They're not wrong — it's a long shot.
The negativity stems from one oft-quoted statistic: Only four times in NHL history has a team come back from down 0-3 to win a series.
But there are others out there who keep on believing.
Over the last few days, while I've been digging for a positive spin on the Habs' Stanley Cup hope, social media has introduced me to dozens of fans who love this team unconditionally: I call them the true believers.
"The Habs are coming back," they say.
Their words bring a Rod Stewart song lyric to mind.
"If I listened long enough to you, I'd find a way to believe that it's all true…"
Reasons to believe
So for those fans, here are a few reasons to believe:- Firstly, after a long stretch when goals were hard to come by, the Habs scored six goals in Game 4. Dale Weise says that's something that should have Tampa Bay worried. "We got a lot of guys on the board that are feeling good about themselves that makes us a very dangerous team," Weise says.
- Secondly, even though only four teams have ever overcome an 0-3 deficit in a playoff series, two of those comebacks were in the last five years. The probability is trending upwards.
- And lastly, despite losing the first three games of this series, Montreal looked strong when the played Tampa five-on-five. You could argue that overall they were the better team, but Tampa's goalie Ben Bishop was excellent.
However, Bishop was pulled in Game 4, so if he's lost his mojo the advantage slides in Montreal's favour.
I'm not sure if this will convince the doubters.
But like Rod Stewart sings: "If I gave you time to change your mind, I'd find a way just to leave the past behind."
Game 5 is the only thing that matters in this series today.