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Why This Could Be Elizabeth May's Heyday

Posted: 06/22/2012 3:49 pm

Elizabeth May has rightly earned kudos for her performance in the recent federal legislative session against the "Trojan Horse" budget bill.

But, in addition to Parliamentary smarts, in an electoral context she has the power to change the game entirely. As the leader of Canada's fourth party -- or fifth if you count the Bloc -- her power lies not in her ability to run candidates, but rather in her ability not to.

Canada's progressive vote remains fatally divided. Anyone thinking the federal NDP will simply eclipse the Liberals hasn't spent enough time in Ontario's suburbs -- the linchpin of Harper's majority and a place where the NDP brand does badly. This is why Harper cares less for national polls, but also why he goes ballistic whenever there's a whiff of a "coalition" -- the true threat to his power.

Nathan Cullen made a popular run at this issue in his leadership bid, and Bob Rae now says it's up to the next Liberal leader.

While NDP and Liberal party officials wrap their heads around the math, Elizabeth could decide to emerge as chief broker. She could not only voluntarily decide to split the progressive vote in fewer ways in ridings that will be close races by not running candidates there, but could even go one step further and send voters who want to defeat Harper a strong signal by endorsing candidates from other progressive parties, particularly individuals that hold values similar to those of the Green Party.

This might be heresy to party purists, but hold the outrage for a minute and consider other factors.

First, the Green Party's breakthrough in winning a seat last year came when it decided to concentrate resources on a winnable riding. The lessons of this strategy still hold true, meaning that the Greens could mount meaningful efforts with a view to winning in only a handful more ridings in 2015. This leaves open other strategies in other ridings.

Second, when Harper did away with the per vote subsidy, he took away the financial incentive to run a Green candidate in every riding in order to maximize the financial payoff. For a small party like the Greens, it is very challenging to field 308 -- and soon to be 338 -- quality candidates in an election. Now that the financial incentive is gone, it's better to focus both good candidates and scarce bandwidth on fewer races.

Third, in every election there are various efforts by third parties to endorse and support the strongest progressive challenger to beat the Conservative candidate in various ridings, so why shouldn't the Green Party harness this energy and become the main go-to place where it takes place? It could even become the fiscal agent for those willing to donate to that strategy, and organize volunteers who want to do that. This would be tapping directly into the same enthusiasm that Nathan Cullen did.

If Elizabeth announced tomorrow that the Green Party will only run in x number of ridings in 2015 and is willing to talk to other parties about where those candidates run, it wouldn't take long for the other parties to come to her to begin to talk, even if was quietly. She could also make known that endorsements could be in the works if other parties identify and run candidates who have similar values to the Green Party.

Would this result in reciprocity from the other parties, like she achieved in one riding with Stephan Dion? Perhaps. But, even if not, it would still be more than worth it. For the reasons laid out above, this could be the Green Party's strongest play regardless, and would position Elizabeth as the de facto broker of progressive forces in Canada, cementing her role as a pivotal leader.

Meanwhile, it would also help push along the math vs. tribalism debate that is hobbling a progressive alternative in Canada, one that is desperately needed as our country and our planet are increasingly eroded, against the will of the majority of Canadians.

 
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06:47 AM on 06/27/2012
E May took a lot of the Con vote in this riding. She worked for Mulroney for seven years. She is a Conservative with green ideas. Think about it, where does a green CON go? There is no room for them in their party, so you make your own. The Greenies are such a mash-up of different people, it cannot possibly go anywhere. As soon as they are taken seriously, the infighting begins. It already did before Lizzie took to the west and tried to leave some demons behind.
I live in her riding and believe me, she is a hypnotist no doubt, but people here are coming to their senses over the fact that she is an island unto herself.
If she really cared about the environment she would work with another party that holds more influence to make changes necessary to protect Mother Earth.
01:41 PM on 06/25/2012
How about a Green-NDP-Liberal coalition with Ms. May as leader/PM?
Makes as much sense as the Reform-Alliance-PC merger.
04:09 PM on 06/24/2012
Why would a citizen of France, and a U.S. citizen want to change Canada's constituent parliamentary democracy into a presidential autocracy like their motherland of choice? Why does the American, and Frenchman want to export trillions of litres of Canadian freshwater reserves to their preferred countries of choice in the form of refined Canadian oil? Do they want Canadians to pay higher electricity rates in order to supply Total Fina, and ExxonMobil with the billions of megawatts of electricity needed to refine crude oil for free? Do they want Canadians to have 24/7 trucks and railcars full of refined toxic chemicals traveling through our backyards eroding the infrastructure we pay for, whilst spewing megatonnes of deadly pollution we breathe, and eat? Why do these foreign government agents stay quiet and say nothing about the tens of thousands of square kilometers of Boreal Forest flooded in Quebec releasing 12% of Canada's greenhouse gases, and washing tons of poisonous methyl mercury into our food chain? Why not tell about Ontario and Quebec creating 80% of Canada's agricultural pollution, and tons of antibiotics washed into our drinking water? Why not tell us millions of new trees are being being planted in Alberta after mines are reclaimed, or about permafrost methane to support 8 billion people for 2,000 years? Why suppress the fact crude oil is biodegradable decomposing organic hydrocarbons? Do they need more taxes to travel to Paris, or Washington to receive their medals of deceit?
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lilkitten22
Be the change that you wish to see in the world
01:01 PM on 06/24/2012
Elizabeth May seems like a great politician, she seems like she cares, which is rare. If she was a part of a different party, I think she would have been PM by now.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Tyler Austin
Women = people. Corperations ≠ people.
10:28 AM on 06/24/2012
NDP-Green-Liberal electoral ceasefire for a session of parliment. In tis super majority everything is a free vote except confidence motions of which the only one will be voter reform so we're never stuck with a 30% majority and a stacked Senate and a pair of proagations ever again!
TheRenaissanceMan
A starry-eyed idealist with too much time
10:45 PM on 06/23/2012
Elizabeth May: support the joint nomination meetings and then after 2015 when electoral reform is enacted you will have freer range to do what you want and you will undoubtedly get more seats in the long run.
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FreeProud
05:54 PM on 06/23/2012
I wish Elizabeth would run for the Liberal leadership, she is exactly what they need and they could give 'greens' the power to actually do something.
11:08 PM on 06/22/2012
She has been very impressive. I used to think of a vote for the greens about the same as spoiling your ballot. Now I seriously wonder how one can vote for her without splitting the vote and letting a con win.
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Tyler Austin
Women = people. Corperations ≠ people.
10:31 AM on 06/24/2012
Thats just it though, nail o nthe head. In our fptp electoral sytem a vote for her is only a vote for the Green in the area which makes the Conservative guy laugh. :/
07:18 PM on 06/22/2012
Elizabeth May does not have the power to do this. This would have to be approved by Green Party members. I agree with the Nathan Cullen view on this. Work together, get Harper out, and get proportional representation in place. Get the 9.4 million eligible who did not vote to become citizens. Get the 18-24s engaged and voting.
05:21 PM on 06/22/2012
You forget that the Green Party is a grassroots party, and any effort to not run candidates would need to be approved by the members.
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Gnomish
ego doctus ignarus
08:56 PM on 06/22/2012
Green party infighting is famous so I won't hold my breath.