular, the debates with Harper, Mulcair, and May will show him to be little more than a cute and eager little boy who wants nothing more than to be liked by the grown ups. Murray, on the other hand, will have no trouble with the other leaders. Moreover, Murray is a westerner. And, unlike Trudeau or Garneau, she may be able to revive Liberal fortunes west of the Ontario / Manitoba border.
And demanding that canidates step aside is a bad idea, the last two Liberal party corinations didn't pan out very well.
Leadership is about making us better then we think we are.
Policy and numbers are good but vision and heart is more important.
Trudeau Attacked.. Hall Findlay Booed.. Response? "
...do you think the Leafs have a shot at the Cup?