As Senator Patrick Brazeau knows all too well, Liberal leadership hopeful Justin Trudeau can duke it out in a boxing match.
But can Trudeau also handle himself in a political brawl? Can he take a 30-second TV attack ad punch? Can he mix it up and get scrappy when it comes to electoral fisticuffs?
Nobody knows, since so far nobody has even taken a poke at Trudeau. In fact, since announcing his leadership bid, Trudeau has barely had to bob or weave.
And please don't bring up the so-called attacks on Trudeau emanating from fellow leadership candidates Marc Garneau and Martha Hall Findlay.
All Garneau did was gently question Trudeau's lack of a policy platform, while Hall Findlay simply called him out on his "middle class" credentials. (An act for which she later profusely apologized.)
If those were attacks, they were mild ones, indeed they barely registered on my "Political-Attack-a-Meter."
Besides, what's wrong with leadership candidates comparing and contrasting their skills and background with those of the frontrunner?
It's an obvious and legitimate tactic.
At any rate, my point is since Trudeau has not yet been truly tested in terms of his political combat skills, we don't know how he will react when he does come under real assault.
And make no mistake, if he does, as is widely expected, become the next Liberal leader, Trudeau will be hit hard.
The Conservative Party, for instance, will do to Trudeau what they already did to former Liberal leaders, Michael Ignatieff and Stephane Dion, namely hammer him with a steady stream of negative attack ads.
Plus, since Trudeau could threaten its power base in Quebec and in urban Canada, the NDP, now led by political street fighter Thomas Mulcair, can also be expected to join the anti-Trudeau fray.
And, by the way, Trudeau gave his opponents great grist for attack ad mills when he told the media "I'm not middle class."
Expect the NDP and especially the Conservatives to endlessly re-cycle that comment, because by saying those words Trudeau is essentially admitting, he is not "one of us."
And believe me, nothing makes for a better attack ad then one which exploits the "Us vs. Them" theme.
But I digress.
Getting back to Trudeau, much of his success as a leader will depend on how he responds to the inevitable attacks that will rain down on him.
If he gets defensive, it will hurt him; if he loses his cool and emotionally lashes out, it will hurt him; if he does nothing, it will hurt him.
My own sense (and it's only a sense) is that Trudeau will fail the test.
Yes, he's smart and articulate and passionate, but he lacks the political savvy and toughness of Mulcair and Harper, two battle-hardened political warriors.
Certainly, the Liberal leadership contest, with its Marquis of Queensberry rules, will not toughen Trudeau for the coming onslaught.
Also, he has shown himself prone to undisciplined outbursts, like the time he told a radio interviewer he would rather live in a separate Quebec than in a Canada ruled by Harper.
And last fall, when his ill-advised comments about Albertans running the country came to light, his response was hesitant and weak.
None of this bodes well for Trudeau's ability to deflect attacks.
Now maybe I'm wrong about all this. Maybe Trudeau is a quick learner; maybe he's tougher than he appears; maybe he has smart advisors who will guide him.
But as of now, I can't help but believe that Trudeau's adeptness in the boxing ring will not carry over to the political ring.
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They Like Him, They Really, Really Like Him
Justin Trudeau has captured the imagination of Canada's political media. Here are the 11 most ridiculously flattering things they've said about him so far this year.
11. "He's got great hair"
<a href="http://www.torontosun.com/2012/06/16/justins-the-one-10-winning-reasons-why" target="_hplink">- Warren Kinsella</a>
10. "The man is genuinely, immensely likable"
"Justin Trudeau does not shake your hand; he inhabits it. The wrist cocks out and up, the fingertips down; the elbow shoots off to his right; the shoulder rises slightly. Then a friendly grin dawns as he delivers a firm but not crushing grip, looking you in the eye, with a twinkle in his own. The effect is of someone who is warm, slightly embarrassed by the fuss, almost goofy, and genuinely happy to meet you. It is likely that some of this is practised; he would have spent his early social years deflecting other peoples' preconceived ideas about class and snobbery. Either way, it is effective. The man is genuinely, immensely likable." <a href="http://o.canada.com/2012/08/17/electrifying-and-elusive-justin-trudeau-quietly-mulls-his-political-destiny/" target="_hplink">- Michael Den Tandt</a>
9. Sisyphus & Icarus?
"Trudeau is part Sisyphus, driven by his nature and upbringing to push his political rock up the hill. And he is part Icarus, driven to prove himself in spectacular ways, whether by crossing rapids, speaking off the cuff about separatism or exposing himself to defeat and humiliation in the ring." <a href="http://o.canada.com/2012/08/17/electrifying-and-elusive-justin-trudeau-quietly-mulls-his-political-destiny/" target="_hplink">- Michael Den Tandt</a>
8. Or Hamlet?
"A leadership race without Justin Trudeau would be both Hamlet without the Prince of Denmark, and one more yawn before sleep." <a href="http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2012/06/16/rex-murphy-why-justin-trudeau-has-to-run-for-liberal-leader/" target="_hplink">- Rex Murphy</a>
7. "Tantalizing"
"Mr. Trudeau is tantalizing, but whether he is galvanizing is another question." <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/commentary/justin-trudeau-is-the-best-hope-for-liberals-and-conservatives/article4249423/" target="_hplink">- Lawrence Martin</a>
6. "He isn't an old fart"
"He isn't an old fart. The Liberal party -- like the Conservatives -- has been run by, and for, old farts for too long. The party is in desperate need of a new generation of leadership. Trudeau, like Barack Obama in 2008, has the greatest ability to mobilize young people to work for him, and vote for him."<a href="http://www.torontosun.com/2012/06/16/justins-the-one-10-winning-reasons-why" target="_hplink"> - Warren Kinsella</a>
5. "Expressive mane of hair"
"You, with the expressive mane of hair and the explosive pronouncements that sometimes rival the idiocy of our other Justin, the Beeb." <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/life/is-it-time-for-the-second-coming-of-trudeaumania/article4484207/?cmpid=rss1" target="_hplink">- Judith Timson</a>
4. "His mane of black hair was tousled"
"Under his suit jacket, the sleeve buttons on his dress shirt were undone. His necktie was knotted, but left loose over an open top button. His mane of black hair was tousled. Even in genteel disarray, even dressed more or less like a couple hundred of his parliamentary colleagues, the 40-year-old Liberal MP for the Montreal riding of Papineau looked like a million bucks." <a href="http://www2.macleans.ca/2012/05/04/justin-trudeau-should-be-the-next-leader-of-the-liberal-party-no-seriously/" target="_hplink">- Paul Wells</a>
3. "He's got more charisma than the royal family and Lady Gaga combined"
"He's got more charisma than the royal family and Lady Gaga combined. In Ottawa, which is Hollywood for ugly people, that matters. To win, political parties need some sizzle with their steak; Trudeau has sizzle in abundance. On the election hustings, when measured against Trudeau, Stephen Harper and Thomas Mulcair will look like Angry Old Guys, because, er, they are." <a href="http://www.torontosun.com/2012/06/16/justins-the-one-10-winning-reasons-why" target="_hplink">- Warren Kinsella</a>
2. "Impossibly handsome"
"The 41-year-old Liberal MP from the Montreal riding of Papineau, impossibly handsome, charming and much more comfortable in his skin than the bearer of such an iconic yet troublesome political name has any right to be..." <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/life/is-it-time-for-the-second-coming-of-trudeaumania/article4484207/?cmpid=rss1" target="_hplink">- Judith Timson</a>
1. "Lion-maned clothes horse with dimples like moon craters"
"So the rail-thin, lion-maned clothes horse with dimples like moon craters, a giant-killing right hook and a weapons-grade surname will position himself as the loyal helpmate of a post-leadership-fixation Liberal Party? It's so crazy it just might work." <a href="http://www2.macleans.ca/2012/05/04/justin-trudeau-should-be-the-next-leader-of-the-liberal-party-no-seriously/" target="_hplink">- Paul Wells</a>
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How much experience did Harper have when he first entered the ring. Every Prime Minister starts out with out a lot of experience but they learn on the job.
Your fears about him not being able to roll with the punches are not founded, so far he has done pretty well and he is learning how to spar quite effectively. There are a lot of people who like him and want him in the PMs office, and the neocons better be smart about attack ads as they could very easily backfire, nobody wants to see an up an coming star get kicked around by a bully. As far as him spoiling any chance of getting many votes in Alberta, he wouldn't get them anyhow, it is Ontario that will elect him. Harper has pissed off a lot of prairie farmers, and he sure hasn't many friends down east or over on the rock.
I think you can rest easy from here on in, Trudeau will be the next PM and he will be in office for a long time, and one more thing I believe, Harper will never get another run at the job, and unless the Conservatives can get back the progressive way of thinking they also will never get in again.
Now I could be wrong, I was wrong one other time but I don't let that keep me from giving my opinion.
He's on record speaking to the University of Western Ontario re the legalization of pot, most likely because his own usage of the substance is known and will soon be divulged-a well know advocate of the "legalize pot" movement claims that her and her husband have spent time with Justin and MaryJane. This puts him between a rock and a hard place as the US isn't crazy about the idea of Canada becoming a NARCO state and even Warren Kinsella stated it would slow down cross boarder trade and have a deleterious affect on the economy as well as jobs.
He also stepped in Mulcair's separatist trap-Justin is exactly what Marose, the P.Q.and the B.Q have been waiting for.
That's my two cents:
He'll have to learn to take the heat better than that, or he'd best stay out of the kitchen. If elected to the Liberal leadership, he's going to get the same treatment every other political leader gets.
Trudeau, if he continues his vacuous campaign, could unite the progressive vote as people see in him what they desperately want to see.
The Conservatives tend to keep tight control over messaging in campaigns. Stephen Harper, for example, restricts the media to whom he'll speak, preferring friendly regional press in swing areas, and restricts questions. Trudeau will do the same.
Trudeau, if he wins the leadership, unlike other party leaders will be a star, someone who people want to be near and see. He will be an excellent "candidate" around which to build a campaign if he wins the leadership.
It remains to be seen, if he wins the leadership, how his Commons performance will affect the public's perception of him. And if he wins the election--which is possible--it remains to be seen if he can, in fact, lead a party and a nation.
At any rate, it's the election debates that will matter most.
Yup. Just watch.
(I figure that my opinion is just as valid as anyones. Right?)
Politicians are not middle-class. I don't expect them to be. Trudeau is not obscenely wealthy. I'm still waiting for other politicians to open their finances up to scrutiny the way Justin Trudeau has.
Flawless English is an absolute job requirement for Prime Minister of Canada and Dion didn't have it. Ignatieff lived most of his adult life outside of Canada. The attack ads resonated because the weaknesses were major.
Trudeau has two years for Canadians to continue to get to know him and he has some significant strengths off-setting his perceived weaknesses. Aside from personal strengths he will be running against Harper and Mulcair. All he has to do is not be as bad as them.
But by all means under-estimate him. He seems to thrive on that.
My bet? Trudeau will be be Prime Minister one day.
(I figure one throw away comment deserves another. LOL)