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Harper's Stance on Iran? A Political Checkmate

Posted: 09/13/2012 12:41 pm

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Many commentators were surprised and puzzled when the Canadian government closed its embassy in Iran last week, as Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird included no new information to give a solid reason for doing so. In fact, in his list of reasons for shutting the Canadian Embassy in Iran and expelling Iranian ambassadors from Canada, Baird did not include two obvious ones: the murder and cover-up of Canadian-Iranian photographer Zahra Kazemi in 2003 and the suspected spying operations against Canadian-Iranian citizens out of the Iranian mission office in Ottawa.

What does it matter, you ask? It matters because if you examine the context of relations between Canada and Israel, coupled with the currently strained relations between the United States and Israel, you will see why this move by the Canadian government is not at all the morally righteous act it's being cloaked in, but a purely political one.

As a means of gaining political favour with Jewish voters in Canada, Prime Minister Steven Harper has made it his mission through some very calculated actions to be seen as the ultimate champion of Israel. The Harper government has made no bones about wanting to have closer relations with Israel, going so far as to call Israel's war against Lebanon in 2006 "measured" and drafting a "Canadian resolution" giving Israel Canada's full support in that war.

In 2009 the Conservatives were papering competitive ridings with flyers which practically declared that Liberals were anti-semitic. The Harper government doesn't shy away from labelling people as anti-semites when they criticize Israeli government policy, making it increasingly difficult for anyone to be critical of anything the Israeli government does. In 2011 at the G8 summit in Deauville, France, U.S. President Barack Obama led the charge to present a unified western front in the name of Middle East peace. Prime Minister Harper stood alone in refusing to agree on a return to Israel's 1967 borders, scuttling any hopes of reaching a consensus.

The question we must ask is, why now? If you have paid attention to relations between the United States and Israel, especially this year, you would have noted the increased hostility between the administration of President Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Near the end of August, there was a significant blow up between Netanyahu and the U.S. ambassador to Israel because the Obama administration wouldn't take a firm stance that all options were on the table when considering actions against Iran. It's a safe bet that Harper noticed this and decided this was his time to take a firm stand against the rogue state of Iran, curry favor with Israel, gain Prime Minister Netanyahu's praise (as he did), and reap the political rewards back home.

Harper's calculation is that in this election year, Obama isn't going to do anything to upset the many in his base that are anti-war and anti-military. Harper is also taking into account that should Republican challenger Mitt Romney win, there will be an even harder stance against Iran, which will make Harper's current stance look practically clairvoyant. Either way, he can't lose.

In summary, the actions discussed are sudden only to us observers on the outside. These kinds of political machinations happen often, especially in a government that knows it holds a tenuous grip on targeted voters in Canada. What better way to crank up the domestic sentiment than to thumb your nose at an entire country that a large portion of your constituency is hostile towards, while other western leaders are left scratching their collective heads?

 

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Many commentators were surprised and puzzled when the Canadian government closed its embassy in Iran last week, as Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird included no new information to give a solid re...
Many commentators were surprised and puzzled when the Canadian government closed its embassy in Iran last week, as Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird included no new information to give a solid re...
 
 
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Gnomish
ego doctus ignarus
06:42 PM on 09/13/2012
Closing an embassy at a time of impending war is a stupid thing to do.Even more so if your reasons are purely political.

Unprecedented means exactly that! This is NOT common at all.
06:16 PM on 09/13/2012
"political machinations"???
Hmmm?
No.
Just another volcanic blunder from a man whose credentials limit his grasp of reality to the rewards to be reaped from manipulated voting blocks. Harper will never, ever find the wealth he seeks.
05:05 PM on 09/13/2012
Mr Harper wants to lead the mouse that roared, a small country seen to be a big player on the world stage. He seems to be doing this without regard for the directions of our allies as pointed out in this article.This seems to be a huge gamble on his part as the actions Israel may take in the middle east and how they have acted in the past are not popular across all conservative voters. As a matter of fact this will most likely be his largest blunder so far, once he defines a unconditional relationship with Israel there is no going back. Just ask the Republicans who probably could have helped solve the issues long ago if not for blind commitments.
03:27 PM on 09/13/2012
Good article!
02:40 PM on 09/13/2012
I agree with Mr. Painter's stance on this issue. Harper is playing pure politics as usual. Sometimes I wonder if Harper would sanction WW3 openly if he thought he could get votes.

I fear for the future.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
colpy
01:51 PM on 09/13/2012
Rarely have I read anything so ridiculous as this article.

According to the author, Harper has thumbed his nose at the USA, and closed ranks with Israel over Iran, merely as a political move to gain the Jewish vote.

Do the math. There are 375,000 Jews in Canada, many of whom are very liberal. That population is not growing quickly.

There are 1.1 million Muslims in Canada, 3.3% of the population......and growing fast, expected to be 4.1 % of the population by 2017.

Harper is acting in the best interests of our diplomats, ans Canadian security, and from a position of principle.

The idea that this is a political move to gain votes is absolutely ridiculous......
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Ryan L Painter
Activist, friend to labour, blogger, progressive
08:04 PM on 09/13/2012
Appreciate your thoughts. The "nose thumbing" is happening towards Iran, not the USA, as a point of clarification.
01:26 PM on 09/13/2012
Is there anything this Prime Minister does not to gain political advantage.
Thelonius
Lived in Middle East for
12:17 PM on 09/13/2012
Excellent comment.

To raise an obvious question:
Both Russia and China have prevented the UN Security Council from censuring Syria's government. Russia has also been and remains the Assad regime's main source of arms and is also supplying military advisors (Associated Press, September 7/12)

Bearing in mind its condemnation of Iran for allegedly supplying Syria with arms, is the next step in the Harper government's bizarre behaviour the closure of Canada's embassies in Moscow and Beijing, the withdrawal of Canadian diplomats and the expulsion of Chinese and Russian diplomats from Ottawa?

It’s important to note that Ken Taylor, Canada's ambassador to Iran during the 1979 hostage crisis, criticized the Harper government for cutting off diplomatic relations with Iran and is mystified why it was done.

Of course, those who keep abreast of the Harper government’s Middle East policy have no doubt that PM Harper and Foreign Minister Baird did so as dedicated servanta of Israel and at the request of Israel's PM Netanyahu whose warmongering has isolated Israel from most of the world and soured its relations with Washington.