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Martin Lavoie

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Canada Should Trade Some White Collars for Blue

Posted: 05/25/2012 6:07 pm

While the decline of the Canadian manufacturing sector has accelerated in the past decade, the drop in employment has been a much longer trend.

Since the mid-1980s, manufacturing's share of the job market has sloped progressively downward, due to a combination of various domestic and international factors, such as outpaced productivity, the growth of low-cost manufacturing countries with large domestic markets, the rapid appreciation of the Loonie and a general business taxation regime that was by-and-large uncompetitive until the early- to mid-2000s. As a result, manufacturing was labeled by many as an "old industry" that should be abandoned for more promising areas of the Canadian economy.

Those pundits were dead wrong. Rewind to December 13, 2004: That was the date Canadian import tariffs on textile products were dropped to zero per cent. "We are free-traders," said the politicians of the day. "We are an exporting country -- we have to open our borders." The very same day, seven textile manufacturing plants in Huntingdon, Quebec, shut down, directly costing roughly 800 workers their jobs in a community of only 2,600 people.

At the scale of a province or country, this would have been a national catastrophe. At the scale of Huntingdon, it was merely the reflection of the new economy -- at least according to the media. But they, too, were wrong. The Huntingdon case was just another example of our own collective choice to let manufacturing down in this country.

Today, many of the talking heads argue that while manufacturing is still an important part of Canada's economy, it does not deserve any particular attention or support from government. In other words, what happened in Huntingdon could simply repeat itself in any other manufacturing sub-sector, and we should not intervene. Again, wrong.

Parallel to the decline in employment in manufacturing over the last quarter century, we have witnessed a number of other disturbing trends. For example, income inequality -- the gap between the wealthiest and the poorest -- has sharply increased. The key year here is 1982, when the growth of personal revenues came to a screeching halt. In sociology, income inequality gaps are seen as precursors of major revolutions, because they propel individuals with lower incomes to define their interests in opposition to those in upper economic classes.

In Canada, however, the gap in income inequality has not had the impact like in other countries for one reason, and one reason only: Today, compared to 25 years ago, women are fully participating in the labour market. When I was younger (I am now 34), one manufacturing job allowed any family of four to live well, access a middle-class quality of life, to buy middle-class bungalows in middle-class neighbourhoods and to send their kids to public schools full of thousands of middle-class kids.

The overall slowdown in manufacturing has shifted jobs into the services sector, which, on average, pay 20 per cent less than jobs in manufacturing. In the lives of everyday Canadians, this means that both parents must now work to maintain the same quality of life.

Another factor complicating the income inequality gap is the high dropout rate amongst high school students. A recent investigative report by a Montreal-based newspaper discovered that in some poor neighbourhoods of Montreal, one out of every two male students don't graduate. According to Statistics Canada meanwhile, nearly one in four dropouts in the labour market could not find a job during the 2008-09 economic downturn.

In the past, this major problem was offset by a strong manufacturing sector which employed thousands of people with not much education, while offering wages that allowed them to access middle-class amenities. Today, they end up in the services sector, where wages are lower.

While it is true the dropout rate has declined in the past few decades, there are still close to 200,000 Canadians aged between 20 and 24 who have not completed their high school education. In the early 90s, there were almost 400,000. Today, those 400,000 are still relatively young (in their early- to mid-40s) and are available to work. Unfortunately, with little education, many of those individuals are competing for jobs in the services sector that pay low, sometimes minimum wage.

We've all heard the message time and time again: We need to send more people to colleges and universities, and ensure our country is well-educated. This is great in theory; after all, no one is against apple pie. The reality is that we can't flip a switch and guarantee everyone has a university degree in 10 years -- but that's not necessarily a bad thing, either. China has not grown a middle-class larger than the entire population of the United Sates by sending them to university. They were smarter -- they developed their manufacturing sector.

It's no secret: The income inequality gap, the shrinking middle class -- all of this strongly relates to our education gap. It always has. And sectors such as manufacturing no longer offset the adverse effects. Sure, part of the blame can be placed on circumstances beyond our control -- the rise of the BRIC economies, globalization, open borders -- but the dismal truth is that we ourselves are at fault. When we had the chance, we systemically refused to support manufacturing.

Always remember December 13, 2004.

This blog originally appeared in 20/20 Magazine.

 
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02:33 PM on 05/28/2012
A nice article. Ask anyone over a certain, mildly embarrassing age how much spending power they have today over, let's say, the late seventies, and they will say the same thing: one quarter. For you youngsters out there, that means multiply whatever you made in your dumb service job last year by three, and imagine that pushed through your mail slot in a bulging envelope of cash. Yup, that's right: TENS of thousands of dollars.Hard to believe, but very, very true.That's the difference between living and working then and now.

Unfortunately, however, it will take more than an upsurge in manufacturing to restore that level of prosperity. The prevailing social attitude of the post war period was progressive and egalitarian. Today it is vicious, dictatorial, and coercive. Nothing will change until that does.
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Jill Press
12:20 PM on 05/28/2012
Perhaps it's time to differentiate between college and vocational school.

Perhaps we should recognize college as a place for students to learn critical thinking, explore ideas and areas of study they had never before considered, indulge their curiosity in their favorite academic disciplines, and prove they can write an analytical paper clearly, rigorously, and on schedule.

Good vocational training can provide a valuable education of a different nature, giving students specific skills that will make them productive workers.

Both college and vocational training can boost the manufacturing sector by supplying people who know how to do a job, and can imagine and create improvements and innovations.
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Lou on Vancouver Island
Allin, Lou: Mystery Author
10:43 AM on 05/28/2012
So true! You can have too much education or the wrong kind. I was churned out of a PhD in English program at Ohio University in 1975 (GPA 3.95) the very year that universities had hired every prof they would need until the yea 2000! Virtually nobody in my class got a teaching job. I sent 800 resumes and individually typed job letters with only one interview. I was flexible enough, and had retained my Canadian citizenship, so I got on at a community college in N Ontario, which trained students in more practical studies like technology or health care. The only students with an unrealistic attitude were those in business who wanted to "manage" a concern someone else had started. A system like Europe which allies trades and training sounds great to me. Give me a plumber or electrician or mechanic any day. Too bad for Christopher Marlowe's Tamburlaine.
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cityprole
old,sly, crafty,arty, leftie
07:57 PM on 05/27/2012
Please, while we are training the new generation for good paying stable blue collar jobs, can we please export some of the white-collar types just hanging around these days and draining what's left of Canada's dignity and self-respect..I'm referring to the entire Conservative portion of Parliament, not to mention the (so-called) Liberals here in BC...I'd call that a trade worthy of the late lamented Sam Pollack...
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03:07 PM on 05/26/2012
Dutch disease is totally destroying any possibility of creating manufacturing jobs here in Canada thanks to the party in charge and its "economist" leader.
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Colin Speth
A Claymore for your thoughts
04:49 PM on 05/27/2012
Of course it's Harpers fault. I mean Ontario's economy has been managed so well with the millions of green jobs and all.
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Glass Cannon
Let every eye negotiate for itself.
12:06 PM on 05/26/2012
I've advised my son to get trade. When my desk job got shipped to India my degree stopped being of use. Now I work in marketing, Chinese goods to Canadian companies mostly. An unsustainable model.

I know teachers working for printing companies, psychologists stocking shelves, and a chemist who takes wedding photos for a living. The list goes on. But my brothers, an electrician and a construction project manager earn more than any of the "white" collar types and have more stability financially and in their homes too.
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albertarick
These are questions for wise men with skinny arms
01:51 PM on 05/27/2012
Now that the temporary foreign worker program has been revamped, your brothers and all trades will be taking wage rollbacks. What business will pay 15% more for the same work. if they can bring in a foreigner to do it for less. Unfortunately the unsustainable models seem to be the only ones that this governnent and our business leaders can come up with. If we are going to avoid the pitfalls of globalization we need real leaders that will look out for the interests of the majority.
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09:37 AM on 05/26/2012
Ok, then you first. Why are you creating policy than working in the factory? Did you go to school? Did your kids? Are you training them for the white collar when, as you say, we require more blue?
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05:59 PM on 05/27/2012
No, he isn't planning on HIS kids working in the factory, AND, DON'T expect HIM to do that EITHER.
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01:26 AM on 05/28/2012
Why should anyone in this country?
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07:15 PM on 05/25/2012
Is Canada making the same mistake as the US and exporting raw materials and natural resources to Asia and importing the manufactured products from them?

How very stupid of us.
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01:27 AM on 05/28/2012
Whatever you think of the tar sands, think of the money we could be making if we actually refined it ourselves.
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09:18 PM on 05/29/2012
Yes.   Canadians, like the USA, have a "manufacturing" deficit compared to their past, so, you'd think the Canadians would consider building refineries in Canada.   -- but, perhaps, for their own citizens' concerns about their environment?
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Lou on Vancouver Island
Allin, Lou: Mystery Author
10:46 AM on 05/28/2012
Better believe it! Fifty logging trucks a day go by my home on Vancouver Island. Shipped off RAW on huge boats heading for the Pacific. No value added. Clearcuts to the end of time on the south coast circle route. Many of these logs are only 10 years old....babies...but the Chinese turn them into some kind of building product. As for replanting, I have yet to see any.
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09:21 PM on 05/29/2012
Yes, that awful looking faux-wood-look plastic covered, chopped wood product furniture usually sold in the "cheap" stores  (Walmart, K Mart, Big Lots, Family General, Dollar General, Freds, etc. here in SE USA.) and in some not so cheap, too.