12/22/2011 12:01 EST | Updated 02/21/2012 05:12 EST

Italian official predicts Canada will win 16 medals at 2012 London Games

Canada will bring home 16 medals from the London Olympics and finish 18th in the medal standings, according to an Italian sports official who projects Games results.

Luciano Barra has Canadians winning five gold, two silver and nine bronze in his medal projections based on recent world championships.

"Canada in London will surely do very well because your program 'Own the Podium' is one of the best in the world," Barra said in an email to The Canadian Press. "Still you have to remember that the Summer Games are not like the Winter!"

Still 16 medals would be two less than Canada collected in 2008 in Beijing. The Canadian team won three gold, nine silver and six bronze to finish 19th in the medal standings in China.

Barra, a former senior member of the Italian Olympic Committee, has Canada sandwiched between Hungary in 17th and the Netherlands in 19th in his projected London medal standings.

Barra has China topping the overall and gold medal count with 103 medals — 43 gold, 31 silver and 29 bronze.

He predicts the U.S. will finish second with 82 medals — 35 gold, 19 silver and 28 bronze. He has Russia third with 76 overall — 30, 22 and 24.

Canada won 26 medals at the 2010 Winter Games in Vancouver — 14 gold, seven silver and five bronze — to finish third in total medals behind the No. 1 Americans (37) and Germany (30).