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Is College Now the Ultimate Crapshoot?

Posted: 11/20/11 09:00 AM ET

I'm generally skeptical of claims that there exist large cultural differences between Canadians and Americans. But there is at least one way in which Canadian and American lives differ radically, at least for the upper middle classes in the two countries: the university experience.

If and when a Canadian decides to go to university, they just... go. Yes, there are some choices to make: Which province do you want to live in, that kind of thing. But for student and parent alike, the process is straightforward, inexpensive and seemingly non-traumatic. Or maybe that's just the grass-is-greener perspective of a parent in the throes of the American college-application maelstrom.

My son Nathaniel and I have spent the past week touring American college campuses, taking trains, planes and automobiles up and down the northeast seaboard. We'll do at least one more such tour before we're done, likely two.

The American journalist Andrew Ferguson has written a very funny new book about the experience, aptly titled "Crazy U." Ferguson details the head-turning dizziness of the experience for those families most obsessed by it: What about Washington University in St. Louis? Or Reed College in Oregon? Perhaps Pepperdine on the California beach? There are standardized tests to write, and letters of recommendation to collect, and clubs to join, and grades to earn -- and an emerging industry of college counselling to guide students and parents through the maze.

One thing you hear often as a parent is that the process has become much more difficult than it was during your day. This claim is both true and deceptive. It's true that colleges turn down a much higher percentage of applications than they used to do: Some of the more selective schools have rejection rates verging on 90 per cent, and many even of the less selective will claim reject rates of over 50 per cent.

But these high reject rates are a statistical artifact, the product of the fact that students file so many more applications than they used to file, back when each application had to be laboriously typed. Ten applications per student is the new normal, and not a few students will file many more.

The mass of applications creates a lot of unnecessary trouble and anxiety. But the closer you get to this process, the more you begin to suspect that the anxiety is -- as they say in Silicon Valley -- a feature, not a bug.

University education can easily add up to the most expensive purchase by an American family: up to $200,000 per student.

College tuition costs have risen much faster than inflation over the past 30 years, and still continue to do so despite the tough economic times in the United States. Yet, as the cost of college has soared, the earnings of college graduates have stagnated. The median pay of an American BA-holder actually declined between 2000 and 2005, adjusting for inflation, according to the 2006 annual Economic Report of the President.

As today's young people contemplate an uncertain job market, many must wonder: Is college worth it? In particular, are the more expensive colleges worth it? There's always a market for a Harvard degree, but America is ornamented by dozens of colleges that charge as much as Harvard, without in fact being Harvard.

For these schools, the anxiety and complexity of the college application process has some of the same function as the absence of clocks in a Las Vegas casino or the fuzziness of prices on a car lot. A disoriented consumer, obsessed over the question, "Will my child get in?" is much less likely to ask the question, "Does this purchase make sense?"

And hey -- it works. My level-headed son is never pushed off his game, but after visiting five schools in three cities in three days, I'm just as crazy as any of the parents in Ferguson's book. I should be asking, "What about hotel-management school?" But instead I'm sweatily fingering the college catalogues in the waiting rooms as my son proceeds from interview to interview.

This system is a bubble, everybody says. It may be headed for a crash -- that seems possible. In the meantime, here we are lofted along for the scary ride.

This originally appeared in the National Post.

 
 
 

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I'm generally skeptical of claims that there exist large cultural differences between Canadians and Americans. But there is at least one way in which Canadian and American lives differ radically, at l...
I'm generally skeptical of claims that there exist large cultural differences between Canadians and Americans. But there is at least one way in which Canadian and American lives differ radically, at l...
 
 
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03:14 PM on 11/23/2011
For me I found that for the type of job that I was looking for; computer programming, having a 4-year computer science degree appeared essential. I already had a general 2-year degree and that did not seem to be the path to any kind of job, a more focused 2-year degree no doubt would have been better. I taught myself computer programming after taking just one community education class by reading and lots of trial and error. Looking at the job ads for computer programmers at the time more often than not a 4-year computer science degree was required so I went back to college to obtain one.
No doubt my own experience helped a lot and I was offered a fulltime job when doing my internship. Some of what I learned in college was directly related to what I did in my job, but now that is all obsolete.
The point I am trying to make is that many times employers will require that 4-year degree to even consider you. As to if it is really necessary to perform the job is another matter. It does worry me about the debt students are racking up for a 4-year degree.
maruski
Liberal Lutheran; lean left, save America!
11:32 AM on 11/28/2011
my husb is an EE but was a tech before he got his BSEE. He agrees that a vast amount of what is taught in school was unnecessary and absurd holdovers from former decades. Fast forward to today-our son graduated from his alma mater with a BSME. It is now impossible to get that degree in 4 years, and they teach that all students must plan an masters in the subject as well. But here's the punch line--have they ever streamlined the learning? Nope. You still have to learn how to derive Fourier transforms as if you would ever need to do that from scratch yourself when it is already discovered...meanwhile important things you should know are being pushed to the master level, like how to manage a project.

It is a game that feeds the academic system and keeps tenured people who teach yesterday's stuff (like Fourier ) employed and relevant, even if they are only relevant in terms of a requirement for the sheepskin. As new technology comes up new classes are added.

The "victory lap"--the student doing a 5th year for a BS is common now with all the added loans attendant to that.

people who object are reflexively called ignorant folk who don't understand the "value" of a broad education...

it makes you wonder- what exactly is taught in an Indian college? How does it compare?
12:05 PM on 11/28/2011
Thank you for your interesting comments, it does seem that much of what the university system is about is being a "profit deal". One has to wonder why the costs have risen so much more than the general rate of inflation.
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sgillhoolley
Occupy the discussion.
09:38 AM on 11/22/2011
People can educate themselves with books. School is to get the formal accredations that go with an education. I am a high school teacher, and I do not push University on the kids. It is not for everyone, and with rising costs, it is only for a few really. If you want to be a lawyer, doctor, engineer, or any other profession that requires a degree, go get one. Otherwise you are probably wasting your money (unless you are smart enough to get scholarships to cover most of your costs). I learned a lot more outside of school than I did in it (excepting elementary school, which taught me all the basics I need to learn on my own). I know it is difficult to know what you want to do for a living in high school, but it is better to figure out what you want to do and then find out what the requirements are. My degrees have only mattered when I became a teacher. Before then no one cared about my degree or my GPA. It was all about the work experience I had.
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Vapula
Failure is not an option
07:33 PM on 11/21/2011
Getting a degree does not guarantee that you will get the job you want or any job at all. Getting a degree is about getting an education and there are many ways you can do that. If you want a job then you need to decide what type of job you want and train for it accordingly. Obtaining a degree in History is not going to equip you for being an airline pilot. People need to think long and hard before they decide to go to University and then they need to decide what they want to study and why. If the course of study is merely to satisfy their curiosity with the vague notion that something good will come out of it, that is not a recipe for success. I went from high-school to taking a number of professional qualifications which enabled me to earn a living and then I took three University degrees which I could then afford. Planning is essential whereas not planning is nearly always disastrous.
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Liviu
I support the right to arm the bears.
04:42 PM on 11/21/2011
This is the result of the "strategic" Defense vs. Everything else (including Education) budget policy.
I've said it before: THIS IS THE BEGINING OF THE END.

Humans are not like horses; rich parents don't necessarily have intelligent offsprings (albeit it's probably true in many cases); moreover, rich intelligent kids may not have the same drive in the pursuit of happiness, as not so intelligent poor kids.
A level playing field in Education is a must, otherwise a lot of the "diamonds in the rough" will end up undiscovered, and eventually would age to become just graphite.

And please spare me the examples of Bill Gates and Steve Jobs; I know about them.
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Vapula
Failure is not an option
07:38 PM on 11/21/2011
Rich kids have more intelligent children? I think that when resources are made available to anyone their capacity to develop is greatly enhanced. Science used to be the preserve of the wealthy with notable exceptions like Stephenson and Faraday but it wasn't that the rich were more intelligent than the least advantage it was that kids from wealthy backgrounds were nurtured and given more resources. When we do not invest in education for all we waste our most p[precious resource which is genius (which is not allowed to flourish).
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sgillhoolley
Occupy the discussion.
09:41 AM on 11/22/2011
Don't you believe in evolution?
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sgillhoolley
Occupy the discussion.
09:40 AM on 11/22/2011
Starting life with a nice savings is often the difference between failure and success. Smart people with great ideas are held back by a lack of money. Mediocre people with mediocre ideas but lots of money and important connections will go further. I agree, for every Bill Gates there are a thousand Reggie Newlins (who is he??? I have no idea, he must have failed).
03:36 PM on 11/21/2011
It's funny that we push education so hard. The majority of richest and some would say the smartest people (not counting celebs), either dropped out of college/university or didn't bother going at all. I think we place way too much emphasis on post secondary education.
03:16 PM on 11/21/2011
Dear David :

Send your kid to a Canadian college. . You are Canadian therefore your kids are Canadian.
The cost is reasonable and you have family in Toronto. ( They even have Hotel and Restaurant Managerment )
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Scott EngageAmerica
02:59 PM on 11/21/2011
College tuition costs have risen much faster than inflation over the past 30 years. In fact, it has increased 439 percent since 1982—faster than the rate of health care increases (eng.am/v5unNG).

While the none of the current Republican candidates seem to have a real solution student loan debt and the increasing price of higher education, Obama's plan may actually make the problem worse.

His plan does nothing to stop the long term problems of the cost of attending college. Federal subsidies are not an answer to raising tuition prices. Instead, federal subsidies create a a vicious cycle that incentivize colleges to raise tuition because when subsidies students' purchasing power increase they can afford higher rates, in turn allowing universities to raise tuition, which ultimately leads students to demand more student loans.
01:54 PM on 11/21/2011
Post secondary is a mistake because it is too expensive.
I spent 10+ years paying off student loans and other miscellaneous debt incurred by weak starting salaries. When the career improved, the banks I spoke to were only willing to help me pay my debt off more expeditiously (via debt consolidation) if I was willing to accept a ridiculous interest rate.This solution would have costed me more than the rate I was already paying. If I had to do it all over again, I wouldn't. Though I did land in my field, what I do for a living was learned through practical training. I did not need school or debt. I needed a path and a mentor. End of list.
12:21 PM on 11/21/2011
Given the fact the David Frum had spent incredible amount of his political life being a instrument of Bush's administration's propaganda machine and getting inspired by his mentor Richard Perl, he clearly demonstrates his intellectual dishonesty and right wing nature by not admitting many facts. For example, that Canadian post secondary education is for no-profit and has not been corrupted "yet" by Corporate interest which is the case in US . Canadian educational institutions are funded by provincial government , because we value affordable education. As a country in Canada , the parentage of our GDP that goes to toward post secondary education and wars of opportunity are in contrast to what US congress appreciates in Wars and so called homeland security and so little for US colleges and Universities. Naturally, that makes them out of reach for many people and more expensive.. So David, what is the surprise? We all know that un-educated people are lot easier to device and exploit.
The bottom line is that David Frum is simply too coward to say in a blunt way.
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niceshoes60
02:28 PM on 11/21/2011
Well said.
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YankeeCanuck
dog
02:52 PM on 11/21/2011
Yes!!! Excellent analysis.
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TheGreatRenewal
We're living a Great Renewal
11:07 AM on 11/21/2011
My god, you're discovering a Social Democracy! Well maybe you can tell others that a social democracy is vastly different than 'socialism' and caring for one another is a good thing. The other thing you can tell people is that paying 'taxes' is a collective form of 'savings' and 'spending'. (Oh, gosh I shouldn't have used the word 'collective'!). It means that a society believes some things should be available for everyone. Neat idea.

I lived in a country (not Canada or the US) that used to value that ... education and health care were just two. Now it's a Corporate country ... the 'free market' rules and student debt is off the charts. Well done Free Market ... death to social democracies and up with the Corporate states.
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Nosybear
Liar, damn liar, statistician and brewer
10:47 AM on 11/21/2011
Congrats, David, your side has won that front in the Culture Wars as well: The elites get good schools and can afford to go, the rest of us get whatever community college we can find (or worse, the for-profit diploma mills that have sprung up to respond to the "market" for diplomas). Way to go, Right! You've won yet another one for the winners in this country.

Pro Football is "socialist," dispersing its profits and salaries evenly across all markets, for a reason and guess what, it makes the game more competitive. It would work for the economy as well.
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sgillhoolley
Occupy the discussion.
09:44 AM on 11/22/2011
One of my most interesting courses was taught by an excellent professor at Westchester Community College. I took the course there because I needed it for my Masters program and it was the cheapest one offered. Don't assume that the community colleges are all bad. Many of them are extremely good. You just don't get to make great connections to wealthy and powerful people at those.
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Trueletterson
Working man politically right of center
10:34 AM on 11/21/2011
We live in and have raise our children in a "I can do what I want to do society and it's my right", student insist on majoring in whatever they want to and not in what is in demand. Majoring in sport history, art, basket weaving etc. may be OK if your parents own the company.
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exmate
Life is about playing a poor hand well.
10:31 AM on 11/21/2011
1. In the USA, there is a lot of money is to be "made" in health care, higher education and managing money on Wall street.

2. Money is like morphine.

3. When morphine is used to treat pain, congestive heart failure or a heart attack, good things happen. When morphine is used to feel good, bad things happen.

4. When money is used to assign value to goods and services, and to facilitate commerce, good things happen.

5. WHEN MONEY IS USED TO MAKE PEOPLE WHO ALREADY HAVE PLENTY OF IT FEEL EVEN BETTER BECAUSE THAT IS HOW THEY KEEP SCORE , BAD THINGS HAPPEN.
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Trueletterson
Working man politically right of center
10:13 AM on 11/21/2011
Collage is the ultimate crapshoot if young people insist on majoring in what ever they want to do and not what is in demand or needed, art history, sociology, pre law with a 2.2GPA, business management, or all the other irrelevant studies.
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alafonse
It's definitely a crap-shoot.
08:44 AM on 11/21/2011
For many students, education is just yet another scam. They get their pricey piece of paper and start work at the local burger joint because there's no job for them.
Employers want CHEAP employees, they don't want someone who might work their way up. They plan on firing them just as soon as they get a few raises, so that they can hire in yet another bottom feeding greenie for less money.
The entire corporate system is so totally flawed it's totally laughable.
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El Chingaso
Fighting for mental superiority...
09:49 AM on 11/21/2011
Who says you go to college to work for someone else? In addition, "responsible" parents start college funds when their kids are born -- and, thus, student loans are unnecessary. $100 per month "minimum" (the monthly cost of a satellite TV bill) into a marginal investment account at 3% annual return for 18 years racks up over $29k; $200 per month and the balance is slightly over $58k.

I know, I know: excuses, excuses are coming. This kind of stuff is w-a-y over most Americans' heads anyway. (That's why there's "haves" & "have-nots.") Ignorance compounded by extreme lack of discipline...are anything but bliss. No substitution for smarts in the U.S.
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ssassy78
Laughter is the best medicine.
10:16 AM on 11/21/2011
Sadly, your math exposes just how futile saving can be. 58,000 is about half of what you'll need, and for many, 100.00 in savings is impossible on sharecropper wages.

Great thought, however, and in theory it works. The problem is that theory very rarely fits comfortably with reality.
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cameron d
Good Guys Win
10:36 AM on 11/21/2011
Hahaha $56K is nowhere near what you'd need to send a child to an American University. Nice try though!
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sgillhoolley
Occupy the discussion.
09:47 AM on 11/22/2011
Most jobs that I have had required an education level that was well above the job's actual requirements. Every job I have had up until teaching has bored me. It was generally lots of routine stuff that required next to no real thought. As a result I got bored and moved on after a year. The vast majority of people can handle the vast majority of jobs out there. We are over-educating ourselves for these routine tasks.