The expectations that have followed Tiger Woods this year are a lot like the fairways at The Olympic Club — up, down, often sideways.
He couldn't close out tournaments the way he once did. He lost his putting stroke. His left Achilles tendon might be more of a problem than he was letting on. He had his worst finish ever at the Masters. He missed a cut.
And in the midst of such a gloomy outlook, Woods won by five shots at Bay Hill and delivered an uppercut fist pump at Memorial when he chipped in for birdie to complete a stunning rally for his second win of the year.
So when the question came up Tuesday at the U.S. Open — whether Woods had to win a major to end such prognosticating — he all but rolled his eyes.
"I think even if I do win a major championship, it will still be, 'You're not to 18 yet' or 'When will you get to 19?' It's always something with you guys," Woods said. "I've dealt with that my entire career, ever since I was an amateur and playing all the way through and to professional golf. It hasn't changed."
Even so, this U.S. Open figures to go a long way toward figuring out how close he is to returning to the top of golf.
Woods couldn't stop talking about how the U.S. Open presents the toughest test players face all year — so tough that he probably won't be talking to Phil Mickelson, his longtime rival who will be playing with him in the opening two rounds.
"This is one of those championships that I think the guys talk the least to one another because it's so difficult," he said.
Woods looks as equipped as ever.
Two weeks ago, he played so well at Muirfield Village that he was ranked in the middle-of-the-pack in putting and still rallied from four shots behind to win. He has talked about playing well in spurts, and conceded after that win — the 73rd of his PGA Tour career — that he hit the ball great all four rounds.
Just like that, he became the betting favourite at Olympic Club to get his 15th major — and first since the 2008 U.S. Open — and resume his pursuit of the record 18 majors won by Jack Nicklaus.
Then again, his win at Bay Hill made him the pre-tournament rage at the Masters, and he tied for 40th.
"I guess lately, we don't know what to expect from him," Steve Stricker said. "When he wins, we're all eager to look ahead and think that he's going to be back to where he was in the early 2000s or whenever he was at the top of his game. I think that just shows you the ability that he has, and what people see in the type of player that he is, and the type of shots that he's been able to hit over the years, and the uncanny ability to just get it done and win golf tournaments.
"So when he does win one, I think that's why we're all quick to hop on his bandwagon."
Woods sees a different trend from the first major of the year. He managed his game at Bay Hill, in part because of a sloppy start by Graeme McDowell that gave Woods a cushion and allowed him to play the shots he needed to win the tournament.
"When I went into Augusta, I did not feel comfortable hitting the ball up," Woods said. "And I got back into a lot of my old patterns. Unfortunately, it didn't work out. But that's what made playing Muirfield so nice. I had those shots, and I was doing it the correct way. And I had compression, hitting the ball high and hitting it long. That was fun."
Olympic is all about hitting it in the fairway, and the right spots on the green.
The golf course is longer than when Woods tied for 18th in 1998, though that isn't the biggest change. The greens have been resurfaced, and they roll so fast that it's difficult to get the ball close. Plus, the USGA has shaved some areas off the green to form large collection areas. A slight miss could send the ball some 30 yards away.
Woods told of the par-3 13th during a practice round in which he hit the green, and the ball rolled down a slope and just inside a hazard.
"I think this probably tests the player more than any other championship," Woods said. "We have to shape the ball. We have to hit the ball high. We have to hit the ball low. Our short game's got to be dialed in."
The difference for this U.S. Open is the variety that USGA executive director Mike Davis brings to the toughest test in golf. Instead of mangled rough around the greens, he has created areas of tightly mown grass that sends errant shots down the slope and gives players options of putting, chipping, flop shots, anything to get it close.
The tees can change. The 16th measures 670 yards, though there is an option to play it 100 yards shorter.
"He throws wrinkles at you," Woods said. "But overall, I think this is just the most demanding test that there is in golf."
Another wrinkle was putting Woods and Mickelson together, along with Masters champion Bubba Watson, for the opening rounds. Together, they have won 113 and 18 majors, with Woods doing most of that damage.
Woods and Mickelson last played together at Pebble Beach, where Mickelson dusted him and rallied to win in February. In the majors, Mickelson topped him in the final round of the 2009 Masters (won by Angel Cabrera), though Woods beat him soundly at Torrey Pines on his way to winning the U.S. Open.
"I don't think we're going to talk about a lot," Woods said. "This is a major championship. We've got work to do."
Mickelson seems to have embraced the grouping. His only concern is feeling "mentally lethargic" on Thursday and Friday of PGA Tour events, though he promises that won't be the case at the U.S. Open, where he has finished second a record five times.
Playing with Woods should cure whatever ails him.
"I get excited to play with Tiger. I love it," he said. "I think we all do. He gets the best out of me. I think when it's time to tee off on Thursday I'll be ready to play. ... The one player I'm most concerned about, if I play my best golf that may have a chance to beat me, is Tiger."
This is far from a two-man show at Olympic, and it goes beyond the other guy in their group with a pink driver and a green jacket — Watson.
Rory McIlroy is the defending champion and got a shot of confidence from the St. Jude Classic last week, despite a double bogey from the water on the last hole that cost him a chance at winning. Giving his recent run of three missed cuts, McIlroy was happy to be playing Sunday, much less contending.
Luke Donald is No. 1 in the world and knows he will be taken more seriously if he can finally add a major. Ditto for Lee Westwood, No. 3 in the world, who has given himself more chances than Donald in the majors and still hasn't won one.
But it starts with Woods, as it has since he won the first of his 14 majors as a 21-year-old at Augusta.
"It's going to be a wonderful test," he said.