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Attack Ads are the Best Form of Flattery

Posted: 03/20/2012 10:40 am

As we enter the last week of the NDP leadership race, the Conservatives have released another attack ad aimed not at the NDP, but at Liberal Leader Bob Rae. That is somewhat curious timing.

One would think that they would have held their fire until the new NDP leader was chosen and then started their ritual carpet bombing to frame the new leader before they really got established in the House of Commons and in the minds of voters. Instead they have chosen to focus on Bob Rae as their target and that tells you some interesting things as well.

For one thing Bob Rae should be patting himself on the back for being the Conservatives latest target. Liberal MPs should be applauding their leader for a job well done. It is not as though the Conservatives would waste money on ads attacking the leader of a third party unless they were concerned about his success.

Clearly Rae has dominated Question Period since the passing of Jack Layton. During the recent robocall affair he was passionate and garnered considerable press, ample reason for the Conservatives to see him as a threat, but he is still just the leader of a much reduced third party. Why pick on Rae at this time?

Have the Conservatives decided that they can contain whoever wins the NDP leadership race? Have they decided that Rae is the bigger threat regardless of who wins the NDP leadership? Do they have internal polling numbers or are they seeing trends in their polling results that show Bob Rae is on the rise? Certainly during Rae's leadership run in 2006 we regarded him as the biggest threat should he win, fortunately he didn't. Have the Conservatives now decided that he is once again their biggest threat?

I wasn't overly impressed with the ad. I get the dark somber tone and mood, but I am not sure if harping back to events that took place some 17 plus years ago will work on modern voters. And yes I get that it is about the economy. And the public record is the public record and free to be used by all politicians. Certainly there is a core group of Ontario voters who will remember "Rae Days" and the job losses (possibly their own), but I would suspect they are already the converted.

Bob Rae was premier of Ontario from Oct 1, 1990 to June 26, 1995 and a great many of our younger voters weren't even born then. Many others would only be able to recall those events from their history books. It doesn't have much meaning for them, nor for many who live outside of Ontario or the new Canadians who have arrived since then.

I have nothing against throwing a leader's words and events they were involved in back at them for the simple reason that it works. But it loses something when it becomes so dated. A fresh quote or a mistake from the recent past is always better than reaching back a couple of decades to attack someone.

The Liberals tried that with their decade old Harper quotes and after a while the attacks became pretty stale. Voters preferred to think for themselves and evaluate the man they saw in front of them, not the man portrayed in Liberal attack ads.

The ad would imply that the Conservatives don't believe politicians can change, but we all know they do. Even Prime Minister Harper has evolved over the years: He is not the same politician he was in the 1990s either. Remember Harper's position on bilingualism, Quebec, and building firewalls around Alberta?

Perhaps that gives us the answer for why this ad at this time. Just like voters, the Conservatives realize that Bob Rae, like Stephen Harper, has evolved and that he is no longer the same politician as in the 1990s. Perhaps as in 2006 they realize he is still the real threat and they feel compelled to try once again to frame Rae as incompetent. This is an interesting move on their part.


 

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06:31 PM on 03/21/2012
The Conservatives (aka the Refoooorm Party) have to use attack ads so people won't focus on the horror story of the Harper government.
12:40 PM on 03/21/2012
I thought it was pretty funny myself
Seamus OMalley
My micro-bio is no longer empty.
11:37 AM on 03/21/2012
Running attack ads against the INTERIM leader of the THIRD party, THREE YEARS before the next scheduled election.

I smell fear ...
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sdgreen
03:37 AM on 03/21/2012
It seems the Liberals need to be prodded into some action; they have been way too complacent in recent months. Clearly, the NDP need to have some competition in opposition in order to give Canadians a better prospective. Give me a Liberal any day over a Dipper; at least the Liberals have some common sense whereas the NDP policies are way too radical and make no sense at all.
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canobserv
08:36 AM on 03/21/2012
seems to me that Rae has been doing a pretty good job...certainly seem s to be f r e a k ing out Harper who aired an attack ad 3 years before an election against the third party's interim leader.....LOL
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Add In Canadia
Egotism is a weakness
08:55 PM on 03/20/2012
Is it a good thing or a bad then when the media focuses attention on the third party? The official opposition is the only party with any real clout against the Conservatives, and it's not the Liberals. The NDP needs to find it's voice and start standing up against the Conservatives, but all the thunder and attention seems to be reserved for the Liberal party.

The NDP leadership race isn't drawing all that much attention, and stunts like these seem to ensure that the new leader of the NDP is going to receive very little fanfare and attention.

I doubt it took very much money to produce that attack ad, and the media has done an excellent job of distributing the content. A miss-step by the Conservatives? Or is it simply the Conservative tactic of ensuring that the Liberal party remains the 'official opposition', taking away the NDP voice.

There might not be an election for some time, and the less the NDP has to say until then, the more the Conservatives benefit. Really the big loser of this attack ad isn't the Conservatives or the Liberals, it's the perpetually ignored NDP; and that means the only real winner no matter how you slice it is the Conservatives.
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canobserv
08:37 AM on 03/21/2012
"Is it a good thing or a bad then when the media focuses attention on the third party?"

.....the "media" didn't produce this ad....seems that Harper is the one focusing on the third party's interim leader
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Mike vdB
Get involved, always question, don't just exist.
09:55 AM on 03/22/2012
You do have a point. The Conservatives are just showing that they don't feel the NDP will amount to much, even with a new leader. It isn't so much they are scared by the Liberals. By focusing on the third party with a cheezy attack ad, they are focusing attention away from the NDP.
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tnanimation
08:23 PM on 03/20/2012
'Certainly during Rae's leadership run in 2006 we regarded him as the biggest threat should he win, fortunately he didn't.' I am a bit confused by this statement in an otherwise great article. Does the writer honestly feel Liberals and Canada were better off having suffered through Dion and Ignatieff as leaders?
04:24 PM on 03/20/2012
Well, there is no NDP leader as yet, so they can't throw an attack ad in their direction.
Just another attempt by Harpocriteâ„¢ to deflect attention from RoboGate.
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Colin Speth
A Claymore for your thoughts
03:20 PM on 03/20/2012
Or perharps the ads are designed to play upon the dissent within the Liberal party itself over wether or not Rae should be allowed to run for the leadership of the party. If that is the case the timing is hardly curious. I'm sure alot more thought went into this than some kind of unfounded fear of Bob Rae's leadership, which is still temprorary anyway.
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03:04 PM on 03/20/2012
Totally ridiculous. So it is good politic to throw dirt and don’t talk about the real issues?
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Brent Millar
When the going gets weird, the weird turn Pro
05:48 PM on 03/20/2012
Always has been, always will be.
For more on this look up the "Daisy" ads for Lyndon Johnson's 64 bid for the White House.

It worked like a charm.
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tnanimation
08:26 PM on 03/20/2012
I understand what you're saying and agree, however, I'm a bit bewildered as to why the Reform (Conservative) Party would choose NOW to run this ad. The next election is three years (or more if we know Harper) away and Bob Rae might not even take the leadership. Strange.