Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Zach Paikin

GET UPDATES FROM Zach Paikin
 

What the Drummond Report Didn't Tell Us

Posted: 02/16/2012 8:01 am

2012-02-16-1297236600379_ORIGINAL.jpg

The much-anticipated Drummond Report has been released, with the biggest conclusion being that unless public spending is radically curbed, Ontario's deficit will balloon to $30.2 billion by 2017-18. Dalton McGuinty's Liberal government maintains that it will balance the books by that same fiscal year.

The report's recommendations will require the Grits to make some very difficult choices. At a critical time in the province's history, the expenditure-related challenge lies in finding the appropriate balance between reducing spending on unsustainable programs and investing appropriately in long-term initiatives.

Yet an additional challenge lies in finding creative ways to increase revenue for the government. Don Drummond was told for his report to exclude tax increases as an option for fixing the province's finances.

Some of the report's suggestions appear frankly unachievable -- such as capping annual health care spending increases at 2.5 per cent, down from the 6.3 per cent average over the past five years -- simply due to the sheer demographic shift that is to take place over the years and decades ahead. While the feds can easily cut transfers to the provinces, the latter has the responsibility to deliver many of these services.

Others appear difficult due to potential public backlash. For instance, the government has already announced that it will not back down from full-day kindergarten for fear of breaking another election promise, despite Drummond saying that scrapping the program should be considered.

There is a silver lining however that goes beyond finding ways to get a better bang for our public buck. There are certain courses of action not outlined in Drummond's report that could help achieve long-term fiscal stability and redefine the way a Canadian province interacts with the rest of the federation and with the world. Just a couple of ideas:

First off, tax reform. Not just simplifying the tax code, but fundamentally altering the balance of taxation in the province. A phased plan to reduce income and corporate taxes could be paired with significant increases in consumption taxes and with the introduction of a carbon tax. The result in absolute terms would not be a tax increase, but additional revenue for the government.

The corporate tax system costs a significant amount simply to operate, and the revenue generated from it is unreliable. Premier McGuinty, who has already laudably reduced taxation on business transaction, could try something bold -- a sweeping plan to phase out corporate taxes altogether in order to attract businesses from across the world to Ontario, create jobs, and get people spending money in the province.

The newly-introduced carbon tax would contribute to environmental sustainability while the increased HST would ensure economic sustainability, the revenue from which could pay down debt and address economic inequality.

Second, hike energy prices then push for a common energy zone in North America to keep the rate stable over the long term. Such a move would be unpopular, and hence the government would need to focus its messaging on the tax reductions outlined above.

High energy prices should be embraced, as we already live beyond our means. They'll encourage conservation, help the government acquire much needed revenue and hence allow us to focus on the longer-term questions: How does Canada become a true energy superpower? How do we become energy independent as a nation? How can the provinces work together to achieve for Canada a more prominent role than the one our country currently enjoys?

These questions are important ones -- some more difficult to answer than others. But the answer will determine whether Ontario and the rest of Canada can develop an economy that encourages making (i.e. creating wealth) more than it does taking (i.e. from the government).

Oh, and while we're at it, one more piece of advice to Queen's Park from someone who grew up in Toronto and had to deal with self-entitled, well-paid, unionized bus drivers and ticket collectors on a daily basis -- privatize the TTC.

 

Follow Zach Paikin on Twitter: www.twitter.com/@zpaikin

 
 
  • Comments
  • 14
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
05:53 PM on 02/21/2012
We have been consistently reducing corporate taxes for a decade, and Ontario is now one of the lowest corporate-ta jurisdictions in the region. This has NOT resulted in increased corporate investment.

Further with deeper cuts or - incredibly - complete elimination of corporate taxes will ONLY succeed in reducing those tax revenues further. It has not before and will not this time result in a trickle-down of wealth creating corporate investment.

It sounds nice as a theory, but ten years of macroeconomic data say it is tried and FAILED. Doubling down is terrible advice.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
11:32 AM on 02/19/2012
Carbon tax? McGuinty already takes 14.7 cents/ litre and the 8% portion of the HST on EVERY litre of gas sold. And please don't insult my intelligence that this all goes for roads.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
LawTalkingGuy
Rational human male.
05:54 PM on 02/21/2012
Yes, obviously we get our tens of thousands of kilometers of roads for free, and clear them of snow for free, and light them for free, and police them for free... Did you even think for a second before typing that?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
canuckistaneh
Science!
01:22 AM on 02/18/2012
The problem with lowering or eliminating corp taxes is that fewer people benefit form the lower taxes. The extra profits do not trickle down to the average person, but build up portfolios of a few. Hst etc are consumption taxes which hinders the avg person. It would be fairer to increase. income tax and corp tax and therefore contribute to society in a more positive way.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mike vdB
Get involved, always question, don't just exist.
08:12 AM on 02/17/2012
Zach, go back to the drawing board and come up with something productive.
04:43 PM on 02/16/2012
Zach wants to reduce the personal and corporate taxes of the wealthy and make middle and low income families bear the cost of running the country. He proposes layering tax on top of tax for the majority of the population that can little afford more increases in their cost of living. Corporations world wide are paying little or no taxes and the majority of the population end up stuck with the total bills. It's time for a party that really is 'for the people' instead of for the wealthy. Zach could do with a reality check if he thinks his proposals are where the majority of voters are at.
04:41 PM on 02/16/2012
This is absolutely ridiculous, why do they let you post on this website? Has lowered corporate taxes meant more jobs for the United States or here? No they have not. We are bleeding manufacturing jobs at alarming rates. Lets put a heavier burden on the middle and lower classes. Great idea.
04:17 PM on 02/16/2012
i am all for people in hospital paying a deductible on their meals --same as seniors pay a deductible on prescriptions
04:13 PM on 02/16/2012
Yes, because a VAT like the HST creates economic equality, where lower income families will receive less in their pocket from lowered income tax, but see a much greater bite from buying necessities like food and energy.

As for cutting corporate taxes to nil, lower corporate tax rates were intended to draw businesses to Ontario, but all they did was line the pockets of investors while business tried to strip workers' rights and wages...because we can trust business to do what is right, huh.

Did Tim Hudak hack Paikin's computer and publish this nonsense? Tim, now, you lost the election. Don't try to do an end run by posing as a so-called "Liberal Party Activist"
01:32 PM on 02/16/2012
So at a time when economic inequality is increasing across Canada, and middle class wages are starting to stagnate while corporate profits and CEO pay/bonuses are setting records...your solution is to give corporations and CEOs and the richest minority MORE of a lead by increasing costs/taxes among those who are starting to show signs of struggling?

Are you serious? We are already seeing signs of a shaky and unsustainable economy because of this increasing wealth gap and the decreasing likelihood that people can climb into higher social/economic classes. And the effects of decades of Reaganomic trickle down here in Canada - cut taxes and shrink government spending - are exactly what caused this mess in the first place. To argue that doing MORE of the exact same flawed economic policy will fix the problems is ridiculous.
07:46 PM on 02/16/2012
What we need is a little communism. The state runs everything and employs everyone. Everyone has a job and earns the same amount of money no matter what job they perform or don't perform. You known the communist principle. We pretend to work and they pretend to pay us.
10:47 AM on 02/17/2012
Actually, I literally have no idea what you are talking about as it has absolutely no connection to anything I've said. All you seem to have done is ignore all date and real world evidence supporting my point and instead scream out "COMMUNISM!" as if that is some sort of intelligent and logical rebuttal. You fail to realize that you are trying to rebut reality with McCarthyist ignorance.

If you want to have an honest discussion, I am certianly always happy to oblige. I think open and honest discussion is important to solving problems. I am also more than happy to provide countless links to actual economic data to support my position.

But if all you want to do is protect your partisan ideology from reality, then at least be adult enough to just be open and honest about it.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
04:33 PM on 02/17/2012
Right on!
Problem is, people are sooooooo spoild you can't even talk about it, they do not get it anyway.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
canuckistaneh
Science!
01:30 AM on 02/18/2012
I agree. And this coming from a Liberal? If a conservative from before the 60's and 70's were suddenly transported to the present they would surely think the politicians today had gone insane.