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Are We the Best Governed Democracy on Earth?

Posted: 03/31/2012 8:57 am

Under Stephen Harper, Canada can fairly claim to be the best-governed country in the advanced democratic world. Thursday's federal budget locks up Canada's lead.

Right now, the major economies share a common economic problem: With the world slowly and fitfully emerging from the worst economic crisis since the 1930s, they must begin to plan to reduce their debt burdens -- but not so fast that they crush demand and abort the recovery. The United Kingdom exemplifies the dangers of moving too fast: your recovery falters.

The United States exemplifies the risks of moving too slow: The inability of its political system to agree on any plan to budget has cost the world's biggest economy its Triple-A credit rating.

Canada has been seeking to move at a pace that's just right -- and with the 2012 budget, Canada continues to succeed. Barring an unexpected slump into renewed recession, Thursday's budget moves Canada to budget balance over the next three years. There will be no tax increases. Federal spending growth will be restrained, but outlays will still rise: from $272.9 billion in the year just ended to a projected $296.6 billion in 2015-2016.

This "steady as she goes" course has disappointed some. The Edmonton Sun denounced the budget as "Trudeauesque."

Such an assessment is upside-down. Trudeau's budgeting was notorious for its recklessness. Harper's budgeting is impeccable in its caution. By 2015-2016, Canada will have reduced both spending and debt to pre-recession levels. Nobody else on earth will be able to say anything like that.

The austerity economies of the Eurozone have cut and cut their budgets. Yet budget balance eludes them. They're in a trap. If you reduce spending too fast, you crimp your economy -- and thus also and inadvertently reduce your revenues.

A less dramatic economic policy can support growth and boost revenues. Here's a trade that a lot of other countries would gratefully accept: Jim Flaherty's plan allows spending to rise by 11.65% over 5 years. Over those same five years, revenues are expected to surge by 26%.

Would anyone benefit from a smaller rise in the expenditure line if it is true that -- as most economists agree -- a reduction in expenditure pulls down the revenue line by even more?

The Harper government has already accomplished the second hardest task in government fiscal management: It responded to the economic crisis by supplying just enough fiscal stimulus. Miscalculate that dosage, and you risk careening from economic crisis to debt crisis.

Now it is settling to the very hardest task: mustering the discipline to recall the stimulus when it is no longer wanted. Overdo it, and you get the relapse into recession that the U.S. suffered in 1937. Underdo it, and you miss your targets and waste your effort.

On these fiscal calculations hang the prosperity of tens of millions of people and the future of a great country. OK, yes, sure -- after it's all over, we'll be able to look back in time and see with hindsight how this decision or that might have been made better.

From the perspective of today, however, the important news is: How much has already been done right, under the most extreme difficulty, in a time of supreme danger?

This article was also published in the National Post.

 
 
 

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06:48 PM on 04/07/2012
Democracy? With majorities, Mulroney and Chretien both eventually moved to the outer boundary of PMO dictatorship. A quirk in the Canadian parliamentary system without equal in the democratic world. Harper moved there and beyond as quickly as possible (made possible by finally tilting the majority in Senate toward Conservatives), but he lacks the consensus-building and horse-trading skills (or inclinations) that Mulroney and Chretien still employed.
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albertarick
These are questions for wise men with skinny arms
12:22 PM on 04/02/2012
Governance and Democracy are duelling ideals Mr. Frum. I can understand that in the company you keep, it must be difficult to keep in mind that Democracy is governance by the people, for the people. Your article does not mention the people in these democracies used for comparison once. We are all just widgets to be utilized in the governance of the people for the benefit of the corporations. In this sense I suppose you are correct, with the "bought and paid for", currently majority government of the Harper Conservatives. They have not yet faltered in governing for the benefit of the corporate interests that got them elected.
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TT Esty1
Failure is a temporary condition.
12:42 AM on 04/02/2012
Yes, good governance is the hallmark of the Harper Conservatives IF one ignores the fact that on the election back in 2006 Canada had almost a $14 Billion SURPLUS and today with the Harper Conservatives we have a $33 Billion DEFICIT. The main change during that time was the increase in seats of the Harper Conservatives and their desperate attempts to hold on to power. Their gain: our loss.

If anything, we should be thankful to the Trudeau-Chretien Liberals for structuring an economic system that would survive from the abuse of Mulroney and, hopefully Harper.

Canada's fortune is in its commodities. Harper has already started to diminish those systems with the destruction of the Wheat Board. Soon, the Canadian farmer will be like the Gas Service Station owner, a serf in function if not in name.

Frum is a creator of Word Worlds and then believes them to be true. He is to politics what Benny Hinn is to the Ministry. Hopefully, Canadians will reject the nose rings both these spin meisters depend on to lead the wary and direct the blind.
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egdot
12:40 AM on 04/02/2012
Not a surprise from Frum. As Harper continues his stealthy attempt to adopt the GOP agenda into Canada, why is it a surprise that someone who is a GOP lackey and apologist would think otherwise. Frum glosses over the probable social effects of Harper's budget, not to mention "fast-tracking" environmental review for pet projects like the pipe-line; avoid those pesky environmentalists and skew the data to favor the conservative business agenda.
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tnanimation
11:44 PM on 04/01/2012
'Are We the Best Governed Democracy on Earth?'
We were, until 2006. As soon as the Harper Reform Party took power
that claim is no longer true.
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Thalin Lea
11:05 PM on 04/01/2012
I wonder how much $ he got paid by Harper for this terrible article , or who knows... he may be promoting himself to get into the PM team...
06:11 PM on 04/01/2012
I stopped reading after "Under Stephen Harper, Canada can fairly claim to be the best-governed country in the advanced democratic world"...I still can't stop laughing.
06:42 PM on 04/01/2012
He lost me at "we." Are We the Best Governed Democracy on Earth? I don't know. But I live here. Where does Mr. Frum live? Wikipedia states "Still a Canadian citizen, (David Frum) was one of the few foreign nationals working within the Bush White House. He filed for naturalization and took the oath of citizenship on September 11, 2007."
05:24 PM on 04/01/2012
Election fraud?
Robocall scandal?
Cutting consumption and business taxes and creating a deficit?
Stacking the Senate (after promising not to)?
Silencing of gov't employees to speak on issues on which they are expert (science/enviro)?
Passing on millions of $$ in costs to the provinces (crime bill)?
Improper use of federal funds (Clement scandal)?
Bringing the politcal process in Canada to a new low?

This is well goverened? Maybe as compared to where Frum now lives (U.S.A.) but Canadians deserve better (or do we...? The CONS were elected.)
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Sharon McEachern
Micro-bio is still empty...
04:13 PM on 04/01/2012
"Under Stephen Harper, Canada can fairly claim to be the best-governed country in the advanced democratic world."

lol
03:06 PM on 04/01/2012
The following is the 2011 Human Development Index after being adjusted for Inequities.
It considers health, education and basic living standard. In one year Canada dropped
7 spots. By far The worst performance in the top twenty. The year before Canada dropped
two spots. Mr. Frum how is it possible Canada is the best managed country?
1. Norway 0.890 same
2. Australia 0.856 same
3. Sweden 0.851 ( +5)
4. Netherlands 0.846 ( -1)
5. Iceland 0.845 ( +5)
6. Ireland 0.843 same
7. Germany 0.842 same
8. Denmark 0.842 (+ 4)
9. Switzerland 0.840 same
10. Slovenia 0.837 ( +7)
11. Finland 0.833 ( +7)
12. Canada 0.829 ( -7)
23. United States 0.771
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07:22 PM on 04/01/2012
Because he isn't consider equality or development, he is talking only about the economy.
Governance would be so easy if everything could be reduced to the good of the economy.
01:42 PM on 04/01/2012
Best governed? Perhaps. If you think of it in the sense of "being governed." Governed defined as controlled, influenced, and regulated. Then again, that might not really be a democracy any more, would it?
01:37 PM on 04/01/2012
Unalloyed tosh by one of Canada's best known expatriate corporate lackeys.
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Skookum1
truth can't be bought, but lies sure can be sold..
05:26 PM on 04/01/2012
Yup. Probably spent more time south of the line than Michael Ignatieff, no doubt......
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rotary
canucklehead
10:53 AM on 04/01/2012
Harper got lucky. He wasn't going to put a dollar of stimulus into the economy until the opposition threatened to defeat his government. Thank Ignatief and Layton.
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10:26 AM on 04/01/2012
Well this is one opinion.
02:42 AM on 04/01/2012
Short answer to the headline? "No".

Government policy is cripping every part of the economy outside of primary raw materials. We're not surviving because of clever management, we're surviving because we're selling off our natural wealth at rock bottom prices.
BritishColumbian
American/Canadian liberal
09:43 AM on 04/01/2012
The Reform Party budget is a short sighted effort to "balance the budget" with no plans for the future of our country.
03:11 PM on 04/01/2012
oh they have plans
it's to destroy the social programs in canada and keep their corporate overlords in power