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Tories' Immigration Incoherence

Posted: 12/04/11 12:45 AM ET

If there's a consistent thread of logic or principle running through the federal Tories' approach to immigration, I've yet to see it. Six years in, despite much bloviating over the brilliance of Harper's supposedly visionary Immigration Minister Jason Kenney, official Conservative pronouncements on the matter still show no sign of coalescing behind anything remotely resembling a coherent theme or agenda.

On the one hand, there's certainly been no shortage of unsubtle pandering to the right. From ostentatiously religious, gay marriage-denying citizenship brochures and ominous campaign ads featuring scary ships packed with foreigners, to proposals for easier-to-fail citizenship tests and tougher English standards for new residents, the open-borders crowd has rarely been bereft of press releases to wring its hands over.

Yet at the same time, almost every step rightward has been met by a furious Kenney damage-control tour -- usually in local immigrant media -- in which the minister confidently assures his critics that no, actually, things are more the same than ever. Some forgiving loophole is conveniently revealed, the latest reactionary reform is recast as trivial and easily ignored, and the scary headline of yesterday is abruptly dismissed as a toothless non-event. Everyone's happy -- except, of course, any Canadian hoping to unravel the impenetrably obtuse logic guiding their country's immigration agenda.

Take the federal government's recent decree, issued earlier this month, that Canada would be imposing an immediate moratorium on immigration applications from the elderly relatives of existing residents. Out of context, this sounds conservative enough. Supporting a decrease in legal immigration, particularly of the non-economic sort, is actually a more mainstream position than is often acknowledged in this country -- particularly among the Tory base.

But speaking to the Asian Pacific Post last week, Kenney himself assured the paper that lower numbers were really the furthest thing from his mind.

"The bottom line is we are committed to family reunification," said the Minister. "That is why we have made the decision to massively increase the number of parents who can immigrate by 60 per cent -- from 15,000 to 25,000 -- and to place a temporary pause on new applications."

Got that? So a policy change that has been soundly blasted by Conservative critics as a "concerted, directed effort" to reduce unwanted family class migrants is actually a plan to "massively increase" them. Is family reunification economically useful? Are higher numbers better than lower? Who knows. The minister prefers to dwell in the "is it happening or not?" school of policy analysis.

Even Kenney's much-vaunted language requirements were quickly hand-waved away. "Only a tiny fraction of our immigrants are assessed for language proficiency -- about two out of 10" he assured the worried publication, noting that his government has no intention of demanding higher language skills from the vast majority of Canadian migrants -- "spouses, children, and parents," as he put it -- who are admitted to the country for non-economic reasons.

I know the conventional wisdom holds that Kenney is crazy like a fox with this sort of thing. What appears to be a haphazard approach to dealing with immigration is actually one of the most brilliant long-term political chess games of our time, or so we're told. But an unemotional crunching of the numbers from last May's election actually proves that the Tories have not even made the sorts of electoral inroads with new Canadians that Conservative apologists are always assuring us are imminent.

According to a deeply revealing Ipsos exit poll, Stephen Harper was able to win his much-sought majority with only 28 per cent support among immigrants who have been in this country for 10 years or less, compared to a combined 62 per cent for the centre-left parties. Similarly, even if the Tories had failed to capture any of Minister Kenney's 10 infamous "very ethnic" ridings -- the supposed crown jewels of the new Conservative electoral coalition -- they still would have eked out a narrow majority government anyway. In other words, the strategic benefits of the status quo are largely overrated.

Again, there's a reasonable argument to be made that Canada's globally unprecedented rates of per-capita legal immigration may not be a universal good for the country -- at least in the way the system is currently configured, with more emphasis placed on importing relatives than skilled workers. The polls certainly indicate a great number of Canadians are ready to have that discussion, and there may even be partisan points to be gained by doing so.

Yet broaching the topic -- or any other honest, forthright attempt at immigration reform -- would require at least a modicum of leadership and courage, which runs directly contrary to the Tory tradition of insecure pandering and worst-of-all-worlds compromise.

Hearing them speak, it's clear the Conservatives have themselves thoroughly convinced that Minister Kenney's management of the immigration portfolio will define the Harper Government's brand for years to come.

If they don't watch themselves, they may very well be right.

 

Follow J.J. McCullough on Twitter: www.twitter.com/JJ_McCullough

If there's a consistent thread of logic or principle running through the federal Tories' approach to immigration, I've yet to see it. Six years in, despite much bloviating over the brilliance of Harpe...
If there's a consistent thread of logic or principle running through the federal Tories' approach to immigration, I've yet to see it. Six years in, despite much bloviating over the brilliance of Harpe...
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jamster88
04:38 AM on 12/15/2011
Simple answer.

Stop all immigration now.

We have absolutely not need whatsoever to have a 'mass migration' policy, or any immigration policy at all.

The leftist media outlets since Trudeau have done a great job at brainwashing Canadians to think that somehow 'mass migration' is part of our identity.
04:27 AM on 12/07/2011
A politician saying what the group listening to them wants to hear is hardly news. For what it's worth, I think that the Tory immigration policy has generally been okay - keep the numbers high, de-emphasize family unification a bit(spouse and kids get to come, of course, but grandparents probably shouldn't) to open more room for the people who can make it on their own merits, and tweak some little things that need tweaking. Whether it's a brilliant electoral strategy or not I really don't know, but I don't care too much either, it's good policy.

Also, "only" 28% among recent immigrants isn't bad at all for a party that got less than 40% of the vote and that has historically performed very poorly among immigrants. They don't need the voting patterns of evangelicals, even if they vote like Catholics or women do statistically that's an incredible gain for the Tories, and brings a lot of areas into play that weren't before.
10:41 PM on 12/07/2011
Couple of things: one of the points of my article was that the Conservatives are not, in fact, lessening family immigration in any way. They are just trying to take credit for doing so with one group, while assuring another group they're actually going to "massively increase" the number.

The other is that winning a small amount of immigrant vote may not be useful if it comes at the expense of the CPC's historic base — namely, people who are critical of immigration.
12:38 AM on 12/06/2011
JJ's making it to the big time!

BTW if you don't recognize my avatar I'll be sorely disappointed.
photo
Mike Beckett
LibDem Cllr & Director of Caring for Business Ltd
04:28 PM on 12/05/2011
Tolerance and the value diversity brings to our society makes our lives richer.
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jamster88
04:44 AM on 12/15/2011
Really? How, exactly? Because I'm accusing you of 'ideology' instead of 'rationality'.

I would have believed that tripe growing up, but now that I've lived and worked all over the world, I know that it's false.

Surely - the ability to recruit people from all over the world makes a bigger pool of people to chose from, but having worked on very diverse teams, I can assure you that the 'diversity' brought nothing to the table.

In fact - it is in cultures that have a strong sense of identity, Japan, Sweden etc. where some of the best and most amazing products are made.

In the long run 'diversity' is actually a lie. A big, sloppy melting pot of people that have absolutely nothing in common but basic humanity creates nothing but masses and masses of nameless, faceless suburbs. Shopping malls filled with American big box stores. Timmy's and Starbucks's.

The more 'diverse' we are, the more 'pathetic' we become. The less we are able to create ideas, products and services of any real value.

So many poor places in the world, Rio, many Chinese cities, Mexico City - have more character and have contributed more to the world that the 'multicultural' Mississauga ever will.

If what you say is even remotely true, Mississauga would be the most amazing place on earth. Instead - it's the most pathetic.
02:13 AM on 12/05/2011
@ J.J., come on now, take a stand. Make a decision without allowing ideological lines blur your vision.
09:16 PM on 12/07/2011
Agree totally with this. There's quite a few more angles to this issue than JJ is letting on. Quebec desperately wants as many Francophone immigrants admitted into the country as possible in order to pump up the country's deflating population of French speakers. Resource extraction companies from Alberta to Ontario want unskilled hands that have less attachments outside of the company camp and are willing to undercut union workers.

There's more examples than this, of course, but i'm just giving these to prove that this is a circle that cannot be ideologically squared - as JJ is attempting to do.
05:00 PM on 12/04/2011
Canada is simply taking in far too many immigrants, from all classes. Why, for instance, did we accept over THREE HUNDRED THOUSAND Sri Lankan Tamil 'refugees' (over 70% returning to visit 'Lanka within a year of coming here)? These people should have gone to Tamil Nadu, which is a hop and a skip from Sri Lanka--if India can afford to spend untold billions upgrading its nuclear arsenal, they can look after this problem in their own backyard. And family reunification has been an actuarial disaster, with tens of thousands of elderly, sickly immigrants flooding the health and long term-care systems (the largest-represented group has 2-5 times the Canadian type-II diabetes rate). Representing 71% of Canada's population growth, mass immigration is also the largest driver of urban sprawl, and issues like escalating water consumption and traffic. It's time to close the gates. The Conservatives' immigration reforms are just baby steps toward the massive overhaul that's needed.
04:29 AM on 12/07/2011
You want to talk about an actuarial disaster? Try funding CPP and Medicare without a flood of young workers. Because Canadians sure as hell aren't having enough kids to pay for them.
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jamster88
04:46 AM on 12/15/2011
Alsadius - the scare tactic' that we need to have a Ponzi-scheme style immigration system that requires an ever-increasing number of immigrants - in perpetuity - to support our infrastructure is a vicious and false leftist lie.