12/19/2012 09:39 EST | Updated 02/18/2013 05:12 EST

House Prices Canada, November 2012: Toronto Sales Collapse, Price Declines Go Nationwide


The total number of Toronto home sales dropped some 55 per cent in November from a year earlier, according to real estate research firm BILD.

Though BILD predicted that Toronto's housing market is "poised to finish the year strong," its data showed that the number of homes sold fell to 2,516 in November of this year, from 5,392 in the same month last year.

The data showed a housing market that is increasingly schizophrenic: Even as sales volume collapsed, prices for detached homes continued to rise rapidly, a reflection of the city's lack of space for single-family homes. The average price for a low-rise home jumped 16 per cent, to $625,473. High-rise homes saw a much smaller price increase of 2 per cent, to $437,264.


House prices are now falling nationwide, with 10 of 11 major markets tracked by Teranet showing a decrease in November.

The Canadian Press reports:

TORONTO - Canadian housing prices fell in November compared with October, according to the Teranet-National Bank index — only the fourth time in 13 years that there has been a decline between the two months.

The composite index covering 11 major urban centres stood at 154.02 last month, down 0.4 per cent from October, as 10 of 11 local markets tracked by the Teranet land registry system dropped.

The only market showing a higher reading last month was Calgary.

Although the index was up 3.4 per cent from November 2011, the rate of year-to-year increases has slowed in recent months.

It was the second month-to-month decrease in a row for Toronto and Halifax, the third consecutive for Montreal and Ottawa, and the fourth for Quebec and Victoria.

The Canadian residential real-estate has slowed in recent months, a move many observers have attributed to a change in mortgage rules that among other things have made it more difficult for first-time buyers.

Other factors that have played a role include high levels of personal debt, uncertainty about the strength of the Canadian economy, and the rapid increase in housing prices over the past few years in many cities.

The index uses prices in June 2005 as a base of 100, so that November's national reading of 154 indicates prices are 54 per cent higher since then.

"In Montreal, 12-month inflation has decelerated in 11 of the last 12 months, in Toronto in each of the last seven months, in Winnipeg in each of the last two months, in Ottawa-Gatineau in eight of the last 10 months," the Teranet-National Bank analysis says.

Five cities saw index rise more than the national composite compared with a year ago: Halifax (140.92, up 7.3 per cent from November 2011), Hamilton (139.75, 7.2 per cent), Toronto (147.33, 6.3 per cent), Calgary (162.61, 5.7 per cent) and Winnipeg (188.6, 5.2 per cent).

Only two cities showed declines compared with a year ago: Victoria (138.2, down 1.7 per cent) and Vancouver (167.51, down 1.4 per cent).

Four cities showed year-over-year price increases below the national mark: Montreal (148.45, up 2.8 per cent), Quebec (170.14, up 2.7 per cent), Ottawa (140.75, up 2.2 per cent), and Edmonton (166.28, up 1.6 per cent).


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