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A Wet and Worrisome Wake-Up Call From the Arctic

Posted: 09/05/2012 11:13 am

Arctic sea ice has already melted to a record low this year, in thickness and extent. And summer's not over yet. According to the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center, record melt has occurred for the past six years.

Both the NSIDC and the European Space Agency say ice is thinning at a rate 50 per cent faster than scientists predicted, mainly because of global warming, and that summer Arctic ice could soon disappear altogether.

The implications for global climate and weather, and for animals and people in the North, are enormous. One would think the urgency of this development would draw a swift and collaborative response from government, industry, media, and the public. Instead, news media have downplayed the issue, the only mention made of climate change at the recent Republican National Convention was to mock the science, and many government and industry leaders are rubbing their hands in glee at the thought of oil and gas extraction opportunities and shipping routes that will open up as the ice disappears.

We just don't get it. As ice melts, more of the sun's energy, which would normally be reflected back by the ice, is absorbed by the dark water, speeding up global climate change and warming the oceans. The Arctic is now heating at almost twice the rate as the rest of Earth. There's also the danger that methane could be released as ice and permafrost melt. It's a greenhouse gas far more potent than carbon dioxide, so this would accelerate global warming even further. Scientists believe methane may also be uncovered by the warming Antarctic.

The Arctic ice cap also helps regulate weather, affecting ocean currents and atmospheric circulation. "This ice has been an important factor in determining the climate and weather conditions under which modern civilization has evolved," NASA chief scientist Waleed Abdalati told Associated Press. A study in the journal Geophysical Research Letters concludes that melting Arctic ice could lead to more extreme weather events, including drought, floods, heat waves, and cold spells -- especially in Europe and North America.

This not only threatens our future and that of our children and grandchildren; it could also have tremendous negative economic impacts. Because climate change affects agriculture and food supply, energy systems, water availability, and weather conditions, it will be expensive. A study conducted for the Pew Environment Group concludes, "In 2010, the loss of Arctic snow, ice and permafrost is estimated to cost the world US$61 billion to $371 billion in lost climate cooling services. By 2050, the cumulative global cost is projected to range from US$2.4 trillion to $24.1 trillion; and by 2100, the cumulative cost could total between US$4.8 trillion and $91.3 trillion."

That doesn't take into account the effects on the animals and plants in the Arctic -- including polar bears, whales, seals, and walruses -- and the people who depend on them.

What's the solution? During a recent trip to the North, Prime Minister Stephen Harper confirmed that sovereignty and resource extraction are his government's priorities for the region. And as Guardian writer George Monbiot points out, companies largely responsible for the climate disaster are scrambling to get as much profit from the situation as they can. Oil companies including Shell and Russia's Gazprom are taking advantage of the melt to speed up exploratory drilling. Greenpeace activists recently chained themselves to Gazprom's supply ship in an attempt to stop that company's activities.

We can't all chain ourselves to ships, so we have to tell our elected representatives, as well as people in the media and industry, that we expect better than short-term gain for long-term pain. Doing all we can to combat climate change comes with numerous benefits, from reducing pollution and associated health care costs to strengthening and diversifying the economy by shifting to renewable energy, among other measures.

From year to year, environmental changes are incremental and often barely register in our lives, but from evolutionary or geological perspectives, what is happening is explosive change. Politicians and businesspeople focused on short-term agendas continue to ignore or downplay the hazards. But the more we stall, the worse it will get. The Arctic warnings provide an opportunity to get things right.

Written with contributions from David Suzuki Foundation Editorial and Communications Specialist Ian Hanington.

Learn more at www.davidsuzuki.org.

For more insights from David Suzuki, please read Everything Under the Sun (Greystone Books/David Suzuki Foundation), by David Suzuki and Ian Hanington, now available in bookstores and online.

 
 
 
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Arctic sea ice has already melted to a record low this year, in thickness and extent. And summer's not over yet. According to the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center, record melt has occurred for t...
Arctic sea ice has already melted to a record low this year, in thickness and extent. And summer's not over yet. According to the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center, record melt has occurred for t...
 
 
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09:33 AM on 09/06/2012
Ice conditions are changing; they always have and always will. Much warmer conditions occurred often in the recent past, but current changes are more due to changing wind patterns than temperature. Claims otherwise are political climate science trying to defend failed political climate science.TB
10:48 PM on 09/05/2012
If it is 50% faster than the Scientists predicted, then the scientists are perhaps wrong in their understanding of how climate works. If they did , they would be accurate.
10:14 PM on 09/05/2012
The article asks but does not give the answer to..."What's the solution?"

I would like to see a specific, detailed plan that does not lead the country into economic ruin.
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Gnomish
ego doctus ignarus
08:21 PM on 09/05/2012
How much longer do the walrus have? On land they are far to vulnerable to bear.
05:41 PM on 09/05/2012
The reason that nothing is being done has a lot to do with the message people like Suzuki are attempting to deliver. Slow by our time but explosive by geological time? Not really. Our understanding of rapid climate change is little over 50-60 years old. Satellite measurements date back only to the 1970s. We can't comment on explosive climate change because we have no bench-mark. I think I'll wait until next year when the Arctic ice is higher to question catastrophic global warming. In the meantime I'll just appreciate the sound of the crickets dropping pins.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TRMS
Rally round the family, pocket full of shells
05:00 PM on 09/05/2012
It's a terrible situation. David Suzuki is right. Instead of being outraged that we are placing our planet's climate, and our future, in jeopardy, governments (including Canada's) are looking to expend oil and gas projects. It's insane. We are so greedy and rapacious as a species that we may cause our own extinction, in spite of the fact that we are capable of seeing it coming.
10:57 PM on 09/05/2012
Are you sure you know what % of oil and gas contribute to this problem vs coal and farming?
I have read that the two biggest coal burning operations in the US emit more GHG than the Canadian Oil industry.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TRMS
Rally round the family, pocket full of shells
02:42 PM on 09/06/2012
Yes. Coal and farming contribute to GHG emissions as well. That is correct. The effect is cumulative. We do need to reduce our coal usage as well, and our beef consumption. There are other areas where we could improve our behavior. In the long run, neither coal or gas is good for the planet.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
tamikenn57
Working for a healthy and safe global environment
01:06 PM on 09/05/2012
I am continuously surprised that our U.S. government will speak so vehemently they are concerned about leaving a better future for our children and ignore climate change. They are too interrelated.
05:44 PM on 09/05/2012
Don't worry. When Obama gets re-elected he'll actually do something about global warming AND the economy. Or maybe he'll just blame his predessor.
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duggyg
Situation normal.....
12:40 PM on 09/05/2012
It's a wild rambunctious party and the lone voice pleading to tone it down gets ignored. Unfortunately, with global heat increases, our troubles will be more than a hangover, the rambunctiousness will soon be coming from all that surrounds us, and we will look to the recent past as a golden era.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
NJP1
12:37 PM on 09/05/2012
Arctic sea ice falls into the 'out of sight-out of mind' category of world problems, few people are directly affected by it (yet) so not enough people are really bothered about it
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Gnomish
ego doctus ignarus
08:23 PM on 09/05/2012
Soon this will no longer be true check this out!
http://urthecast.com/ No I have nothing to do with them!

We will be able to watch real time!
12:26 PM on 09/05/2012
Why has no one commented on this????? have we given up??? please send this to every politician you can think of. let them know we demand change! if we don't who will??
11:34 PM on 09/05/2012
If scientists don't have a solution then what is a politician supposed to do?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Benoit Brousseau
Progressives built the Western world.
11:29 AM on 09/06/2012
Well the major problem is that doing something would cost money... Let future generations deal with it, there's money to be made right now they say... Add to that the fact, in Canada at least, that we now have a government that distrusts all scientists unless they work for oil companies...