The certainty of Clinton success is brought into question when we accept the fact that Clinton and Trump were virtually tied in polls towards the end of May. In what has been possibly the worst month a presumptive nominee could have, we see Trump still within five per cent of Clinton nationally, and still very competitive in key battleground states.
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I noticed a man checking his iPhone ahead of me and reading aloud GOP candidates poll numbers for Trump, Cruz and Kasich to what appeared to be his father and mother. Was that a look of glee I spotted that Trump was number one?" I whispered to my friend same. "Oh no. Don't go there."
Thirty per cent of Canadian voters (over 5 million) have little to no partisan attachment. By comparison, only eight per cent of U.S. voters swing their party support, and thus the elections. A large non-partisan voting bloc explains the 2015 shift from orange to red, where in a span of three weeks, 1.4 million voters changed their mind from NDP to Liberal. This provides the perfect environment for strategic voting to swing elections. After four years of a majority Conservative government elected against the will of 61 per cent of Canadians, strategic voters became a major voice in this election.
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OTTAWA - According to the polls, a four-decade political dynasty could be toppled when Albertans visit the ballot box on Tuesday.According to the polls, a province that is emblematic of rock-ribbed Ca...
The bad news is we perceive bullying to be more prolific than it was when we were young. The good news is we seem to be more aware and less tolerant of its destructive effects. We're split on how effectively our schools are dealing with the problem, to be sure. But the conversations are more open; the subject less beguiling.
What does it say about Canada that two of the most popular things in the country right now are the Quebec Charter of Values and Rob Ford? We're continuously told these things are, in fact, grossly unpopular. But if the polls are to be believed, both actually enjoy a larger, stabler base of loyalists than many of the people doing the loudest scolding.
We have all heard of that Jurassic era when gigantic and fierce vertebrate creatures were ruling the world. The laws of evolution being what they are, no living soul has ever seen dinosaurs. They none...
In the modern world of reporting news before it happens, conservative bloggers are already writing Mitt Romney's political obituary. Conservatism in the USA will face an unprecedented crisis. It is no longer a proud animal; it is a fearful one.
Polling is a long haul game. Jitters of points inside margins of errors don't showcase who has different levels of support or who is the newest front runner in the media past time of political horse races.
While we've been excited to see what Kate Middleton has been wearing in the lead-up to the London 2012 summer games, the anticipation of fashions we'd see at the opening ceremony itself has been equal...
As another poll pegs NDP and Tory support at almost dead even, the dividing line between supporters of the government and supporters of the opposition is becoming clearer. A new Ipsos-Reid poll for t...
Things are looking up for the Liberals. Though still trailing the New Democrats by a margin of four to seven points in the race for second place, Liberal support is on an upward trajectory according t...
OTTAWA - What if there had been no public opinion polls published during last spring's federal election campaign?Would the NDP's orange wave have swept across the country if no one realized there was...
Jason Lietaer (PC): A lot is still up for grabs in this election: Will the NDP be able to match the growth seen in the last three weeks of the federal campaign? Will Dalton McGuinty begin to beat back a prospective vote-stealing NDP surge? The pre-game is ending. Now the real match begins.