The U.S. military has targets picked out in Syria and President Obama is trying to convince Congress that America needs to intervene. If the U.S. does go ahead with tactical strikes against the Assad regime, oil markets will be caught in the middle. Any significant reduction in exports will be felt in the rest of the world.
Everyone sees Obama's decision to stop the Keystone XL pipeline exactly for what it is: an attempt to save his own career. Having failed to impress swing voters with his economic performance, the president has been forced to capitulate to the extreme environmentalist lobby to fund and redeem his re-election bid.
The IEA warned that unless OPEC could increase production by at least 1.5 million barrels a day, world oil demand is going to surpass available supply during the second half of the year. If there is not enough supply to match the global economy's consumption, world oil prices have only one direction to go.