05/12/2016 10:51 EDT | Updated 05/13/2017 05:12 EDT

3 Promises Trudeau Will Break If He Approves The Kinder Morgan Pipeline

Chris Wattie / Reuters
Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau makes a statement about the Brussels attacks, on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Canada, March 22, 2016. REUTERS/Chris Wattie

This weekend, hundreds of people will take to the water and march on the land surrounding the Kinder Morgan pipeline terminal in Burnaby, B.C. as part of a global wave of actions to "break free from fossil fuels." The action comes just over a week ahead of the National Energy Board's deadline to make a recommendation on the whether or not the Kinder Morgan pipeline should be built.

Given the embattled pipeline regulator's record, many people think an approval is a pre foregone conclusion, but whatever happens the federal government has made it clear that the ultimate fate of the proposed 890,000 barrel per day pipeline project lies in their hands. Where Prime Minister Trudeau lands on this pipeline is a crucial decision, and one that not only may have a catastrophic effect on communities around the world, but could also make or break three of this government's biggest promises during and since the election.

Promise #1 - Implement the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples

Earlier this week, Canada's Minister of Indigenous Affairs, Carolyn Bennett, received a standing ovation at the United Nations in New York City when she announced Canada's plan to do "nothing less than to adopt and implement" the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples.

Adopted by the UN in 2007, the declaration proclaims that governments "shall consult and cooperate in good faith with the Indigenous Peoples concerned through their own representative institutions in order to obtain their free, prior and informed consent before adopting and implementing legislative or administrative measures that may affect them." Put another way, implementing UNDRIP means that projects like Kinder Morgan can only proceed with the consent of indigenous peoples.

The T'sleil Waututh nation has already taken taken the government to court over the NEB review of the this pipeline, and more than a dozen Indigenous communities have come out in opposition to the project. Given Trudeau's campaign promise that a no from First Nations would mean a no on projects like Kinder Morgan, his government giving the green light to this pipeline would require breaking this promise, and could cast doubt on the legitimacy of their commitment to implement UNDRIP.

During the election campaign, Justin Trudeau often repeated the phrase "governments can grant permits, but only communities grant permission."

Promise #2 - Real Climate Action

On Earth Day, Prime Minister Trudeau was one of the most emphatic signatories to the Paris Climate Agreement. Signing the document in New York City last month, the Prime Minister once again affirmed Canada's renewed commitment to real climate action and our pledge to the Paris agreements goal of striving to limit warming to 1.5ºC.

Globally, we have already burned through most of the carbon budget left to have a chance and meeting a 2ºC warming limit, let alone a 1.5ºC one. So, for Canada to keep the promise we made in Paris and affirmed in New York, we need to stop building new fossil fuel projects and make a rapid shift to 100 per cent renewable energy, and we need to do it fast. Facing this reality, one thing is crystal clear, you can't approve Kinder Morgan -- or any new pipeline for that matter -- and meet our climate obligations.

Promise #3 - "Communities grant permission"

During the election campaign, Justin Trudeau often repeated the phrase "governments can grant permits, but only communities grant permission." He started saying it back in 2013 at a speech at the Calgary Petroleum Club, and would repeat it anytime that pipelines came up on the campaign trail. He even put it in the Liberal election platform.

For many, the line crystallized their hopes for an end to Stephen Harper's relentless push to shove pipelines down the throats of unwilling communities. Now, the government has changed and community opposition to pipelines is as strong as ever.

During the National Energy Board hearings in January, municipalities all around the Burrard Inlet raised questions, concerns and outright objections to the pipeline project. Cities like Vancouver and Burnaby are well documented in their opposition to the project, with the City of Vancouver recently railing against the potential climate impacts of the project. Beneath this political opposition are communities that aren't giving Kinder Morgan permission, and so now the prime minister faces a choice -- reject the pipeline, or eat his words.

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Kinder Morgan Pipeline Protest, Fall 2014