"Liberals have finally met their Armageddon. Get used to it." So writes veteran journalist Peter Newman in his forthcoming book on the Liberal Party of Canada.
When the Gods Changed is due out this week, but early press reports suggest that Newman sees the party as dead.
Further, Newman sees a new "natural governing party" for the country -- the Conservatives, led by Prime Minister Stephen Harper.
Of course, Newman isn't the only one to have reached that conclusion. A confidential cable from the U.S. ambassador to Canada suggests that Stephen Harper's Conservatives see themselves more and more as Canada's "natural governing party." That memo, leaked by WikiLeaks, was before the election -- and landing a majority hasn't exactly changed minds in the PMO. Actually, back in the summer, the prime minister himself mused about the Tories becoming the natural governing party.
Let's just review: the Tories won an impressive majority in the spring; the second largest party in the House of Commons just lost its popular leader and faces a divisive leadership race; and the Liberals are in disarray, led by a nearly geriatric former New Democrat. It's all good news if you're wearing Tory blue.
Here's a word of advice to my Conservative friends, however: Be smart.
Twenty-seven years ago, after Brian Mulroney secured his Sept. 4 landslide, another veteran journalist, the Toronto Star's Richard Gwyn, thought Mulroney had "almost certainly made the Conservatives the majority party for the rest of the century." Two elections later, the party was reduced to just a couple of seats.
Here's the point. In any democracy, and especially this democracy, political dynasties come and go. Diefenbaker blew in to Ottawa like a prairie storm -- and then blew out, taking his Tories with him; Trudeau's walk in the snow was sparked by bad polls not great contemplation; Chretien won three impressive elections, but lost control of his party, and thus his job. Leaders come and go; parties win power and then lose it.
Yes, the Harper Tories face no credible opposition now, and probably won't in 2015. But, eventually, they will. And, one day soon, they will lose power.
The key, then, isn't to celebrate their time in office and past election victories, but to govern -- and govern well. This next decade may prove as consequential to Canada as the 1960s were -- a time, literally, to re-envision the nation and its place in the world.
To my Ottawa friends, then, remember this: You'll be off writing your memoirs soon. Make every day count.
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We don't need party politics anymore, we need dedicated Canadians who will run the country like the enlightened democracy we want the world to see.
Oh Canada Wake up!
If the Wheat board was such a great idea...
- Why did it only applied to the prairie farmers and not the rest of Canada?
- Why are there no oat/barley boards?
Who said the banks were going to take over... or it that just another hyperbole? Unless you mean to tell us that people/crown corporation being held accountable for their debts and spending is a bad thing...
Religious fanaticism in government... I thought it was the Ontario Liberal's that were trying to legalize Sharia law... not the Conservative...
*-*-*-*
Ho, wait... forgot the add campaign. Harper eats babies... therefore I must fear/hate him...
As quoted in the Phantom Menace: "Only a Sith believes in absolutes."
Conservatives and Liberals are never always right. There's a middle ground. Sadly, the middle ground has been destroyed thanks to Harper's effective destruction of Michael Ignatieff pre-election with those pricey TV ads that ran during Stanley Cup playoffs, Grey Cup, big TV shows, etc...
Now, Canadians believe they only have a choice of a "strong, stable Conservative majority" or the NDP.
I don't see the dippers repeating their success of this year's election. The Liberals are far more in accordance with typical Canadian political beliefs. They just have to rebuild from the ground up, and not be afraid to throw out some old ideas.
- The NDP surge in Quebec will be a one term wonder. Once Quebecers realize they are still not getting every thing they demand... they'll switch allegiance.
- The Liberal needs to purge some of its old guard... and start listening to the membership... Whether the old-guard allows it or not is a different story.
When the Conservatives under Mulroney were defeated they were left with only a few seats in the HOC.
The Liberals this time around have thirty four.
The Conservatives were able to reinvent themselves over the years to become the party in power today.
Quebeckers have traditionally backed the LPC but adscam and 3 successively poor leaders forced them
to park their ticket with the NDP, having no stomach to vote Conservative.
If the LPC can elect a new (read "new" here, not a leftover from the adscam era), and credible leader,
and give the party credible direction, then all bets are off. Those 75 Quebec seats will be back on the table.
The way I've seen Harper treat Quebec lately, it's doubtful those seats will be coming his way.
There are still a lot of important and well financed business people with connections to the party.
To count the lib's out is a little bit overreaching and smug, I'd say.
I'm going to get Newman's book. I think, though, that rumours of the Liberal Party's death have been greatly exaggerated.
Boy, there's a rallying cry for the mild-hearted.
There are two factors in retaining power in Canada and only one is in control of the government.
First Canadians traditionally like to be governed from the center, while there are left and right extremes the the voting base is in the center, always.The government has the ability to control this with policy initiatives, but it may alienate its conservative base.
Second there will always be an urge to throw the bums out during bad times and it is beyound the ability of any government to create good times. They can only use good times to prepare for bad times as the Liberals did to benefit of the current government. The government can control the spin on this factor and with a continuingly dumbed down electorate this is very effective at the polls.
Those two factors aside, everything else in an election campaign is manufactured, and with the fall of most long term governments often what brings down one party benefits the successor. We saw this when the GST and free trade brought down Mulroney, and the manufacturing of the Chretien governments involvement in the sponsorship scandal.
And I support decrim!
Are we talking about the gun registry?
http://www.whyfor.com/firearm/rcmp_murray.html
Most printed media in Quebec are definitively "left"... at least the ones I read and listen to
- French CBC Radio
- La Presse
- Le Devoir
Oddly enough, the way they so fervently despise Harper... might actually help him in the long run. People are loosing faith in the "system" (or establishment) and they will figure that if some many media outlet are against him... he must be good at something.
You know, it's like telling your teenager that you don't want him to drink beer, because beer is bad for him...