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The Biggest Story of 2011 for Me? Weather Gone Wild

Posted: 12/29/2011 11:29 am

It is proving more difficult than I had expected to pick one event worthy of the superlative "Biggest Story of 2011." The May election brought many changes to the face of Parliament. Each party was historically transformed -- to their joy or despair. The two parties that suffered the most, the Bloc and the Liberals, even saw their leaders losing their own seats, while Stephen Harper celebrated gaining a majority of the seats (with only 39% of the popular vote). The NDP was jubilant with its new found status as official opposition. And the Greens were rewarded with the long hoped for breakthrough. With my election as the Member of Parliament for Saanich Gulf Islands, the Greens, at last, had one elected MP.

As important as were these political events, I don't think they qualify for Biggest Story of 2011. Arab spring is a closer contender since it has redrawn the political map of the Arab world. But I think, for me, the biggest story is the one that never gets told. 2011 was another year of record breaking extreme weather events, most of which are likely the result of human-induced climate change. Of course, the single most devastating event, the Japanese tsunami and the nuclear disaster at Fukushima, were unrelated to climate change.

Nevertheless, the famine in North Africa, brought about by record-breaking drought; the astonishing, long-lasting flooding of Thailand, Laos, and Vietnam; and the evacuation of parts of Manhattan due to storm surges worsened by sea level rise, are some of the global events that fit the models of climate crisis impact.

For Canada, extreme weather events made 2011 the second most expensive year for the insurance industry. The prairie floods put more land underwater than ever in our history. And the flooding lasted from October 2010 until late July 2011. More devastating floods hit Quebec.

The wild fires brought on by extremely dry conditions destroyed one third of Slave Lake. Much of Canada was blanketed in record-breaking heat for much of the summer. Arctic sea ice hit a near record summer low.

There is more, but my biggest story of the year is the on-going refusal to connect the dots and describe climate change events for what they are. Not "Mother Nature" on a rampage; not some "wacky and wild curve ball."

Climate change events, fitting the pattern of increased extreme events one would expect due to, what is in human experience, the all-time high greenhouse gas levels in the atmosphere.

So for political story -- Canada filing legal notice of withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol. For biggest story of 2011, the ongoing, accelerating losses due to the climate crisis and the fact of, unlike a suicide bomber in a troubled region where media are keen to find who "claims responsibility," the amazing level of denial. These disasters are no longer "natural"--their causes are known and our government is charting a course to make them worse, year by year.

 
It is proving more difficult than I had expected to pick one event worthy of the superlative "Biggest Story of 2011." The May election brought many changes to the face of Parliament. Each party was h...
It is proving more difficult than I had expected to pick one event worthy of the superlative "Biggest Story of 2011." The May election brought many changes to the face of Parliament. Each party was h...
 
 
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
03:08 PM on 01/04/2012
Reality has a well-known scientific bias.

U.S. National Academy of Sciences, 2010:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Human activities are influencing climate. As discussed in the following chapters, scientific evidence that the Earth is warming is now overwhelming. There is also a multitude of evidence that this warming results primarily from human activities, especially burning fossil fuels and other activities that release heat-trapping greenhouse gases (GHGs) into the atmosphere. Projections of future climate change indicate that Earth will continue to warm unless significant and sustained actions are taken to limit emissions of GHGs.

http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12782
09:03 PM on 12/30/2011
It has been as strange as it has always been. I was born in 1937 and brought up on the "starving children in China"...there was always a flood or drought somewhere there. I'm far more worried about economic collapse than I am about the wee bit of warming we just had.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
11:24 PM on 12/30/2011
Let's ask Texas if that was just a wee bit of warming.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
04:12 PM on 12/30/2011
Someone should explain the difference between weather and climate to Lizzy.
I thought she was supposed to be up on that kind of stuff....

It might not hurt to explain the difference between average and normal as well.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
11:34 PM on 12/30/2011
Climate is the average of weather. I would say there is a close relation.
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jimboy71
Hen Diapheron Heautoi
02:50 PM on 12/30/2011
Dear Elizabeth,

As a fellow Canadian, you must share my outrage that right now, the Harper government and it's spin machine, through such mouthpieces as the liberal arts student turned "science writer" Donna LaFramboise are denying that we even have a problem.

Thanks for keeping this issue in public discourse.

We must be ever vigilant, however. This current incarnation of conservatism has been planned since the late 1980's by people like Tony Clement and his band of merry misanthropes. They have no concern for anything beyond power, and lucre.

It is a shame what they are turning our Canada into.
12:55 PM on 12/30/2011
Elizabeth May is another alarmist with no grasp of science and doesn't
seem the least bit interested in fact. Recent weather is not weirder than it has ever been.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/04/19/why-it-seems-that-severe-weather-is-getting-worse-when-the-data-shows-otherwise-a-historical-perspective/
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
11:32 PM on 12/30/2011
Oh sure, and your reference is watts the dropout weatherman. Elizabeth May gives a good summary of the extreme events this past year. No need for deniers to be bashing the messenger.


Meanwhile the rest of us will believe our own eyes and the science of the National Academy of Sciences.

Rahmstorf, Stefan and Dim Coumou, Increase of Extreme Events in a Warming World ,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 108, no. 44, pp 17905-
17909, November 1 2011. doi:10.1073/pnas.1101766108
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07:14 PM on 12/31/2011
judycross4-

That most enlightening commentary you linked to is just a representative example of the standard of excellence at the award winning blog site hosted by Mr Anthony Watts.

As noted there, the illusion that weather patterns are worse today than in the past is a manufactured illusion caused by 2 decades of near non-stop propaganda by the alarmists.

Anyone that bothers to check the actual facts, such as the fact that Accumulated Cyclone Energy is at record lows or global Sea Ice coverage, knows that today's extreme weather events are within natural variation.
12:24 AM on 01/01/2012
Thanks for keeping the commentary filled with insights and perspectives that reflect the reality biased side of things, Orkneygirl. Hope that the coming year will bring good things for you, me and of course the rest of us here on Gaia, which I'm sure you'd agree is most likely to be the outcome when we question authority and keep a sharp mind guarded against the relentless beat of nonsense that dominates so much of the fear mongering eco-news. Next year in Quhelm!
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
03:17 PM on 01/04/2012
NIPCC Global Warming "Skeptic" Bob Carter Hides The Incline

Dear Orkneygal,

Isn't NIPCC global warming "skeptic" Dr. Robert M "Bob" Carter committing de facto global warming fraud by misrepresenting increasing global temperature trend lines as flat?* 

Isn't that like a climate science scam, a global warming hoax, a blatant and indefensible lie?

If you disagree please provide a scientifically-valid explanation for Bob Carter's grossly misleading misrepresentation of scientific data.

Bob Carter is a lead author of the "skeptical" Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change's (NIPCC's) latest "skeptical" -- and not peer-reviewed, of course -- report on global warming.

Please finally answer these questions instead of continuing to run away from them, Orkneygal - thank you.

------------------
* http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2011/07/bob_carters_trend_lines.php
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Juanne Michaud
Proud Canadian, loony lefty
12:49 PM on 12/30/2011
Another question: Even if the odds are 99% against climate change being a fact, and 1% that it is a reality, are we as a species willing to take the chance? Especially as, in the long run, switching to renewable green energy is a win-win situation for everyone (except the oil companies)?

Why are we willing to gamble with our planet so a select few (a very select few) can continue to line their pockets (Mobile, Exxon, etc.)?

Are we really that stupid?

And if we are, maybe we should just step aside, let natural selection run its course, and let the bees or whomever have a whack at it.
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04:07 PM on 12/30/2011
The odds are that humans can't change climate, but they can and do change weather. How come you aren't upset about the atmospheric geo-engineering going on?
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
08:42 AM on 12/31/2011
artemesia: "The odds are that humans can't change climate"

Which odds artemesia. We can see the effects of humans from space.

artemesia: "but they can and do change weather"

You have poised conflicting statements. Climate is defined as the average of weather. Therefore, if we change weather, we are by definition affecting climate.
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Counterintuitive
We'll steer by the beacon of our 100 year forecast
10:18 AM on 01/01/2012
Humans can't change climate, but can change weather. Do you see why rational people are so repulsed by science denial? Nonsense like this is why our kids are failing at school.
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Juanne Michaud
Proud Canadian, loony lefty
12:43 PM on 12/30/2011
Reducing emissions results in clean air, clean land, clean water.

Once again, I ask: who is against clean air, clean land and clean water? And why?

Every time I post this question, the result is resounding silence.
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StephenBP
What's he building in there?
12:10 PM on 12/30/2011
In the northeast US, warmer weather left leaves on deciduous trees far past their normal drop off time. So when an early heavy snow hit, the effect on local vegetation was disastrous. Heavy wet fall snow piled up on leaves and weighted down branches until they broke. Many forests looked like WWI battlefields, and many people were without power for an unusually long time.
What other unforeseen consequences of global warming can we expect?

My prediction: People in the US will finally understand human-caused global warming when the weather gets hinky enough to screw up agricultural yields enough to start making food procurement problematic.
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Counterintuitive
We'll steer by the beacon of our 100 year forecast
07:11 AM on 12/30/2011
The facts presented by the scientists are depressing,
But the factoids presented by the deniers are more than depressing.
How can there be no repercussions for their disinformation campaign?
We didn't tolerate it with the tobacco companies, but we allow the fossil fuel companies a free hand?
BlackbirdHighway
Brawndo's got electrolites!
08:56 AM on 12/30/2011
Actually, we did tolerate it for several decades from the tobacco companies.
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04:46 AM on 12/30/2011
What Canada does will not matter at all. There are less than 10 years left until human caused Climate Change becomes irreversible. The UN's report is at the link below.

"A senior environmental official at the United Nations...says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the earth by rising sea levels if global warming is not reversed...Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of "eco-refugees", threatening political chaos...governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.."
Link

http://tinyurl.com/6x8r9yc
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Jim Milks
Ecologist
08:59 AM on 12/30/2011
Since we've less than 10 years to reverse climate change, what makes more sense? Do attempt to do something to reverse climate change or to sit on our collective hands pretending nothing can or should be done to reverse climate change?

BTW, Orkneygal, you're quite a conundrum. One minute you're posting that human-caused climate change won't be a problem, the next you're posting quotes on the severe consequences expected from human-cause climate change. That begs the question: What is your true position on human-caused climate change?
01:32 PM on 12/30/2011
Orkney often uses that UN quote to trick people into clicking on the link. The link goes to "no frakking consensus"­, a website run by Donna Laframbois­e. Laframbois­e is a climate "skeptic" blogger with no relevant scientific credential­s or policy expertise whatsoever­.
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03:40 PM on 12/30/2011
My position on the current warming is this.

The current, glorious warming must be treasured for the wonderful things it is bringing for Gaia. During the current warming, humanity has reached achievements that have made the current generation the healthiest, most productive and most prosperous ever.

As far as the miniscule amount that human activity might or might not be adding to the current warming, it must not be forgotten the devastation that the has been prevented by avoiding another Little Ice Age, at least in the short term.

A warm Gaia is a happy Gaia!
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
04:16 PM on 12/30/2011
10 years?
I thought we were doomed by next thursday!

I can buy green bananas agains!
Yay!

Where are the 50 million climate refugees predicted by the UN?
15 years ago they said in 10 years there would be 50 million.
Seems their predictions are a bit off.....
02:21 AM on 12/30/2011
After all the lies and exaggeration of the Climate Cultist, I can honestly say there is not one party worth voting for in this country except the Canadian Action Party.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
06:58 AM on 12/30/2011
It is getting warmer out there Artemesia.
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Counterintuitive
We'll steer by the beacon of our 100 year forecast
07:21 AM on 12/30/2011
Like every other denier your facts are mixed up.
I went to the website for the Canadian Action Party and this is what I found.

http://actionparty.ca/policies/environment/cleaning-up-our-toxic-country/

"Environmental Concerns

We must reduce the use of fossil fuels to meet the Kyoto Accord. In order to achieve this goal we shall adopt a similar energy strategy to Europe, which includes: 1) energy conservation; 2) renewable energy such as wind, solar, hydroelectric and geothermal; 3) use cleanest available fossil fuel in the most efficient way possible. In particular, we shall review the development of the Alberta tar sand's and its contribution towards global warming. In situations involving resource extraction we shall seek alternatives that provide jobs and prosperity without damaging wildlife habitat or contributing to CO2 emissions."
01:05 PM on 12/30/2011
That was a while back. The position now is
Policies » Environment » Climate Change / Global Warming
Climate Change / Global Warming Policy

This policy is under revision.

http://actionparty.ca/policies/environment/climate-change-global-warming/
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Moose Luck 99
GEOENGINEERINGWATCH DOT ORG
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StephenBP
What's he building in there?
09:51 PM on 12/29/2011
Let's see, I can probably get most of my home heating and electricity needs met with wind and solar. Those happen to be the largest part of my carbon footprint. I happen to be able to build my own wind turbine, alternator, and solar heating panels and am actually working on them. There are kits you can buy, interest groups who can help you.

We could reduce our need to burn toxic fossil fuels in increments.

Or, we can buy more car and truck than we can use, indulge in fuel wasting past times, drive the price of fuel up, and get excited about things that only make other people wealthy.

Our choice.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
08:18 PM on 12/29/2011
Run for your lives, the world is coming to an end!!!
Climate death is upon us!!

Oh, ....wait...., that was from a 200 year old newspaper.....

http://www.real-science.com/below350-org
11:19 PM on 12/29/2011
Whether or not you accept climate change due to CO2, the fact is that oil discovery peaked several years ago and we are near our peak production capacity while demand continues to grow exponentially. Oil is a finite resource and is getting more expensive as demand approaches supply capacity.

Whatever reason resonates with you, we need to develop an alternative NOW while we still have affordable energy with which to do so.
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
07:06 AM on 12/30/2011
Slow down there, chicken.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
04:19 PM on 12/30/2011
I can't drive 55!
yer
Stop the Alberta Taliban
11:33 AM on 12/29/2011
Thankfully those who suffer the most will continue to do unless they change. It's justice, but it takes everyone down with them. Maybe at some point they will seek help? Doubt it. If so, it would only be to realize that the solution is a repudiation of their entire lives work. What a waste of time. Our working lives are largely useless, why be tied to it? Do something else, of high standard, of high quality.

The media are long gone, unable to discuss climate change, peak oil, food, water and other amazing issues.

Thankfully change is occurring outside the realm of trolls and brown shirts but on the level of communities. As time goes on seeking media validation is not going to be a part of the solution. Only doing real things. And if the media aren't involved? Who cares?

Positive things are happening out there, but not reflected here and certainly not in government. But you knew that. You've known it all the time.
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alteredstory
Hold on to the center
07:28 PM on 12/29/2011
Those who are suffering the most, on a global scale, are those who have contributed the least to the problem. The hits America has taken are tiny compared to other parts of the globe.
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CanadaStan
Cogito ergo spud, I think, therefore I yam
04:20 PM on 12/30/2011
You want to starve more people with your ethanol fuel programs?