In its first flood outlook of the year, the province says soil moisture and snowfall levels are normal or below-normal in the Red River Valley and in the southeast, the Interlake and the north.
It's a different story in areas along the Assiniboine, Souris and other rivers in western Manitoba, where heavy rains last summer have left soil moisture levels high.
Flood forecaster Fisaha Unduche (fee-saw-HAW' un-DOO'-chay) says the situation is nowhere near as bad as 2011, when the Assiniboine rose so high it forced the evacuation of some Brandon areas.
He adds there is some risk of localized overland flooding in the southwest, which could increase if the weather turns bad.
Officials warn the season is still early and much depends on precipitation and other factors in the spring.