High Frequency Trading May Be Making Things Worse On Stock Markets

High Frequency Trading

The Huffington Post Canada   First Posted: 08/11/11 12:48 PM ET Updated: 10/11/11 06:12 AM ET

The world’s stock markets have seen near-record levels of volatility this week and last, and there is no shortage of reasons to explain why: From the U.S. debt ceiling debacle to the Eurozone’s credit problems, the world’s economies seem literally booby-trapped with risks to investors.

But some market experts are pointing the finger to yet another cause for the unpredictable up-and-down nature of the markets: High frequency trading, or HFT -- computer algorithms that buy and sell stocks in nanoseconds.

Since HFT came in to use about half a decade ago, it has been blamed for numerous bizarre and unsettling events on the stock markets, and now some insiders are saying it’s making the stock market more volatile. As of this spring, HFT accounted for 56 per cent of trades on the New York Stock Exchange.

In a speech this week, David Gonski, chairman of the Australian Securities Exchange, said high frequency trading is magnifying the wild up-and-down swings in stock markets. He added that HFT is changing the relationship between investors and companies, because with high frequency trading the average shareholder stays invested in a company for 20 minutes.

Sal Arnuk, co-founder of Themis Trading, agrees with that assessment.

"We’re seeing 3 per cent and 5 per cent moves -- the moves would have been half that without high-frequency trading,'' he told USA Today. "You'd still have the moves up and down -- that's the natural flow of the markets, but because of the outsized role of (exchange traded funds) and the increasing role of high frequency trading and how they prey on (investors), these moves become more outsized."

HFT works in a way many observers have described as fundamentally unfair, as it involves computers taking a “peek” at trade orders 0.3 seconds before they’re made, allowing the computers to push the stock price to the highest investors are willing to pay -- or, in other circumstances, to push it down as far as it can go.

Mike Konczal at The Atlantic described it like this:

Imagine if eBay had a rule where you could cancel your bid within 1 second. I put up some stuff on ebay, and you place a bid for it. Then I place a bid that is higher than the current bid to see if that becomes the new highest bid. If it is, I cancel it within milliseconds. Remember, I don't want to buy the product -- I just want to drive the price higher! This is similar to what critics of HFT think is going on; HFT is able to ping prices with bids that exist for only milliseconds to see how much other buyers are willing to pay to squeeze out the maximum profit.

Since it came in to use, high frequency trading has been blamed for some bizarre occurrences on the markets. It is widely believed to have caused the Flash Crash of 2010, when on May 6, 2010, the Dow Jones dropped 600 points in five minutes.

Earlier this year, The Financial Times reported that HFT algorithms are scouring the internet looking for trending keywords that could affect stock prices. But on at least one occasion the algorithms got it all wrong -- seeing that a news story on actress Anne Hathaway was getting a lot of attention, the algorithms went on a spending spree, buying up shares of Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway.

The odd problems that HFT is causing, along with concerns that computers’ practice of “peeking” at trades in advance are distoring the market, have caused some to call for an outright ban on the practice.

And this week it was reported that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has subpoenaed companies involved in HFT to probe last year’s flash crash. The names of the companies subpoenaed were not released, and there is no word yet on what the agency plans to do with HFT.

Not everyone agrees that HFT is behind recent market volatility. CNBC reporter Bob Pisani likened concerns about HFT to JFK conspiracy theories.

Here's my question: the markets went up in a straight line from August last year to February. Did high frequency trading cause the markets to go up, too? How come I didn't hear people coming on our air saying, "Thank you, high frequency traders, for our rally!"?

But even Pisani admitted that he believes "that at the margins, high frequency trading exacerbates the price swings on high volume days."

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07:03 AM on 08/14/2011
A much bigger effect then HFT a hving the media with their sensationalist reporting.
For some time they report in hype mode only to change into crisis mode a bit later,
making matters worse in every case.
It is a good question whether the 'bad news is good news' modus will also have a
immediate effect on themselves. It would be no big surprise if the messengers of bad
news are becoming feared, rightfully so, and are thus becoming obsolete to some extent.
And more news about the media crisis are following in a week or two.
It would not be the first time the financial media fail, just managed to get their consumers
seriously impoverished at the end of the day. http://tinyurl.com/6cum9uy
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dadw5boys
Disabled Vietnam Vet
02:40 PM on 08/13/2011
computers and robots take our jobs then destory our fiancal markets ?
Growing pain of Technology !
War against the Machine !
09:10 PM on 08/12/2011
WhatIfWhatWasGoingOnInTheWorldOfSlipperyHyperTradingWasCompletelyDifferentThanWhatTheExpertsHaveDescribedThusFar?

WhatIfTheLevelOfManipulationWasSoFarBeyondWhatYouHadEverImaginedInYourWildestDreams?WhatIfTheMarketWasSoLively,SoResponsive,AndSoAgileThatTheMassOfAnySingleOneOfTheseHeavy-liftingComputersCouldSendTheTheWholeTradingDynamicSpinningOffInASplitSecond?And,AsAConsequence, 99%OfTheResourcesTheseComputersEmployedWereSpentJustKeepingTheMarketFromTumblingIrrevokablyOutOfControlThatWouldCatchEveryone'sAttention?

WhatIfYouDiscoveredThatTheAlgorithmsThatQuantsWereWritingHadNicknamesThatParalleledSlickMovesInBasketballGames?IfTheMarketItselfHadReallyComeToBeThoughtOfAsNothingMoreThanTheBall?

WhatIf,BecauseOfThis,EachOfTheseTradingHousesHad,SomewhereAlongTheLine,SimplyCeasedToThinkOfItAsEvenTradingInAMarketAtAll,ButSimplyTradingOffEachOthers'AlgorithicResponses,ThrowingTheMarketAroundAsFastAsTheyCould?

WhatIfYouFoundOutThatTheNeedToPositionTheseComputersPhysicallyNearestAGivenTradingCenterWasSimplyToGetPositionedCloserToTheBallEveryMorning?ToGrabItFirst,ControlIt,AndMoveItInWaysThatDrewPredictedResponses--basedOnPastBehavior--onThePartOfCompetitors'FormulasInOrderToCarveOutAProfit?

WhatIfYouFoundOutThatTheEntirePredatoryGameWasEntirelyPerfectEXCEPTForOneThing:TheAverage, 'normal'Trader,Who,ConductingTradesOutsideTheRealmOfThisPerfectMathematicalMedium,WereInadvertentlyIntroducingAnomolies...justLikeTheImperfectionOnABall?

And,MostImportantly,WhatIfYouFoundOutThatInThisRoleAs 'flaw',YourSingleActionInTheMarket,However,Miniscule,HadIndelibleEffectsOnOutcomesBecauseControlOfTheBallWasSuchAnInquisitelyCloseCall?MaddenlyClose?SoMuchSo,ThatYOUWereThePersonToWhomTheQuantsListenedCarefullyInAnEffortToDivineYOURNextMove?

WhatWouldYouDo?
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joebaggadonuts
Civilization: Evolutionary pathway of choice.
09:36 PM on 08/12/2011
Ask for a Tobin like tax. That's what I am doing.

Also I trade occasionally as normal, based on hunches, for fun.

Why do you write the way you do without s p a c e s and with initCAPS?
09:23 AM on 08/14/2011
Excellent idea on the tax!

I originally wrote it with normal spaces, but had exceeded the word count by about 250 words. Trimming it seemed ludicrous (it really wouldn't have worked). It seemed to me, that by cramming it into about four or five words hyper-meaningful words, I was sort of doing what high-speed traders are, in essence, doing to the market.
01:49 PM on 08/12/2011
We were told the last time the market swung like this that it was also caused by computer trading,
So why isn't anybody doing anything about this probem? How many times does this have to reoccur before people wise up?
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joebaggadonuts
Civilization: Evolutionary pathway of choice.
09:37 PM on 08/12/2011
When our masters say it's time. That's apparently when we will do something about it.
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Jeff Forsythe
10:25 AM on 08/12/2011
People have forgotten about the importance of morality. As you sow , so shall you reap, what goes around comes around. Important words now ignored by greedy corporations and governments who trade with cruel oppressive governments such as the Chinese Communist Party.
Since 1949 the CCP has murder 80 million of its own people and is now attempting a genocide of tens of millions on innocent Falun Gong practitioners.
If America or Canada think that they can get away with trading with such a monster as the CCP, all they have to do is to look now at what financial disaster is coming back to haunt them. Just my understanding, thank you.
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sunnyokanagan
Increase compassion. Decrease suffering
08:50 PM on 08/11/2011
Trading no longer has much of anything to do with the intrinsic value of the equity being traded. That is, most large corporations are not about the wealth their business activities create - the actual products and services - but the fluctuating value of their stock and maximizing the short-term return on investment of transient stockholders.

Computerized run-and-gun trading, "HFT" is the natural extension of this paradigm. This paradigm is also the Corporatists' wet dream. Welcome to the 21st Century. *blink* you're a billionaire, *blink* you're a bum.
05:30 PM on 08/11/2011
If as they say 56% of all trading is HFL wouldn't that by definition mean HFL is responsible for the majority of the volitility?
04:05 PM on 08/11/2011
bob pisani is a little bit of a rube ------volumn bob they used to call him------

---check the relationship between the dow average and the QE'S ------THE BANKS WERE SUPPOSED TO LEND THE MONEY ----they put it into the market causing abubble ----QE2 ended july 3 -----removing all that buying pressure from the banksters free cash -----

and down she goes -----running all the "stop loss" orders ---fattening the coffers of the short sellers
04:00 PM on 08/11/2011
I think it is intersting that social media is able to manipulate these systems ie:

Earlier this year, The Financial Times reported that HFT algorithms are scouring the internet looking for trending keywords that could affect stock prices. But on at least one occasion the algorithms got it all wrong -- seeing that a news story on actress Anne Hathaway was getting a lot of attention, the algorithms went on a spending spree, buying up shares of Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway.

Good informative article.

Ashely Hughes ~ Vancouver
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ThePericles
03:45 PM on 08/11/2011
The Singularity is here...
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greysells2
grey cells matter
02:53 PM on 08/11/2011
A transaction tax is a good idea becuase it deters traders who are trading rapidly and pinging should be stopped because it makes for a playing field that is uneven.
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joebaggadonuts
Civilization: Evolutionary pathway of choice.
09:38 PM on 08/12/2011
Yep. Thanks. Fanned.
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john frodo
armchair expert
02:01 PM on 08/11/2011
There should be a 30 sec delay and a small transaction charge on every trade to bring some sense back to the market.
04:06 PM on 08/11/2011
at least 1 dollar per share transaction charge
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SayBlade
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04:36 PM on 08/11/2011
The transaction charge (Tobin Tax or Robin Hood Tax) could be put towards social causes that lose greatly when the economy tanks. It's a tax that won't cost taxpayers anything.

http://www.policyalternatives.ca/publications/monitor/tobin-tax
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Norma Ward
01:30 PM on 08/11/2011
Here's an article showing how ineffective quantitative easing has been at propping up Japan's stock market:

http://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2011/08/americas-sliding-economy-what-can.html

It is incomprehensible why Mr. Bernanke ever thought that any actions that the Fed has taken or will take in the future would have a long term positive impact on the stock market when the evidence quite clearly points to the opposite.
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Skeptic4Life
Amazingly, thinking can solve most problems.
12:24 PM on 08/11/2011
Good ol' free market. Only "free" and "fair" if you have the money to afford it. For the rest of us, it's like Vegas. And as usual the house (Wall Street) always wins. But seriously, keep voting for the politicians who do nothing to change things.
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02:16 PM on 08/11/2011
It's not even as sophisticated as Vegas, its as simple as a game of cups. Wall Street puts all of their money on stocks, bonds, resources or precious metals and makes a killing, they even turn the cup over and show you where it is. You put your money on the cup you "know" will win as they slip the ball under another cup (from stocks to bonds, from bonds to natural resources/precious metals). You lose money, put your money on the new "cup" and get fleeced again.
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SayBlade
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04:38 PM on 08/11/2011
The free market is my imaginary friend.

F&F.