Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Mark Bourrie

GET UPDATES FROM Mark Bourrie
 

Canada's Politicians Lead Like Zombies

Posted: 06/01/11 09:00 AM ET

Many people in the mainstream media tried to ignore the problem of the walking undead.

This, even though that at least one party leader, a self-admitted eastern European count, was literally coming apart before our eyes during the last election.

The leader of what was then the third party was a cyborg, a man who had received at least one mechanical joint. This piece of hardware was so powerful that it overwhelmed Jack Layton's natural method of mobility, thus forcing him to walk with a cane to compensate for the extra power.

And the prime minister was, and is, an obvious robot devised by Boeing engineers and manufactured in a right-to-work state.

And yet I find myself defending the Liberal Party against rumours that it's dead. The same gut that told me Stephen Harper was a good bet in 2006 now says to go long on the Grits.

I can paper my walls with the prematurely-issued death certificates of Canadian political parties that were written by newspaper columnists, talking heads and tenured political scientists (although politics is an art, not a science).

From 1867 until 1896, the Liberals were dead in Ottawa. They held office for just one term, after Sir John A. Macdonald was caught shaking down the president of the Canadian Pacific Railway. The rest of the time, the father of our country could easily keep an eye on them through the bottom of a gin glass.

From the end of the First World War to the election of John Diefenbaker in 1957, the Tories were supposed to be dead. They held office for just one full term during those years, in the first five full years of the Great Depression. The rest of the time, they staggered from one poor leader to another, with no hope of gaining power until Mackenzie King finally quit.

The Liberals were supposed to be dead after Dief's 1958 landslide. The Tories were supposed to be dead after Dief self-destructed five years later. In the Trudeau years, the Liberal hegemony was supposed to last forever. And in the summer of 1979, there wasn't a Liberal government anywhere in Canada.

But the Tories were supposed to be dead after 1980 because Joe Clark could not win Quebec. When Brian Mulroney swept Quebec and the rest of the country in 1984, the Liberals were supposed to be dead, the world having embraced Ronald Reagan's neo-conservatism.

By 1993, the Progressive Conservatives were shattered into three pieces-- the western Reformers, the Bloc Quebecois, and the two-member Tory caucus that survived the Kim Campbell wipe-out. All the political class expected the Liberals to be in power forever. People actually argued, 15 years ago, that Canada was effectively a one-party state because it was mathematically impossible for the Chretien Liberals to be defeated. This was seen as a terrible threat to democracy.

And everyone knew that the able and ambitious Paul Martin would keep rolling up those big majorities against the western Tories, who would always be led by hicks like Stockwell Day.

Then Stephen Harper got in, but it was just a matter of time before the Liberals assumed their role as Canada's natural governing party. The NDP would always be a third party because it could never win seats in Quebec. The election of Thomas Mulcair was a fluke. The Bloc owned at least 50 of Quebec's 75 seats. And, since Quebeckers either voted for separatists or for parties that could dispense patronage, the NDP did not have a hope.

Now the Liberals are dead. They're the third party in the House of Commons. They have no money. Harper has sucked up the votes of Blue Liberals.

All of those predictions, all of that conventional wisdom, is based on the same logical flaw: that the reality of today is the reality of tomorrow. But politics is a fluid thing. Governments get old. New leaders -- think of David Peterson and Mike Harris in Ontario, Lucien Bouchard in Quebec, Stephen Harper in Ottawa -- move from the edge of the stage to the centre and change the entire show.

The Liberals will be back, just as, someday, the Tories will be written off again and will make their own comeback.

There are a few little foundation stones being laid now for the next upheaval. The cancellation of party subsidies will require the Liberals to rebuild a grassroots movement to raise money or die. As well, the Liberals now have time to finish cleaning out the people involved in Adscam. And, finally, Stephen Harper, with his majority, must wear the next economic downturn and the collapse of the Canadian housing bubble, which will certainly occur during this mandate. He will no longer be able to blame minority government for his troubles.

Until then, we'll keep seeing obits for the living. And the list of premature 'always' and 'nevers' will continue to grow.

 
Many people in the mainstream media tried to ignore the problem of the walking undead. This, even though that at least one party leader, a self-admitted eastern European count, was literally coming ...
Many people in the mainstream media tried to ignore the problem of the walking undead. This, even though that at least one party leader, a self-admitted eastern European count, was literally coming ...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 10
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
05:01 PM on 06/02/2011
"And, finally, Stephen Harper, with his majority, must wear the next economic downturn and the collapse of the Canadian housing bubble, which will certainly occur during this mandate."

With the recent tightening of mortgage rules, a catastroph­ic collapse of housing prices may have been avoided. And so far as economic downturns, well those are usually internatio­nal phenomana which most Canadians do not blame their government­s for.
11:18 PM on 06/01/2011
To get a representational government in Canada would take a political tour-De-force by the political leaders of the NDP and Liberal Party to unite the "near-left". The idea of a center right Liberal party regaining political power in a liberal Canada is unlikely; why not a new big-tent party?

Actually it's probably time time for Canada to look at a system of proportional representation. Senate reform could work. Perhaps a proportionally appointed senate would be the ticket. Each party would get to appoint senators every four years on the basis of its showing in the elections!
11:12 PM on 06/01/2011
If Harper is an American aerospace robot, wouldn't he be pulled together by the engineers at Lockheed Martin who design and manufacture the F35 JSF?
Regardless, there are a number of home-grown defence/aerospace companies that would have filled this throw-away analogy.
09:02 PM on 06/01/2011
And the new 'Everybody knows' is that the NDP will never form government. My bet is that's the next political certainty with a impending sell by date. Instead of becoming the new Quebec centric Bloc as suggested here I think they could end up being the catalyst to reintegrate Quebec into Canada.

The NDP has been trending upward all over the country every election for years, not just Quebec. They became the government of Nova Scotia and will sooner rather than later be the governments of BC and Saskatchewan again which will boost the federal party in the west again. Remember the NDP used to be the stereotypical Western Party founded in Calgary and virtually the natural governing party of BC and Saskatchewan.

They are positioned as the best possible chance of making Qubeckers feel like Canadians again, and forming government in the process.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
GuyCybershy
06:57 PM on 06/01/2011
The opposition will drift from irrelevance into oblivion as the Canadian economy soars into a new golden age.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Gonefishing
02:48 PM on 06/01/2011
Canada is becoming more and more Balkanised with geo-centric issues driving the vote. I really don't see the Liberals becoming relevent outside of Toronto in the near future. The NDP will morph into the Bloc with the Greens eventually replacing the NDP in the west. As economic power shifts from Toronto to the resource rich west so will the power to politically govern.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
valar84
10:55 AM on 06/01/2011
"And, since Quebeckers either voted for separatists or for parties that could dispense patronage, the NDP did not have a hope."

So that's the opinion that Canadians have of Québécois voters? They're either "traitors" or are merely shopping around for patronage?

Canadians really are schizophrenic when it comes to Québec, on one hand, they keep claiming that they love Québec and that their Canada includes Québec, on the other, they propagate the worst stereotypes on Québec and its people: they're lazy, ethnocentric, arrogant, corrupt, greedy, etc... Whenever I start thinking that maybe Québec could prosper and be respected inside Canada, I fall on comments like these which just encourage me further to vote YES next thing a referendum comes around.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
01:35 PM on 06/01/2011
Sure... its the anglos, Jews, and immigrants that are the problem not the Quebecois. You remember who said that, right?
It was the FLQ radicals that killed Quebec Ministers, you remember that too, right?
Its Montreal which is run by corruption and the mafia, not Toronto.
So before you strat throwing the blame at everyone else, its time the Quebecois take a long hard look at themselves.
And I say this as an allophone myself, not an anglo that you can fall back on "We Remember the Fields of Abraham" crap.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
MJinCanada
Safe from zombies until my 2nd cup of coffee
10:25 AM on 06/01/2011
Political pundits tend to forget that there are real people out there judging the politicians. The pundits and journalisms may follow the politicians like a yelping pack of mutts after a butcher shop van, but the rest of us are a very mixed bag of needs, wants and opinions.
09:01 AM on 06/01/2011
Leadership takes Courage and Conviction to Voice views that are contrary to Public Opinion.

Canadian Politicians lead by Polls. There is always a Private Agenda.

Leadership Challenges the Population to Grow in all aspects of their Private Lives.

Canadian Politicians should be ashamed of themselves, but it seems that Shame and Personal Honour have taken a backseat to Partisan Politics and Spin.