PREDICTION

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Why Nobody Predicted Trump Or Brexit

Big Data and artificial general intelligence companies, the new darlings of Silicon Valley and organizations concerned with international security, should pay heed to what has happened this year. The Brexit vote proved that assumptions of fact, the springboard for all deductive or inductive reasoning-- are heavily prone to human error.
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Election Polls Don't Tell the Whole Story

The 2015 federal election is awash with so-called information: left, right and centre. Partisans can find a poll to match almost any desired electoral outcome. This election is being defined by national trendlines. It's not healthy for democracy. The number of minutes wasted and columns spilled in earnest of polling results that are literally worth as much as the media paid for them: nothing.
Alamy

Will the U.S. Pull us All Over its Fiscal Cliff?

The U.S. economy is careening toward the so-called fiscal cliff at a frightening pace, and it's creating a lot of concern. Will political sclerosis drive America -- and the world -- to the precipice? If it did, it would be a shame. Consumers are spending at a rapid clip. Housing markets have turned the corner. Is the present whiff of recovery incentive for action?
PC

If Quebec's Election Was a Carnival, Charest Would Be in the Dunk Tank

Over the course of the Quebec election, every time Jean Charest thought he was changing the conversation to Medicare or Le Plan Nord, the CAQ's Jacques Duchesneau would make another accusation and grab the headlines. But last week many thought the ex-police chief went too far. Duchesneau said he had a list of Charest's cabinet ministers who had accepted favours from a construction baron named Tony Accurso. Charest demanded the ex -cop supply names. The ex-cop played coy and refused. How could Charest possibly defend himself and his party against that kind of slander?
AP

Will The NHL Be Locked-Out This Year?

Representatives from the NHLPA and the NHL have been deadlocked in negotiations over the last few weeks. Not even the glitz of the league's biggest stars have been able to sway Gary Bettman. The leagu...
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Who Will Win The Quebec Election

Quebec's 2012 election has been called for Sept. 4. The race is expected to be a battle between Jean Charest's ruling Liberals and the Parti Québécois, though François Legault's CAQ could upset things...