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Johannes Wheeldon, Ph.D

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The End of Growth? Existential Narratives and the New Normal

Posted: 08/05/11 08:59 AM ET

What if the debt crisis in Europe and the U.S., and the general economic unease is the product not of ignorance, ideology, or ineptitude? What if, instead, the crisis of credibility within so many of our social and political institutions is the product of a broader failure to acknowledge that the pursuit of growth at any cost has been a short-term success but has sown the seeds of a longer-term failure?

Consider population growth and the added stress on the limited planetary resources as billions more people will inhabit the Earth over the next few decades. According to the Global Footprint Network, we surpassed our capacity in 1988, and today, we needed the resources of 1.5 planets to sustain our economy. The problem is not only more people but western affluence and the consumption-based economy we have exported around the world. There are some practical realities that underpin our economy and must be faced.

Today 80 per cent of our energy comes from fossil fuels, clearly linked to climate change. Petroleum is part of so many of the products we take from granted everything from milk, soap, and beer and our addiction to cheap, industrially-produced meat. While the rising cost of food has gotten some attention recently, the challenge of access to fresh, clean water -- called the "silent emergency" goes largely ignored.

According to Paul Gilding the idea of infinite growth on a finite planet is nonsense. The challenge is to change the narrative from the never-ending pursuit of growth to one focused on how to maximize happiness, community, and meaningful interactions. He argues in the short-term, we will deny our problems until we are faced with large scale calamities. The recognition of the existential threat will provide the general political will that is required to address this collective emergency over the long term. While optimism is to be appreciated in this time of malaise, it may misplaced without considering in more detail competing meta-narratives that at present appear to be incommensurable.

The first is the liberal notion that science and reason can guide dialogue and deliberation, and that inclusiveness and an open mind can result in positive policy outcomes. This view is on the ropes almost everywhere. In my opinion, we do not live in an era in which facts, reason, and understanding are what drive decision-making. Unless liberals uncover what it is they believe and articulate it clearly and compellingly, it is the second narrative that will remain in ascension. This view is rooted in the belief that egoism is a political virtue, that compromise is for weaklings, and that the Earth has been provided for us to use and abuse. Against the realities of climate science, this second view cannot make room for the implications that result from accepting existing research. Denial ain't just a river in Egypt. In recent years, this view has gained a political foothold in Canada as ideology over evidence is guiding everything from (in)justice policies to environmental indifference.

Perhaps the real crisis is that the embarrassing debt ceiling deal has supplanted discussion on the real calamities that we all face with a debate that has been manufactured, manipulated, and uncritically presented. The disgust is palpable, but the solutions are far more complex. What is the new narrative to guide progressives?


 
 
 
What if the debt crisis in Europe and the U.S., and the general economic unease is the product not of ignorance, ideology, or ineptitude? What if, instead, the crisis of credibility within so many of ...
What if the debt crisis in Europe and the U.S., and the general economic unease is the product not of ignorance, ideology, or ineptitude? What if, instead, the crisis of credibility within so many of ...
 
 
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02:34 PM on 08/10/2011
Richard Heinberg, leading peak oil theorist, has just published an extensive analysis of this topic in his book titled "End of Growth: Adapting to our New Economic Reality". Very interesting reading and very convincing. Once you read it, everything that is happening makes sense on a much larger scale.
See also "Who Killed Economic Growth" on Youtube.
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SimonLeigh
07:45 AM on 08/06/2011
Brilliantly obvious and obviously brilliant. Worth adding that the recent research on happiness revealed that living our super-rich, unsustainable, consumerist Western lifestyle doesn't make us any happier than anyone else. May be making us more unhappy and sicker, in fact. So why not consider a change?
07:43 AM on 08/06/2011
It is amazing that so few people have discussed this reality because the religion of growth has been so ingrained in all of us for so long we will have a difficult time adjusting as we can see by our complete failure to even consider the winding down of our huge military empire abroad despite the obvious decline we are experiencing.
yer
Stop the Alberta Taliban
01:04 AM on 08/06/2011
Arithmetic Population and Energy video on youtube sounds particularly germane. Dr. Barlett goes over what exponential growth is about and is quite illuminating. It's almost up to 3 million hits watching an old guy talk about some simple math. "The Greatest Shortcoming of the Human Race is our Inability to Understand The Exponential Function" It runs about 70 minutes? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-QA2rkpBSY Education that is great leaves you better than you were before.
12:16 AM on 08/06/2011
I think American media spokespersons and politicians should avoid hysterics and show a more moderate, serious concern for their nation and its economy, and stop blaming each other. Establishing a multi-partisan group including CEOs of large corporations to work on improving the nation's education, health and infrastructure, and increasing hiring would help. The rhetoric has to be lowered and all the major media should contribute towards this. Driving President Obama out of office by suggesting he is at fault for tendencies which gained a foothold in previous administrations is not going to help American government even if the next administration is not led by him. The healing should start now. Remember Ross Perot and his graphs, showing the looming deficit? Perot suggested revenue enhancements.
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Iam12Vote
Now With MORE Micro Bio!
09:56 PM on 08/05/2011
Managing collapse is now being served. We live in interesting times.
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silverwolf13
I know that I do not know.
07:24 PM on 08/05/2011
That infinite expansion is impossible on a finite planet should be obvious to everyone who has managed to pass first grade. Unfortunately, many people believe either that God will provide or that we will always be able to come up with new ways to expand food supplies, energy resources, and so forth. Should we not think that God has already done His part by giving us brains capable of figuring this out?
01:59 PM on 08/05/2011
The impossibility of infinite growth on a finite plane has been recurring theme in my mind since I was introduced to it at university in 1969. Back then we were reading Rachel Carson's Silent Spring and Paul Erlich's Population Bomb. And now, so many years later, things are worse. I think those of us who are reasonably well educated and informed need to do a better job of communicating to others, in particular to those who disagree with us. I noticed during the last federal election that many people believed their Facebook conversations were an indication that the conservatives were about to be tossed out. What they perceived as a groundswell turned out to be themselves talking to themselves. And the rest is history... The educated and enlightened among us need to reach out to the fearful... And not in Al Gore style, from a big house, car, plane. Do as I say, not as I do. Forget flying to meetings. Try Skype instead ;-)
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skbull44
Check out Olduvai the novel
08:24 AM on 08/05/2011
Interesting read and some great points. I would encourage anyone interested in this topic to read the Post Carbon Institute's latest monograph, The End of Growth, by Richard Heinberg. Heinberg convincingly argues that our policy-makers and leaders have ignored the factors external to the financial system but that have a significant impact on it: the depletion of natural resources (especially cheap fossil fuels), the increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters due to human-induced climate change, and, financial disruptions to a ponzi-type, debt-based economic system that cannot adequately deal with the first two issues.

Heinberg also concludes with the idea that "[t]he end of economic growth does not necessarily mean we've reached the end of qualitative improvements in human life...[for] within a non-growing or equilibrium economy there can still be continuous development of practical skills, artistic expression, and certain kinds of technology...instead of more, we must strive for better; rather than promoting increased economic activity for its own sake, we must emphasize that which increases quality of life without stoking consumption".

Checkout the following websites:
www.postcarbon.org
www.chrismartenson.com
www.aspo-usa.com
www.dollarcollapse.com
www.theoildrum.com
www.zerohedge.com