In the last few weeks the American environmental anti-Keystone movement has been dealt several very bad hands.
Al Gore, former Vice President, self-acclaimed discoverer and developer of the internet and the Godfather of the climate change movement, embarrassed the movement, by selling his interests in Current TV to the fossil fuel, oil-producing nation of Qatar -- which owns Al-Jazeera, Gore's purchaser. Even Gore publicly admitted that the optics of this sale to Qatar were not positive.
A few days ago, and referred to in my previous Huff Post article, the US State Department came out with a 2000 page report that concluded that the proposed Keystone pipeline would have little effect on warming the planet.
Other State Department reports have concluded that in the absence of Alberta oil, the US would still import Venezuelan oil, which may produce greater GHGs, than the Keystone alternative.
Recently, no less than the liberal Washington Post referring to the above 2000 page State Department Report, editorialized that anti-Keystone protesters should give up their fruitless crusade against Keystone. In effect, the movement is wasting its time. The Post editorial bitingly stated:
"The analysis underscores the extent to which activists have trumped up a relatively mundane infrastructure issue into the premier environmental fight of this decade, leading to big marches and acts of civil disobedience to advance a cause that is worthy of neither. The activists ought to pick more important fights. Until they do, the President should ignore their pressure."
Ouch! The Washington Post gave the protesters a real smack down!
Obviously, this time, leading anti-Keystone activist and sometime actress Daryl Hannah, failed to make much of a "splash" in Washington.
Also the same Post reported on a poll that 70 per cent of Americans approve Keystone. Keystone has a higher approval rating than President Obama. Even 57 per cent of Democrats support Keystone.
President Obama may be a bit aloof and self-contained and the smartest person in the room, and perhaps the planet. But he is no fool. Neither is his close advisers Plouffe, Axelrod and his counsel, Bob Bauer ( my old Exeter buddy and Harvard classmate). They read the polls. They know where the political winds are blowing. Public support for the anti-Keystone position is plummeting.
Republicans know they have a winning issue. House and Senate Democrats are heading for the exits.
The anti-Keystone types have lost the food money. If I was their adviser, I would strongly urge them to fold now and walk away, with the few political chips, they still possess. Otherwise, they may lose all their credibility, the mortgage money and then the house itself.
They would be nuts to bet the farm on Keystone. That is to say, bet the Democratic Senate, on Keystone. Because the pro Keystone gamblers are sitting with Four Aces. And the anti-Keystone hand is just full of Jokers.
Follow Mitch Wolfe on Twitter: www.twitter.com/MWolfe9216
1. Al Gore never claimed to of created the internet, he was part of the group that authorized their funding. the "creation" is internet sensationalism to the max, like Chuck Norris's magic powers. Does david pup believe that as well?
2.. AL Gore sold his station one of the USA's major allies, they even have troops stations there i believe. AL jazeera just somehow managed to spring up in a pro-US Arab regime, and not be a gov mouthpiece and actually held the US accountable. Pup and the US are mad because they do legitimate journalism and they hate facts. Current is fair more legitimate and left leaning.. Only fox news sucklings would, ironically the largest single largest shareholder in fox news is a sharia arab prince from Saudia Arabia... is fox news legitimacy now gone oh ya they never had any!
3. He admitted the optics were bad?? you are talking about a country where 30% of people believe in angels and 20% still think interracial marriage should not be allowed. Trump for Zeus's sake still believes Obama was born n another country...If you are left wing, The right wing/center right/ corporate media conglomerate (FOX,CNN, MSNBC (some host are legit occasionally) ect) will show you in a poor light even if you just saved a group of orphans from a fire.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/11/opinion/when-to-say-no-to-the-keystone-xl.html?smid=re-share&_r=0
His ability to be critical of everything except the US State Department's report discredits this article.
Secondly this oil will be hipped to world markets and sold.. yay for!! Oil companies profits... the sole winners in this situation.
Thirdly most jobs are being created at US refineries, not building Canadian ones.
These are all mathematical and real factors that effect the 100s of thousands of peoples land nearby it crosses and can potentially destroy. despite those people gaining no benefit and having all the risk while the government subsidies oil companies have 0 risk and all to gain. Talk about government corporate socialism/ collusion.
Under normal circumstances In Since I would agree this is simply government promoting an industry but this situation is unique. they are directly negotiation for the corporations almost, and certan deals such as the chinese ownership of an oil company will only benefit china (whose will get most of the profits from this state owned corporation, taxes from its multinational corps and all workers will be Chinese) . It is as if our government has forgotten good old realist politics (which is all about expanding the power of your nation) and moved to a new form of neo-feudalism/ neo-corporatism, where the elite live by a different set of rules, have more allegiance to the dollar than their home countrymen, and wages among the middle class and poor is slowly heading toward lving wage/poverty.
The “International Organization for Standardization (ISO) 15649: 2001 Petroleum and Natural Gas Industries Piping” is an international standard that specifies the requirements for design and construction of piping for the petroleum industry, and the American Petroleum Institute and Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers have sponsored supporting industry initiatives in this area.
Data on oil spill trends are kept rigorously in Canada and the United States. The annual number of pipeline spills has decreased by 500% over the last 30 years, according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) data. The amount of oil spilled is less than 3 million gallons per year, compared to the 130 billion gallons per year of oil that is consumed. In other words, the oil spilled is 0.002 % of the oil consumed. To be sure, that is not zero, but it is a remarkably low amount.
he says cost of producing a barrel is 100$ ---current selling price is between 50-60 $ a barrel and he sees no reason for higher prises soon
producers are losing 35 $ a barrel
you might want to review your stance on who should know when to fold 'em ------losing 35 bucks a barrel does not look like four aces ----and that makes it look like you are the joker in the deck
"The DEIA specifically evaluated what would happen if President Obama said "no" and denied Keystone XL a permit.
It concluded that not building the pipeline would have almost no impact on jobs; on US oil supply; on heavy oil supply for Gulf Coast refineries; or even on the amount of oil sands extracted in Alberta.........The DEIA has effectively neutered the pipeline; stripped it of its power."
http://www.vancouverobserver.com/blogs/climatesnapshot/keystone-xl-pipeline-not-needed-us-state-dept-report
Today the New York TImes comes out against the Keystone.
MAY????----how about you prove it before you put it out the mr harvard man?
and my guess is it will be delayed until obama leaves office ---just to stick it to the kochs
b) Why do we need boreal forest more than jungle? I hadn't heard that.
c) They replant trees after the open pit mining is done. Also open pit mining is out of style and now they focus on SAGD. This won't destroy trees even though it will use a lot of fresh water.
d) Keystone won't stop the oilsands, it will barely slow them down. Check out how much oil is being shipped by rail. It's mind boggling.
Where do you get your information about the regional effects of oil sands production? Did you ever hear of the Alberta Energy Resources Conservation Board, the Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency and the National Energy Board, all of which spend many years and millions of dollars evaluating and regulating every aspect of oil sands development? You might want to find out more about the facts.
But they have no choice, the Koch brothers, but paying Hugo for his gunky oil, [because the Gulf coast refineries, especially those controlled by the Koch brothers in Flint Hills, can really only handle heavy crude oil].
Now, on the other hand, the Canadians not only are selling for less than Texas oil—they’re selling, as of today—if you check out this week’s reports, about $33 a barrel less is the price of West Canada Sands (WCS) oil, as they call it, versus WTI, the West Texas Intermediate. So you’re saving about $35 a barrel—$35 a barrel—if you can get the oil from Canada as opposed to Venezuela. So they’ve got to cut off Chávez and they’ve got to bring the oil in from Canada.
And that’s the reason why we are talking about endangering the most sensitive aquifers and important—that is, water sources in America—to have a pipe with the filthiest oil in the planet, the most polluting oil on the planet, to drag it all the way from Canada all the way down to Texas so that the Koch brothers at Flint Hills can make—their savings would be about $2 billion a year that the Koch brothers will make off our risking the aquifers across the United States.
there are a gazillion sites which will tell you the facts
http://www.vancouverobserver.com/blogs/climatesnapshot/keystone-xl-pipeline-not-needed-us-state-dept-report
http://money.cnn.com/2011/12/13/news/economy/keystone_pipeline_jobs/index.htm
guess you win the argument. I simply can't imagine a reason why an organ of the US government would dissimulate on this issue. There's absolutely no history of collusion with Big Oil there.
I don't know what group you're identifying me with or why you're expressing concern about wastes of political capital, Mitch. But thanks for your input. I'm just a concerned citizen. And I recommend that anyone who's persuaded by such oil industry propaganda go visit the tar sands and surrounding communities to witness the devastation with their own eyes.
http://thetyee.ca/Views/2008/01/25/TarSands/